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Crop productivity and adaptation to climate change in Pakistan

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 June 2018

Ashley Gorst ,
Ali Dehlavi  and
Ben Groom
Ashley Gorst*
Affiliation:
Vivid Economics, London, UK
Ali Dehlavi
Affiliation:
Data Strategy and Analytics Department HBL Pakistan, Karachi, Pakistan
Ben Groom
Affiliation:
Department of Geography and Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
*
*Corresponding author. E-mail: ashley.gorst@vivideconomics.com
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Abstract

The effectiveness of adaptation strategies is crucial for reducing the costs of climate change. Using plot-level data from a specifically designed survey conducted in Pakistan, we investigate the productive benefits for farmers who adapt to climate change. The impact of implementing on-farm adaptation strategies is estimated separately for two staple crops: wheat and rice. We employ propensity score matching and endogenous switching regressions to account for the possibility that farmers self-select into adaptation. Estimated productivity gains are positive and significant for rice farmers who adapted, but negligible for wheat. Counterfactual gains for non-adapters were significantly positive, which is potentially a sign of transactions costs to adaptation. Other factors associated with adaptation were formal credit and extension, underscoring the importance of addressing institutional and informational constraints that inhibit farmers from improving their farming practices. The findings provide evidence for the Pakistani Planning and Development Department's ongoing assessment of climate-related agricultural losses.

Keywords

climate changeadaptationproductivityPakistanwheatrice
Type
Research Article
Information
Environment and Development Economics , Volume 23 , Issue 6 , December 2018 , pp. 679 - 701
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2018 

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