Skip to main content
×
Home
    • Aa
    • Aa

Democracy and the Logic of Political Survival

  • KEVIN A. CLARKE (a1) and RANDALL W. STONE (a1)
Abstract

Although democracy is a key concept in political science, debate continues over definitions and mechanisms. Bueno de Mesquita, Smith, Siverson, & Morrow (2003) make the important claim that most of democracy's effects are in fact due to something conceptually simpler and empirically easier to measure than democracy: the size of the minimum winning coalition that selects the leader. The argument is intuitively appealing and supported by extensive data analysis. Unfortunately, the statistical technique they use induces omitted variable bias into their results. They argue that they need to control for democracy, but their estimation procedure is equivalent to omitting democracy from their analysis. When we reestimate their regressions controlling for democracy, most of their important findings do not survive.

Copyright
Corresponding author
Kevin A. Clarke is Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627-0146 (kevin.clarke@rochester.edu).
Randall W. Stone is Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627-0146 (randall.stone@rochester.edu).
References
Hide All
Gabriel A. Almond , and Sidney Verba . 1963. The Civic Culture: Political Attitudes and Democracy in Five Nations. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Allen Hicken , Shanker Satyanath , and Ernest Sergenti . 2005. “Political Institutions and Economic Performance: The Effects of Accountability and Obstacles to Policy Change.” American Journal of Political Science 49 (October): 897907.

Peter E. Kennedy 1982. “Eliminating Problems Caused by Multicollinearity: A Warning.” The Journal of Economic Education 13 (Winter): 6264.

John C. Soper 1976. “Second Generation Research in Economic Education: Problems of Specification and Interdependence.” The Journal of Economic Education 8 (Autumn): 4048.

Craig. Swan 1978. “Comments on the Problems of Specification and Interdependence in a Set of Learning Equations.” The Journal of Economic Education 9 (Spring): 8186.

Recommend this journal

Email your librarian or administrator to recommend adding this journal to your organisation's collection.

American Political Science Review
  • ISSN: 0003-0554
  • EISSN: 1537-5943
  • URL: /core/journals/american-political-science-review
Please enter your name
Please enter a valid email address
Who would you like to send this to? *
×

Metrics

Full text views

Total number of HTML views: 9
Total number of PDF views: 115 *
Loading metrics...

Abstract views

Total abstract views: 405 *
Loading metrics...

* Views captured on Cambridge Core between September 2016 - 18th October 2017. This data will be updated every 24 hours.