Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-5nwft Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-07T23:46:26.648Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Electoral Polarization, Class Politics and a New Welfare State in Brazil and Turkey

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 May 2020

Erdem Yörük
Affiliation:
Department of Sociology, Koç University, Istanbul, Turkey, and Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. Email: eryoruk@ku.edu.tr
Alvaro Comin
Affiliation:
Department of Sociology, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil

Abstract

We explain why and how the governing parties, AKP of Turkey and PT of Brazil, converged on the same path of relying on the poor as the main strategy to stay in power. With the neoliberal reorganization and internationalization of their economies, the capacity of these governments to set up developmentalist alliances with big capital, the middle classes and the organized working classes was weakened. Based on a most-different-systems design and on descriptive statistical analysis, we argue that both PT and AKP failed to build multi-class bases and thus had to mobilize the poor by using various strategies, most importantly expanding social assistance policies, which accelerated the emergence of a new welfare state.

Type
Articles
Copyright
© 2020 Academia Europaea

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Aktan, I (2015) Bloodshed stokes Kurdish separatist sentiment – Al-monitor: the pulse of the Middle East. Available at: www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2015/12/turkey-kurds-bloodshed-stokes-separatist-sentiment.html (accessed 2 February 2016).Google Scholar
Amsden, AH (2001) The Rise of The Rest: Challenges to the West from Late-Industrializing Economies. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Aytaç, SE and Öniş, Z (2014) Varieties of populism in a changing global context: the divergent paths of Erdoğan and Kirchnerismo. Comparative Politics 47(1), 4159. DOI: 10.5129/001041514813623137.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Azevedo, D (2004) A Igreja Católica e seu papel político no Brasil. Estudos Avançados 18(52), 109120. DOI: 10.1590/S0103-40142004000300009.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrientos, A (2013) The rise of social assistance in Brazil. Development and Change 44(4), 887910.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bourne, R (2008) Lula of Brazil: The Story so Far. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press. Available at: https://books.google.com/books?hl=tr&lr=&id=GZ7fua1KgL0C&oi=fnd&pg=PR7&dq=lula+of+brazil+the+story&ots=C2MyYaA4fl&sig=FBgju1FmwdQGVL0rzbHBUDRhKho (accessed 28 January 2016).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bresser-Pereira, LC (2016) Remando contra a mare: Novo Desenvolvimentismo e interesse nacional. Revista Plural 2(22).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Buğra, A and Keyder, Ç (2006) The Turkish welfare regime in transformation. Journal of European Social Policy 16(3), 211228. DOI: 10.1177/0958928706065593.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cam, S (2002) Neo-liberalism and labour within the context of an ‘emerging market’ economy – Turkey. Capital & Class 26(2), 89114. DOI: 10.1177/030981680207700104.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Çarkoğlu, A (2007) The nature of left–right ideological self–placement in the Turkish context. Turkish Studies 8(2), 253271. DOI: 10.1080/14683840701312245.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Çarkoğlu, A (2012) Economic evaluations vs. ideology: diagnosing the sources of electoral change in Turkey, 2002–2011. Electoral Studies 31(3), 513521. DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2012.02.005.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Çarkoğlu, A and Hinich, MJ (2006) A spatial analysis of Turkish party preferences. Electoral Studies 25(2), 369392. DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2005.06.010.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Comin, A (1996) Sindicatos y centrales sindicales en Brasil en los años 80 y 90. América Latina Hoy 14, 93103.Google Scholar
Davis, M (2004) Planet of slums: urban involution and the informal proletariat. New Left Review 26, 534.Google Scholar
Della Cava, R (1989) The ‘People’s Church’, the Vatican and Abertura. In Stepan A (ed.), Democratizing Brazil. New York: Oxford University Press, pp. 143–167.Google Scholar
Dinçşahin, Ş (2012) A symptomatic analysis of the Justice and Development Party’s populism in Turkey, 2007–2010. Government and Opposition 47(4), 618640. DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-7053.2012.01377.x.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elveren, AY (2008) Social security reform in Turkey: a critical perspective. Review of Radical Political Economics 40(2), 212232. DOI: 10.1177/0486613407310561.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Esen, B and Gumuscu, S (2016) Rising competitive authoritarianism in Turkey. Third World Quarterly 37(9), 15811606. DOI: 10.1080/01436597.2015.1135732.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gaulard, M (2012) The ‘hot money’ phenomenon in Brazil. Revista de Economia Política 32(3), 367388.Google Scholar
Gumuscu, S (2010) Class, status, and party: the changing face of political Islam in Turkey and Egypt. Comparative Political Studies 43(7), 835861. DOI: 10.1177/0010414010361341.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gumuscu, S and Sert, D (2009) The power of the devout bourgeoisie: the case of the Justice and Development Party in Turkey. Middle Eastern Studies 45(6), 953968. DOI: 10.1080/00263200903268710.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Günal, A (2008) Health and citizenship in republican Turkey: an analysis of the socialization of health services in the republican historical context. Unpublished PhD Thesis, Bhosphourous University Ataturk Institute.Google Scholar
Gürel, B (2015) Islamism: a comparative-historical overview. In Balkan, N, Balkan, E and Öncü, A (eds), The Neoliberal Landscape and the Rise of Islamist Capital in Turkey. New York: Berghahn Books.Google Scholar
Haggard, S and Kaufman, RR (2008) Development, Democracy, and Welfare States: Latin America, East Asia, and Eastern Europe. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Hosgör, E (2011) Islamic capital/Anatolian Tigers: past and present. Middle Eastern Studies 47(2), 343360. DOI: 10.1080/00263206.2011.534336.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Humphrey, J (1982) Capitalist Control and Workers’ Struggle in the Brazilian Auto Industry. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Available at: http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/1197.html (accessed 28 January 2016).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jefferson West, W (2005) Regional cleavages in Turkish politics: an electoral geography of the 1999 and 2002 national elections. Political Geography 24(4), 499523. DOI: 10.1016/j.polgeo.2005.01.003.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Keck, ME (1995) The Workers’ Party and Democratization in Brazil. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Keyder, Ç (2004) The Turkish bell jar. New Left Review (28), 6584.Google Scholar
Keyder, C (2005) Globalization and social exclusion in Istanbul. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research 29(1), 124134. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2427.2005.00574.x.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Klaiber, JL (1998) The Church, Dictatorships, and Democracy in Latin America. New York: Orbis Books.Google Scholar
KONDA (2007) Siyasal Eğilimler Araştırmaları Özet Raporu 2007 Genel Seçimleri Öncesi Eğilim Araştırmaları. Available at: http://konda.com.tr/tr/raporlar.php.Google Scholar
KONDA (2011) Barometre 4 Aylık Rapor – Seçim Analizi. KONDA. Available at: http://konda.com.tr/tr/raporlar.php.Google Scholar
KONDA (2015) Analysis of 1 November Elections (1 Kasım Sandık ve Seçmen Analizi Raporu). KONDA. Available at: http://konda.com.tr/tr/raporlar/KONDA_1Kas%C4%B1m2015SandikveSecmenAnaliziRaporu.pdf.Google Scholar
Mainwaring, S (1986) The Catholic Church and Politics in Brazil, 1916-1985. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press. Available at: https://books.google.com/books?hl=tr&lr=&id=vsKfAAAAIAAJ&oi=fnd&pg=PR11&dq=The+Catholic+Church+and+Politics+in+Brazil&ots=009PfzuUvE&sig=2nlawNC92iSt7HKivFgEeTBZ6iE (accessed 28 January 2016).Google Scholar
Ministry of Family, Work and Social Services (2017) 2002 de Sosyal Yardımlara Ayrılan Bütçe 13 Milyar Lirayken Bugün Bu Rakam 33 Milyar Lirayı Aştı. www.aile.gov.tr/haberler/2002de-sosyal-yardimlara-ayrilan-butce-13-milyar-lirayken-bugun-bu-rakam-33-milyar-lirayi-asti-sosyal-yardimlarda-buyuk-bir-cigir-actik Google Scholar
Öniş, Z (2006) The political economy of Turkey’s Justice and Development Party. In Hakan Yavuz M (ed.), The Emergence of a New Turkey: Democracy and the AK Parti. Salt lake City: Utah University Press, pp. 207–234.Google Scholar
Öniş, Z (2013) Sharing Power: Turkey’s Democratization Challenge in the Age of the AKP Hegemony. ID 2254762, SSRN Scholarly Paper, 22 April. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. Available at: http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2254762 (accessed 28 January 2016).Google Scholar
Özbudun, E (2015) Turkey’s judiciary and the drift toward competitive authoritarianism. The International Spectator 50(2), 4255. https://doi.org/10.1080/03932729.2015.1020651.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Özgür, B (2014) İşte Ak Parti’nin ‘Sosyal Yardım’ Gerçeği! Online. 29 December. Available at: www.radikal.com.tr/politika/iste-ak-partinin-sosyal-yardim-gercegi-1260849/ (accessed 14 November 2015).Google Scholar
Pereira, LCB (2010) Globalization and Competition: Why some Emergent Countries Succeed while others Fall Behind. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Available at: https://books.google.com/books?hl=tr&lr=&id=DjyindSzmBEC&oi=fnd&pg=PA1&dq=Globalization+and+Competition:+Why+Some+Emergent+Countries+Succeed+While+Others+Fall+Behind&ots=EDEv1ichzf&sig=P7MaJmeYK2iuPE4ssu1DAvALr4w (accessed 28 January 2016).Google Scholar
Piven, FF and Cloward, RA (1971) Regulating the Poor: The Functions of Public Welfare. New York: Pantheon Books.Google Scholar
Piven, FF and Minnite, LC (2015) Crisis, convulsion and the welfare state. In Farnsworth, K and Irving, Z (eds), Social Policy in Times of Austerity: Towards a New International Political. Policy Press, pp. 143170.Google Scholar
Portes, A and Hoffman, K(2003) Latin American class structures: their composition and change during the neoliberal era. Latin American Research Review 38(1): 4182. DOI: 10.1353/lar.2003.0011.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Robles, C and Mirosevic, V (2014) Social Protection Systems in Latin America and the Caribbean: Brazil. Text, 24 December. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean. Available at: www.cepal.org/en/publications/4062-social-protection-systems-latin-america-and-caribbean-brazil (accessed 28 January 2016).Google Scholar
Rodrik, D (2015) Premature Deindustrialization. 20935, Working Paper, February. National Bureau of Economic Research. Available at: www.nber.org/papers/w20935 (accessed 30 December 2015).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sader, E (1988) Quando novos personagens entraram em cena. Rio de janeiro: Paz e Terra.Google Scholar
Sarkissian, A and Ozler, SI (2009) Negotiating Islam, Civil Society, and Secularism: The Justice and Development Party in Turkey. ID 1451116, SSRN Scholarly Paper. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. Available at: http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=1451116 (accessed 30 December 2015).Google Scholar
Shively, K (2008) Taming Islam: Studying Religion in Secular Turkey. Anthropological Quarterly 81(3): 683711. DOI: 10.1353/anq.0.0017.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Somer, M (2007) Moderate Islam and secularist opposition in Turkey: implications for the world, Muslims and secular democracy. Third World Quarterly 28(7), 12711289. DOI: 10.1080/01436590701604888.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Taylor, L (2006) External Liberalization in Asia, Post-socialist Europe, and Brazil. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Available at: https://books.google.com/books?hl=tr&lr=&id=fKWSyfHRguAC&oi=fnd&pg=PR7&dq=External+Liberalization+in+Asia,+Post-Socialist+Europe,+and+Brazil&ots=lruSU7Eylr&sig=kO0LEeWP--06rDQNP92xNJCN8_E (accessed 28 January 2016).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Terron, SL and Soares, GAD (2010) As bases eleitorais de Lula e do PT: do distanciamento ao divórcio. Opinião pública 16(2), 310337.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tezcür, GM (2012) Trends and characteristics of the Turkish party system in light of the 2011 elections. Turkish Studies 13(2), 117134. DOI: 10.1080/14683849.2012.685251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tugal, C (2007) NATO’s Islamists. New Left Review 44, 5.Google Scholar
Tugal, C (2009) Passive Revolution: Absorbing the Islamic Challenge to Capitalism. CA: Stanford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
UNCTADstat (2019) United Nations Conference on Trade and Development Statistics https://unctadstat.unctad.org/ Google Scholar
Üçkardeşler, E (2015) Turkey’s changing social policy landscape. Turkish Policy Quarterly 13(4), 149161.Google Scholar
World Bank (2017) Global Investment Competitiveness Report 2017/2018. Washington DC: World Bank.Google Scholar
World Bank (2019) World Bank Open Data. data.worldbank.org Google Scholar
World Bank ASPIRE (2019) The Atlas of Social Protection Indicators of Resilience and Equity. http://datatopics.worldbank.org/aspire/.Google Scholar
Yoltar, Ç (2009) When the poor need health care: ethnography of state and citizenship in Turkey. Middle Eastern Studies 45(5), 769782. DOI: 10.1080/00263200903135562.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yörük, E (2012) Welfare provision as political containment the politics of social assistance and the Kurdish conflict in Turkey. Politics & Society 40(4), 517547. DOI: 10.1177/0032329212461130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yörük, E and Yüksel, M (2014) Class and politics in Turkey’s Gezi protests. New Left Review (89), 103123.Google Scholar