Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-nr4z6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-07T22:59:14.089Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Campaign War Chests in Congressional Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

Stephen Ansolabehere*
Affiliation:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
James M. Snyder Jr
Affiliation:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
*
Dept of Political Science, MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA. E-mail: sda@MIT.edu

Abstract

This paper examines several hypotheses that have been proposed to explain the existence and growth of legislators' campaign “warchests”. We examine the sources and political consequences of warchests in US House elections over the period of 1978–1998. Briefly, our findings are as follows. First, we find little evidence in support of the deterrence hypotheses. Second, short-term electoral forces-scandals, partisan tides, challenger quality-accounts for a large fraction of the explained variation in savings. Third, incumbents act as if they have finite, “target” levels of total savings. Fourth, some of the accumulated savings before 1992 appear to be for retirement. Finally, we find considerable evidence that many of the largest warchests are accumulated to help members run for higher office.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © V.K. Aggarwal 2000 and published under exclusive license to Cambridge University Press 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abramowitz, Alan I. 1988. Explaining Senate Election Outcomes. American Political Science Review 82: 385403.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ansolabehere, Stephen and Snyder, James M. Jr. 1996. Money, Elections, and Candidate Quality. Unpublished manuscript, MIT.Google Scholar
Banaian, King and Luksetich, William A. 1991. Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections. Economic Inquiry 29: 92100.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banks, Jeffrey S. and Roderick Kiewiet, D. 1989. Explaining Patterns of Candidate Competition in Congressional Elections. American Journal of Political Science 33: 9971015.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barone, Michael and Ujifusa, Grant. 1985. Almanac of American Politics, 1986. Washington, DC: National Journal.Google Scholar
Box-Steffensmeier, Janet M. 1996. A Dynamic Analysis of the Role of War Chests in Campaign Strategy. American Journal of Political Science 40: 352371.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cain, Bruce, Ferejohn, John and Fiorina, Morris. 1987. The Personal Vote: Constituency Service and Electoral Independence. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E. and Stokes, Donald E. 1960. The American Voter. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Canon, David T. 1990. Actors, Athletes, and Astronauts. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Dixit, Avinash. 1980. The Role of Investment in Entry-deterrence. The Economic Journal 90: 95106.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Epstein, David and Zemsky, Peter. 1995. Money Talks: Deterring Quality Challengers in Congressional Elections. American Political Science Review 89: 295308.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Erikson, Robert S. and Palfrey, Thomas R. 1993. The Spending Game: Money, Votes, and Incumbency in Congressional Elections. Unpublished manuscript, California Institute of Technology.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1977. Representatives, Roll Calls, and Constituencies. Lexington, MA: D.C. Heath and Company.Google Scholar
Gerber, Alan. 1994. Campaign Spending and Election Outcomes: Re-estimating the Effects of Campaign Spending. Unpublished manuscript, Yale University.Google Scholar
Glantz, S., Abramowitz, Alan and Burkart, M. 1976. Election Outcomes: Whose Money Matters? Journal of Politics 38: 10331038.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldenberg, Edie N., Traugott, Michael W. and Baumgartner, Frank R. 1986. Preemptive and Reactive Spending in US House Races. Political Behavior 8: 320.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Green, Donald P. and Krasno, Jonathan S. 1988. Salvation for the Spendthrift Incumbent: Reestimating the Effects of Campaign Spending in House Elections. American Journal of Political Science 32: 884907.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Green, Donald P. and Krasno, Jonathan S. 1990. Rebuttal to Jacobson's ‘New Evidence for Old Arguments’. American Journal of Political Science 34: 363372.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grier, Kevin B. 1989. Campaign Spending and Senate Elections, 1978–84. Public Choice 63: 201219.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Groseclose, Tim and Krehbiel, Keith. 1994. Golden Parachutes, Rubber Checks, and Strategic Retirements from the 102nd House. American Journal of Political Science 38: 7599.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Groseclose, Tim and Milyo, Jeff. 1996. The Effects of Wealth, War Chests and Ballot Access Rules on the Entry of Quality Challengers in House Races. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Economics, Tufts University.Google Scholar
Hall, R. and Van Houweling, R. 1993. Avarice Beyond Congress and Ambition Within: Representatives’ Decisions to Run or Retire from the US House. Unpublished manuscript, University of Michigan.Google Scholar
Hersch, Philip L. and McDougall, Gerald S. 1994. Campaign War Chests as a Barrier to Entry in Congressional Races. Economic Inquiry 32: 630641.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 1978. The Effects of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections. American Political Science Review 72: 469491.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 1980. Money in Congressional Elections. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 1985. Money and Votes Reconsidered: Congressional Elections, 1972–1982. Public Choice 47: 762.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 1990. The Effects of Campaign Spending in House Elections: New Evidence for Old Arguments. American Journal of Political Science 34: 334362.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary and Kernell, Samuel. 1981. Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Krasno, Jonathan S. and Green, Donald P. 1988. Preempting Quality Challengers in House Elections. Journal of Politics 50: 920936.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kreps, D. and Wilson, R. 1982. Reputation and Imperfect Information. Journal of Economic Theory 27: 253279.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leland, Hayne E. 1968. Saving and Uncertainty: the Precautionary Demand for Saving. Quarterly Journal of Economics 82: 465473.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitt, Steven. 1994. Using Repeat Challengers to Estimate the Effect of Campaign Spending on Election Outcomes in the US House. Journal of Political Economy 102: 777798.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lott, John R. Jr. 1987. The Effect of Nontransferable Property Rights on the Efficiency of Political Markets: Some Evidence. Journal of Public Economics 32: 231246.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lott, John R. Jr. 1989. Explaining Challengers’ Campaign Expenditures: the Importance of Sunk Nontransferable Brand Name. Public Finance Quarterly 17: 108118.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayhew, David R. 1974. Congress: The Electoral Connection. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Milgrom, P. and Roberts, J. 1982. Predation, Reputation, and Entry Deterrence. Journal of Economic Theory 27: 280312.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Milyo, Jeffrey. 1995. The Economics of Political Campaign Finance: FECA and the Puzzle of the Not Very Greedy Grandfathers. Public Choice.Google Scholar
Ragsdale, Lyn and Cook, Timothy E. 1987. Representatives’ Actions and Challengers’ Reactions: Limits to Candidate Connections in the House. American Journal of Political Science 31: 4581.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rohde, David. 1979. Risk Bearing and Progressive Ambition: The Case of Members of the United States House of Representatives. American Journal of Political Science 23: 126.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rothenberg, Larry. 1990. Congressional Rewards and Latitude: Contributors, Legislators, and the FECA Amendments of 1979. Unpublished manuscript, University of Rochester.Google Scholar
Sandmo, A. 1970. The Effect of Uncertainty on Saving Decisions. Review of Economic Studies 37: 353360.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sorauf, Frank. 1988. Money in American Elections. Glenview, IL: Scott, Foresman and Company.Google Scholar
Spence, A. Michael. 1977. Entry, Capacity, Investment and Oligopolistic Pricing. Bell Journal of Economics Autumn: 534555.Google Scholar
Squire, Peverill. 1989. Competition and Uncontested Seats in US House Elections. Legislative Studies Quarterly 14: 281295.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Welch, William P. 1974. The Economics of Campaign Funds. Public Choice 20: 8397.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wyrick, Thomas L. 1994. House Members as Residual Claimants: Campaign Spending in the 1980s. Public Choice 79: 135147.CrossRefGoogle Scholar