Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-x5gtn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-02T13:19:11.666Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

V.—The Decline of the Birth-Rate : Regularities Revealed by an Analysis of the Rates Observed in Certain European Countries

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 September 2014

R. S. Barclay
Affiliation:
Laboratory of the Royal College of Physicians, Edinburgh
W. O. Kermack
Affiliation:
Laboratory of the Royal College of Physicians, Edinburgh
Get access

Extract

During recent decades the vital statistics of the more developed countries of the world have exhibited two outstanding features: the first is a decline in the death‐rate, and the second a similar decline in the birth‐rate, the latter setting in some time after the former. It is generally realised that, for an adequate study of the changes involved, it is necessary, not merely to consider the crude death‐ and birth‐rates—that is, the number of deaths and births respectively per 1000 inhabitants—but also to take into account the age distribution of the population. In the case of death‐rates, for instance, it is important to know the specific death‐rates for each age-group—that is to say, for example, the annual number of deaths of persons aged twenty, per 1000 individuals of that particular age. In the same way the crude birth‐rate can only be properly interpreted when analysed in reference to the age of the mothers.

Type
Proceedings
Copyright
Copyright © Royal Society of Edinburgh 1939

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

References to Literature

Folkemengdens Bevegelse, 1921–32, Table k, p. 24.Google Scholar
Honey, F. J. C., 1937. Journ. Inst. Act., vol. lxviii, p. 331.Google Scholar
Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., and McKinlay, P. L., 1934. Lancet, i, p. 698.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., and McKinlay, P. L., 1935. Journ. Hyg., vol. xxxiv, p. 433.Google Scholar
Kuczynski, R. R., 1935. The Measurement of Population Growth, pp. 122 and 123.Google Scholar
Lewis, C. J., and Lewis, J. N., 1906. Natality and Fecundity, Table XIV, p. 29.Google Scholar
Registrar‐General's Statistical Review of England and Wales for 1922, Text, Table LXXIV, p. 138.Google Scholar
Registrar‐General's Statistical Review of England and Wales for 1932, Text, Table LXXXVIII, p. 136.Google Scholar
Rich, C. D., 1934. Journ. Inst. Act., vol. lxv, p. 48.Google Scholar
Statistique du Mouvement de la Population, 1935, N.Ser., vol. xv, part 1, p. xlvi.Google Scholar
Statistisk Årsbok för Sverige, 1931, Table 38, p. 49.Google Scholar
Statistisk Tabelvaerk (Danmark), 1926–30, 5th Ser., letter A, no. 19, p. 32 * .Google Scholar