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Time and Power in Africa

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 August 2014

Henry Bienen  and
Nicolas van de Walle
Henry Bienen
Affiliation:
Princeton University
Nicolas van de Walle
Affiliation:
Princeton University
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Abstract

Both rapid leadership turnover and remarkably durable leaders can be found side by side in African systems of personal rule. In order to explain differences in time in power among African leaders we employ life tables analysis and hazard models, a multivariate technique. We find that the risk of losing power is a decreasing function of time that is little affected by country or leader particularities. The best predictor of whether a leader will lose power in any given period is the length of rule up to that point.

Type
Articles
Information
American Political Science Review , Volume 83 , Issue 1 , March 1989 , pp. 19 - 34
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1989

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