The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) interventional procedures programme (IPP) issues guidance on the safety and efficacy of new interventional procedures (IPS). The IPP considers a range of evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to case series to make final recommendations. Real-world evidence (RWE) can provide additional information on long-term outcomes and patient population characteristics that are not easily captured by RCTs. This study explores the impact of RWE in complementing RCTs on long-term safety and efficacy for national guidance development.

We review the impact of RWE in IPS guidance (IPG) updates and change in guidance recommendations in the last 5 years. This is done by analyzing NICE guidance updates and supporting evidence. A range of RWE was considered in the supporting evidence, for example, registries and clinical audits.

The addition of RWE evidence to IPP guidance update has led to significant changes in the recommendations. For example, in one recent IPG, standard arrangements recommendation based on short-term RCT evidence was changed to a research recommendation when RWE showed an increase in long-term adverse effects. In another recent IPG update, special arrangements recommendation based on short-term RCT evidence was changed to a research recommendation when RWE reported long-term inferior efficacy and safety for the new intervention compared to current standard of care. A complete overview of results of the last 5 years will also be presented at the meeting.

These findings indicate that increased availability of RWE in HTA has the potential to impact national guidance recommendations. In addition, it shows how RWE can fill the evidence base gaps created by RCTs. Such data can confirm or contradict the findings of RCTs, or generate questions needing further research, or support disinvestment in non-effective technologies.