Skip to main content
×
Home
    • Aa
    • Aa
  • Get access
    Check if you have access via personal or institutional login
  • Cited by 6
  • Cited by
    This article has been cited by the following publications. This list is generated based on data provided by CrossRef.

    Papaioannou, Kostadis J. 2016. Climate shocks and conflict: Evidence from colonial Nigeria. Political Geography, Vol. 50, p. 33.


    Seo, S. Niggol 2016. Microbehavioral Econometric Methods.


    Van Passel, Steven Massetti, Emanuele and Mendelsohn, Robert 2016. A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on European Agriculture. Environmental and Resource Economics,


    Fenske, James and Kala, Namrata 2015. Climate and the slave trade. Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 112, p. 19.


    Perrings, Charles 2014. Environment and development economics 20 years on. Environment and Development Economics, Vol. 19, Issue. 03, p. 333.


    Seo, S. Niggol 2014. Evaluation of the Agro-Ecological Zone methods for the study of climate change with micro farming decisions in sub-Saharan Africa. European Journal of Agronomy, Vol. 52, p. 157.


    ×
  • Environment and Development Economics, Volume 17, Issue 6
  • December 2012, pp. 663-687

The impact of climate change on agro-ecological zones: evidence from Africa

  • Namrata Kala (a1), Pradeep Kurukulasuriya (a2) and Robert Mendelsohn (a3)
  • DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X12000241
  • Published online: 10 August 2012
Abstract
Abstract

This study predicts the impact of climate change on African agriculture. We use a generalized linear model (GLM) framework to estimate the relationship between the proportion of various Agro-Ecological Zones (AEZs) in a district and climate. Using three climate scenarios, we project how climate change will cause AEZs to shift, causing changes in acreage and net revenue per hectare of cropland. Our results predict that Africa will suffer heavy annual welfare losses by 2070–2100, ranging between US$14 billion and US$70 billion, depending on the climate scenario and cropland measure considered.

Copyright
Linked references
Hide All

This list contains references from the content that can be linked to their source. For a full set of references and notes please see the PDF or HTML where available.

R.M. Adams , R.A. Fleming, C. Chang, B.A. McCarl, and C. Rosenzweig (1995), ‘A reassessment of the economic effects of global climate change on U.S. agriculture’, Climate Change 30(2): 147167.

J. Aitchison (2003), ‘Compositional data analysis: where are we and where should we be heading?’, Mathematical Geology 37(7): 829850.

A. Basist , N.C. Grody, T.C. Peterson, and C.N. Williams (1998), ‘Using the special sensor microwave/imager to monitor land surface temperatures, wetness, and snow cover’, Journal of Applied Meteorology 37(9): 888911.

G. Boer , G. Flato, and D. Ramsden (2000), ‘A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: projected climate for the 21st century’, Climate Dynamics 16(6): 427450.

D.R. Cox and N. Wermuth (1996), Multivariate Dependencies, London: Chapman and Hall.

R. Darwin (2004), ‘Effects of greenhouse gas emissions on world agriculture, food consumption, and economic welfare’, Climatic Change 66(1): 191238.

C. Giri , Z. Zhu, and B. Reed (2005), ‘A comparative analysis of the Global Land Cover 2000 and MODIS land cover data sets’, Remote Sensing of Environment 94(1): 123132.

R. Kieschnick and B.D. McCullough (2003), ‘Regression analysis of variates observed on (0,1): percentages, proportions, and fractions’, Statistical Modelling 3(3): 193213.

P. Kurukulasuriya , R. Mendelsohn, (2006), ‘Will African agriculture survive climate change?’, World Bank Economic Review 20(3): 367388.

P. McCullagh and J.A. Nelder (1989), Generalized Linear Models (2nd ed.), New York: Chapman and Hall.

R. Mendelsohn and A. Dinar (2009), Climate Change and Agriculture: An Economic Analysis of Global Impacts, Adaptation, and Distributional Effects, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing.

R. Ospina and S. Ferrari (2010), ‘Inflated beta distributions’, Statistical Papers 51(1): 111126.

L.E. Papke and J.E. Wooldridge (1996), ‘Econometric methods for fractional response variables with an application to 401 (K) plan participation rates’, Journal of Applied Econometrics 11(6): 619632.

M.L. Parry , C. Rosenzweig, A. Iglesias, M. Livermore, and G. Fischer (2004), ‘Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios’, Global Environmental Change 14(1): 5367.

J. Reilly , N. Hohmann, and S. Kane (1994), ‘Climate change and agricultural trade: who benefits, who loses?’, Global Environmental Change 4(1): 2436.

C. Rosenzweig and M. Parry (1994), ‘Potential impact of climate change on world food supply’, Nature 367(1): 133138.

Recommend this journal

Email your librarian or administrator to recommend adding this journal to your organisation's collection.

Environment and Development Economics
  • ISSN: 1355-770X
  • EISSN: 1469-4395
  • URL: /core/journals/environment-and-development-economics
Please enter your name
Please enter a valid email address
Who would you like to send this to? *
×