Skip to main content Accessibility help

We use cookies to distinguish you from other users and to provide you with a better experience on our websites. Close this message to accept cookies or find out how to manage your cookie settings.

Close cookie message
×
Home
Hostname: page-component-ffbbcc459-slw7l Total loading time: 0.454 Render date: 2022-03-12T10:28:17.311Z Has data issue: true Feature Flags: { "shouldUseShareProductTool": true, "shouldUseHypothesis": true, "isUnsiloEnabled": true, "useRatesEcommerce": false, "useNewApi": true }
  • English
Epidemiology & Infection Epidemiology & Infection

Article contents

Assessing the effects of temperature on dengue transmission

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 February 2009

H. M. YANG ,
M. L. G. MACORIS ,
K. C. GALVANI ,
M. T. M. ANDRIGHETTI  and
D. M. V. WANDERLEY
H. M. YANG*
Affiliation:
UNICAMP – IMECC, Departamento de Matemática Aplicada, Campinas, SP, Brazil
M. L. G. MACORIS
Affiliation:
SUCEN, Avenida Santo Antonio, Bairro Somenzari, Marìlia, SP, Brazil
K. C. GALVANI
Affiliation:
SUCEN, Avenida Santo Antonio, Bairro Somenzari, Marìlia, SP, Brazil
M. T. M. ANDRIGHETTI
Affiliation:
SUCEN, Avenida Santo Antonio, Bairro Somenzari, Marìlia, SP, Brazil
D. M. V. WANDERLEY
Affiliation:
SUCEN, Avenida Santo Antonio, Bairro Somenzari, Marìlia, SP, Brazil
*
*Author for correspondence: Prof. H. M. Yang, UNICAMP – IMECC, Departamento de Matemática Aplicada, Caixa Postal 6065, CEP 13083-859, Campinas, SP, Brazil. (Email: hyunyang@ime.unicamp.br)
Rights & Permissions[Opens in a new window]

Summary

HTML view is not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

The incidence of dengue infection, a vector-borne disease transmitted by the mosquito Aedes aegypti, shows clear dependence on seasonal variation. Based on the quantification method that furnishes the size of the A. aegypti population in terms of the estimated entomological parameters for different temperatures, we assessed the risk of dengue outbreaks. The persistence and severity of epidemics can be assessed by the basic reproduction number R0, which varies with temperature. The expression for R0 obtained from ‘true’ and ‘pseudo’ mass action laws for dengue infection is discussed.

Keywords

Basic reproduction numberglobal warmingmass action lawmathematical modellingrisk of dengue with temperature
Type
Original Papers
Information
Epidemiology & Infection , Volume 137 , Issue 8 , August 2009 , pp. 1179 - 1187
Copyright
Copyright © 2009 Cambridge University Press

References

1. Mandell, GL, Bennett, JE, Dolin, R. Mandell, Douglas, and Bennett's Principles and Practice of Infectious Diseases. Philadelphia: Elsevier Inc., 2005, pp. 3662.Google Scholar
2. Tripet, F, Aboagye-Antwi, F, Hurd, H. Ecological immunology of mosquito-malaria interactions. Trends in Parasitology 2008; 24: 219–227.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
3. Veronesi, R. Doenças Infecciosas e Parasitárias. Rio de Janeiro: Ed. Guanabara Koogan, 1991, pp. 1082.Google Scholar
4. Nelson, MJ. Aedes aegypti: Biologia y Ecologia, Washington, DC: Organización Panamericana de la Salud, 1986, pp. 50.Google Scholar
5. Rueda, LM, et al. Temperature development and survival rates of Culex quinquefasciatus and Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae). Journal of Medical Entomology 1990; 27: 892–898.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
6. Yang, HM, et al. Assessing the effects of temperature on the population of Aedes aegypti, the vector of dengue. Epidemiology and Infection 2009. doi:10.1017/S0950268809002040.Google ScholarPubMed
7. Esteva, L, Vargas, C. Coexistence of different serotypes of dengue virus. Journal of Mathematical Biology 2003; 46: 31–47.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
8. Esteva, L, Yang, HM. Mathematical model to assess the control of Aedes aegypti mosquitoes by the sterile insect technique. Mathematical Biosciences 2005; 198: 132–147.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
9. Feng, Z, Velasco-Hernandez, V. Competitive exclusion in a vector-host model for the dengue fever. Journal of Mathematical Biology 1996; 35: 523–544.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
10. Newton, EA, Reiter, A. A model of the transmission of dengue fever with an evaluation of the impact of ultra-low-volume (ULV) insecticide applications on dengue epidemics. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 1992; 47: 709–720.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
11. Lindsay, SW, Birley, MH. Review: climate change and malaria transmission. Annals of Tropical Medicine and Parasitology 1996; 90: 573–588.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
12. Li, MY et al. Global dynamics of a SEIR model with varying total population size. Mathematical Biosciences 1999; 160: 191–213.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
13. Yang, HM. Modelling vaccination strategy against directly transmitted diseases using a series of pulses. Journal of Biological Systems 1998; 6: 187–212.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
14. Glasser, CM. Study of the infestation of the State of São Paulo by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus [in Portuguese]. Dissertation, FSP, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, 1997.Google Scholar
15. Maidana, NA, Yang, HM. Describing the geographic propagation of dengue disease by travelling waves. Mathematical Biosciences 2008; 215: 64–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
16. Epidemiological Vigilance Centre (http://www.cve.saude.sp.gov.br/htm/zoo/den_dir06.htm). Accessed 27 September 2007.Google Scholar
17. Epidemiological Vigilance Centre (http://www.cve.saude.sp.gov.br/htm/zoo/den_2se07.htm). Accessed 10 April 2008.Google Scholar
18. Hale, JK. Ordinary Differential Equations. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1969, pp. 332.Google Scholar
19. Edelstein-Keshet, L. Mathematical Models in Biology (Birkhäuser Mathematics Series). New York: McGraw-Hill Inc., 1988, pp. 586.Google Scholar
20. Leite, MBF, Bassanezi, RC, Yang, HM. The basic reproduction ratio for a model of directly transmitted infections considering the virus charge and the immunological response. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology 2000; 17: 15–31.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
You have Access
60
Cited by

Send article to Kindle

To send this article to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about sending to your Kindle. Find out more about sending to your Kindle.

Note you can select to send to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be sent to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Assessing the effects of temperature on dengue transmission
Available formats
×

Send article to Dropbox

To send this article to your Dropbox account, please select one or more formats and confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your <service> account. Find out more about sending content to Dropbox.

Assessing the effects of temperature on dengue transmission
Available formats
×

Send article to Google Drive

To send this article to your Google Drive account, please select one or more formats and confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your <service> account. Find out more about sending content to Google Drive.

Assessing the effects of temperature on dengue transmission
Available formats
×
×

Reply to: Submit a response

Please enter your response.

Your details

Please enter a valid email address.

Conflicting interests

Do you have any conflicting interests? *