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Estimation in the Pareto Distribution

  • Mette Rytgaard (a1)

Abstract

In the present paper, different estimators of the Pareto parameter α will be proposed and compared to each others.

First traditional estimators of α as the maximum likelihood estimator and the moment estimator will be deduced and their statistical properties will be analyzed. It is shown that the maximum likelihood estimator is biased but it can easily be modified to an minimum-variance unbiased estimator of a. But still the coefficient of variance of this estimator is very large.

For similar portfolios containing same types of risks we will expect the estimated α-values to be at the same level. Therefore, credibility theory is used to obtain an alternative estimator of α which will be more stable and less sensitive to random fluctuations in the observed losses.

Finally, an estimator of the risk premium for an unlimited excess of loss cover will be proposed. It is shown that this estimator is a minimum-variance unbiased estimator of the risk premium. This estimator of the risk premium will be compared to the more traditional methods of calculating the risk premium.

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Copyright

Corresponding author

Nordisk Reinsurance Company, Grønningen 25, DK-1270 Copenhagen K, Denmark.

References

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Benktander, G. (1970) Schadenverteilung nach Grösse in der Nicht-lebenversicherung. Mitteilungen der Vereinigung Schweizerischer Versicherungsmathematiker, 70.
Benktander, G. (1978) Largest Claims Reinsurance (LCR). A Quick method to calculate LCR-Risk Rates from Excess of Loss Risk-rates. ASTIN Bulletin 10, 5458.
Benktander, G. (1988) Security Loadings in excess of loss. Transactions of the 23rd International Congress of Actuaries, Helsinki 4, 918.
Bühlmann, Hans (1970) Mathematical Methods in Risk Theory. Springer-Verlag, Berlin-Heidelberg.
Hogg, Robert V. and Klugman, Stuart A. (1984) Loss Distributions. John Wiley & Sons, New York.
Mukhopadhyay, N. and Ekwo, M.E. (1987) Sequential Estimation Problems for the Scale Parameter of a Pareto Distribution. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 83103.
Rao, C. R. (1973) Linear Statitistical Inference and Its Applications. John Wiley & Sons, New York.
Silvey, S.D. (1970) Statistical Inference. Penguin Books, Harmondsworth, Middlesex.

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Estimation in the Pareto Distribution

  • Mette Rytgaard (a1)

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