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The Emergence of Probability

The Emergence of Probability
A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas about Probability, Induction and Statistical Inference

2nd Edition

$29.99 (G)

  • Date Published: July 2006
  • availability: Available
  • format: Paperback
  • isbn: 9780521685573

$ 29.99 (G)
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About the Authors
  • Historical records show that there was no real concept of probability in Europe before the mid-seventeenth century, although the use of dice and other randomizing objects was commonplace. Ian Hacking presents a philosophical critique of early ideas about probability, induction, and statistical inference and the growth of this new family of ideas in the fifteenth, sixteenth, and seventeenth centuries. Hacking invokes a wide intellectual framework involving the growth of science, economics, and the theology of the period. He argues that the transformations that made it possible for probability concepts to emerge have constrained all subsequent development of probability theory and determine the space within which philosophical debate on the subject is still conducted. First published in 1975, this edition includes an introduction that contextualizes his book in light of developing philosophical trends. Ian Hacking is the winner of the Holberg International Memorial Prize 2009.

    • Includes an introduction that contextualizes the book in light of new work and philosophical trends since the first edition, published in 1975
    • Presents a philosophical critique of early ideas about probability, induction and statistical inference
    • Addresses the development of probability from an historical perspective
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    Reviews & endorsements

    "A fascinating in-depth study of the philosophical aspects of the concept of probability during its founding days."
    Andreas Karlsson, Uppsala University

    "[Hacking's] knowledge of the pertinent literature is considerable and the vigorous style of writing makes for enjoyable reading. Hacking states that his book was not written as history: be that as it may, but anyone who is interested in the history of probability and statistics, either as a philosopher or as a statistician, will find much here to think about."
    A.I. Dale, Mathematical Reviews

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    Product details

    • Edition: 2nd Edition
    • Date Published: July 2006
    • format: Paperback
    • isbn: 9780521685573
    • length: 246 pages
    • dimensions: 228 x 153 x 17 mm
    • weight: 0.36kg
    • availability: Available
  • Table of Contents

    Introduction
    1. An absent family of ideas
    2. Duality
    3. Opinion
    4. Evidence
    5. Signs
    6. The first calculations
    7. The Roannez circle
    8. The great decision
    9. The art of thinking
    10. Probability and the law
    11. Expectation
    12. Political arithmetic
    13. Annuities
    14. Equipossibility
    15. Inductive logic
    16. The art of conjecturing
    17. The first limit theorem
    18. Design
    19. Induction.

  • Author

    Ian Hacking
    Ian Hacking holds the chair of philosophy and history of scientific concepts at the College de France. Until recently he was a University Professor of philosophy at the University of Toronto. He is the author of many books, including Representing and Intervening, The Taming of Chance, Probability and Inductive Logic, and most recently Historical Ontology. He is a fellow of the Royal Society of Canada, the American Academy of Arts and Science, and the British Academy. In 2004 he was elected a Companion of the Order of Canada. He is also the winner of the Holberg International Memorial Prize 2009.

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