Nonlinear Econometric Modeling in Time Series presents the more recent literature on nonlinear time series. Specific topics covered with respect to nonlinearity include cointegration tests, risk-related asymmetries, structural breaks and outliers, Bayesian analysis with a threshold, consistency and asymptotic normality, asymptotic inference and error-correction models. With a world-class panel of contributors, this volume addresses topics with major applications for fields such as foreign-exchange markets and interest rate analysis. Eleventh in this series of international symposia, this volume is also part of the European Conference Series in Quantitative Economics and Econometrics (EC)2.
• Interesting investigation of nonlinear methods in time series analysis • Co-editors and contributors include world-class researchers from UK, Europe and North America • Includes applications for fields such as foreign-exchange markets and interest rate analysis
Series editor's preface; Contributors; 1. Introduction and overview William A. Barnett, David F. Hendry, Svend Hylleberg, Timo Teräsvirta, Dag Tjøstheim and Allan Würtz; 2. Time series cointegration tests and non-linearity William A. Barnett, Barry E. Jones and Travis D. Nesmith; 3. Risk-related asymmetries in foreign exchange markets Giampiero M. Gallo and Barbara Pacini; 4. Nonlinearity, structural breaks or outliers in economic time series? Gary Koop and Simon Potter; 5. Bayesian analysis of nonlinear time series models with a threshold Michael Lubrano; 6. Nonlinear time series models: consistency and asymptotic normality of NLS under new conditions Santiago Miro and Alvaro Escribano; 7. Asymptotic inference on nonlinear functions of the coefficients of infinite order cointegrated VAR processes Pentti Saikkonen and Helmut Lütkepohl; 8. Nonlinear error-correction models for interest rates in the Netherlands Dick van Dijk and Philip Hans Franses.
'The amount of research activity devoted to nonlinear time series modeling has virtually exploded during the past decade. Many of the techniques just recently developed in that literature have already been included in the standard toolbox by macroeconomists and finance practitioners working in the public and private sectors. This latest volume in the International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics series brings together a collection of new papers in this active and exciting area of research. The topics and methodologies are wide ranging, but each of the chapters is well motivated by a genuine, interesting economic problem. A stimulating read.' Tim Bollerslev, Duke University
'The discovery of nonlinear dynamical behaviour in economic and financial time series is the most exciting development in applied econometrics over the past decade. Attention has now moved to the difficult task of identifying the forms of the processes generating these complicated dynamics. The papers contained in Nonlinear Econometric Modeling in Times Series exemplify the surrent state-of-the-art of work in this important area.' Douglas M. Patterson, Virginia Polytechnic institute and State University
'Modern economic processes are often nonlinear, in particular, in international and financial markets. The book by Barnett et al. contains new and challenging studies on modelling and estimating this nonlinearity. It is highly recommended material.' Herman van Dijk, Econometric Institute Rotterdam, The Netherlands
'It seems clear that empirical econometric models based on time series data will be, if anything, nonlinear in nature. This book contains high level contributions to the theory and the application of nonlinear time series models. Its chapters reflect the diversity of topics and approaches in a field that is fundamentally relevant for both macroeconomics and econometrics.' Luc Bauwens, CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium