Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-t5pn6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-23T19:27:45.807Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Who Controls Foreign Aid? Elite versus Public Perceptions of Donor Influence in Aid-Dependent Uganda

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 August 2017

Get access

Abstract

Does foreign aid enable or constrain elite capture of public revenues? Reflecting on prominent debates in the foreign aid literature, we examine whether recipient preferences are consistent with a view that foreign donors wield substantial control over the flow of aid dollars, making elite capture more difficult and mass benefits more likely. We compare elite and mass support for foreign aid versus government spending on development projects through a survey experiment with behavioral outcomes. A key innovation is a parallel experiment on members of the Ugandan national parliament and a representative sample of Ugandan citizens. For two actual aid projects, we randomly assigned different funders to the projects. Significant treatment effects reveal that members of parliament support government programs over foreign aid, whereas citizens prefer aid over government. Donor control also implies that citizens should favor foreign aid more and elites less as their perceptions of government clientelism and corruption increase. We explore this and report on other alternative mechanisms. Effects for citizens and elites are most apparent for those perceiving significant government corruption, suggesting that both sets of subjects perceive significant donor control over aid.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Afrobarometer Data. 2012. Uganda, Round 5. Available from <http://www.afrobarometer.org>. Accessed 12 February 2016..+Accessed+12+February+2016.>Google Scholar
Alesina, Alberto, and Dollar, David. 2000. Who Gives Foreign Aid to Whom and Why? Journal of Economic Growth 5 (1):3363.Google Scholar
Alesina, Alberto, and Weder, Beatrice. 2002. Do Corrupt Governments Receive Less Foreign Aid? The American Economic Review 92 (4):1126–37.Google Scholar
Altincekic, Ceren, and Bearce, David H.. 2014. Why There Should Be No Political Foreign Aid Curse. World Development 64:1832.Google Scholar
Aronow, Peter M., Carnegie, Allison, and Marinov, Nikolay. 2012. The Effects of Aid on Rights and Governance: Evidence from a Natural Experiment. Unpublished manuscript, Yale University, New Haven.Google Scholar
Baser, Heather, and Morgan, Peter. 2008. Capacity, Change, and Performance. Unpublished manuscript, European Centre for Development Policy Management, Maastricht.Google Scholar
Bayart, Jean-François. 1993. The State in Africa: The Politics of the Belly. New York: Longman.Google Scholar
Bearce, David H., and Tirone, Daniel C.. 2010. Foreign Aid Effectiveness and the Strategic Goals of Donor Governments. The Journal of Politics 72 (3):837–51.Google Scholar
Berinsky, Adam J., Margolis, Michele, and Sances, Michael W.. 2012. Separating the Shirkers from the Workers? Making Sure Respondents Pay Attention on Internet Surveys. Paper presented at the NYU CESS Fifth Annual Experimental Political Science Conference. New York.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bermeo, Sarah Blodgett. 2008. Foreign Aid, Foreign Policy, and Strategic Development . PhD diss., Princeton University.Google Scholar
Bermeo, Sarah Blodgett. 2010. Development and Strategy: Aid Allocation in an Interdependent World. Unpublished manuscript, Duke University, Durham, NC.Google Scholar
Bermeo, Sarah Blodgett. 2011. Foreign Aid and Regime Change: A Role for Donor Intent. World Development 39 (11):2021–31.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bermeo, Sarah Blodgett. 2016. Aid Is Not Oil: Donor Utility, Heterogeneous Aid, and the Aid-Democratization Relationship. International Organization 70 (1):132.Google Scholar
Bodenstein, Thilo, and Kemmerling, Achim. 2015. A Paradox of Redistribution in International Aid? The Determinants of Poverty-Oriented Development Assistance. World Development 76:359–69.Google Scholar
Boix, Carles. 2003. Democracy and Redistribution, Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bratton, Michael, and van de Walle, Nicolas. 1997. Democratic Experiments in Africa: Regime Transitions in Compartative Perspective. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bräutigam, Deborah. 2000. Aid Dependence and Governance, Expert Group on Development Issues. Stockholm: Almqvist and Wiksell International.Google Scholar
Bräutigam, Deborah, and Knack, Stephen. 2004. Foreign Aid, Institutions, and Governance in Sub-Saharan Africa. Economic Development and Cultural Change 52 (2):255–85.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, and Smith, Alastair. 2007. Foreign Aid and Policy Concessions. Journal of Conflict Resolution 51 (2):251–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, and Smith, Alastair. 2009. A Political Economy of Aid. International Organization 63 (2):309–40.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, Smith, Alastair, Siverson, Randolph M., and Morrow, James D.. 2003. The Logic of Political Survival. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Burnside, Craig, and Dollar, David. 2000. Aid, Policies and Growth. American Economic Review 90 (4):847–68.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cheibub, José Antonio, Gandhi, Jennifer, and Vreeland, James Raymond. 2010. Democracy and Dictatorship Revisited. Public Choice 143 (1–2):67101.Google Scholar
Dietrich, Simone. 2013. Bypass or Engage? Explaining Donor Delivery Tactics in Foreign Aid Allocation. International Studies Quarterly 57 (4):698712.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dunning, Thad. 2004. Conditioning the Effects of Aid: Cold War Politics, Donor Credibility, and Democracy in Africa. International Organization 58 (2):409–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Easterly, William. 2006. The White Man's Burden: Why the West's Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Feyzioglu, Tarhan, Swaroop, Vinaya, and Zhu, Min. 1998. A Panel Data Analysis of the Fungibility of Foreign Aid. World Bank Economic Review 12 (1):2958.Google Scholar
Findley, Michael G., Milner, Helen V., and Nielson, Daniel L.. 2016. The Choice Among Aid Donors: The Effects of Multilateral Vs. Bilateral Aid on Recipient Behavioral Support. Unpublished manuscript, University of Texas at Austin, University of Texas at Austin.Google Scholar
Finkel, Steven E., Pérez-Liñán, Aníbal, and Seligson, Mitchell A.. 2007. The Effects of US Foreign Assistance on Democracy Building, 1990–2003. World Politics 59 (3):404–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fjeldstad, Odd-Helge, and Therkildsen, Ole. 2008. Mass Taxation and State–Society Relations in East Africa. In Taxation and State-Building in Developing Countries: Capacity and Consent, edited by Bräutigam, Deborah, Fjeldstad, Odd-Helge, and Moore, Mick, 114–34. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Fuchs, Andreas, Dreher, Axel, and Nunnenkamp, Peter. 2014. Determinants of Donor Generosity: A Survey of the Aid Budget Literature. World Development 56 (April):172–99.Google Scholar
Gandhi, Jennifer, and Przeworski, Adam. 2006. Cooperation, Cooptation, and Rebellion under Dictatorships. Economics and Politics 18 (1):126.Google Scholar
Gazibo, Mamoudou. 2013. Beyond Electoral Democracy: Foreign Aid and the Challenge of Deepening Democracy in Benin. In Democratic Trajectories in Africa: Unravelling the Impact of Foreign Aid, edited by Resnick, Danielle and van de Walle, Nicolas, 228–55. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Gerber, Alan S., and Green, Donald P.. 2012. Field Experiments: Design, Analysis, and Interpretation. New York: W.W. Norton.Google Scholar
Gervasoni, Carlos. 2010. A Rentier Theory of Subnational Regimes: Fiscal Federalism, Democracy, and Authoritarianism in the Argentine Provinces. World Politics 62 (2):302–40.Google Scholar
Good, Kenneth. 1994. Corruption and Mismanagement in Botswana: A Best-Case Example? The Journal of Modern African Studies 32 (3):499521.Google Scholar
Green, Elliott D. 2010. Patronage, District Creation, and Reform in Uganda. Studies in Comparative International Development (SCID) 45 (1):83103.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greene, Kenneth F. 2010. The Political Economy of Authoritarian Single-Party Dominance. Comparative Political Studies 43 (7):807–34.Google Scholar
Hook, Steven W. 2008. Ideas and Change in US Foreign Aid: Inventing the Millennium Challenge Corporation. Foreign Policy Analysis 4 (2):147–67.Google Scholar
Humphreys, Macartan, Sachs, Jeffrey, and Stiglitz, Joseph E.. 2007. Escaping the Resource Curse, Initiative for Policy Dialogue at Columbia. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Humphreys, Macartan, and Weinstein, Jeremy M.. 2012. Policing Politicians: Citizen Empowerment and Political Accountability in Uganda. Unpublished manuscript, International Growth Centre, London.Google Scholar
Hyde, Susan D., and Marinov, Nikolay. 2012. Which Elections Can Be Lost? Political Analysis 20 (2):191210.Google Scholar
Kagambirwe, Kato Simon. 2014. Implementation of Tax Policy Reform in Uganda: The Case Study of Uganda Revenue Authority (URA). Unpublished manuscript, University of Bergen, Norway.Google Scholar
Knack, Stephen. 2009. Sovereign Rents and Quality of Tax Policy and Administration. Journal of Comparative Economics 37 (3):359–71.Google Scholar
Lamoreaux, Phillip T., Michas, Paul N., and Schultz, Wendy L.. 2015. Do Accounting and Audit Quality Affect World Bank Lending? The Accounting Review 90 (2):703–38.Google Scholar
Lee, Suejin A., and Lim, Jae-Young. 2014. Does International Health Aid Follow Recipients’ Needs? Extensive and Intensive Margins of Health Aid Allocation. World Development 64 (C):104–20.Google Scholar
Malesky, Edmund J., and Schuler, Paul. 2010. Nodding or Needling: Analyzing Delegate Responsiveness in an Authoritarian Parliament. American Political Science Review 104 (3):482502.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martens, Bertin, Mummert, Uwe, Murrell, Peter, Seabright, Paul, and Ostrom, Elinor. 2002. The Institutional Economics of Foreign Aid. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Martin, Lucy. 2014. Taxation, Loss Aversion, and Accountability: Theory and Experimental Evidence for Taxation's Effect on Citizen Behavior. Unpublished manuscript, Yale University, New Haven.Google Scholar
Mavrotas, George, and Ouattara, Bazoumana. 2006. Aid Disaggregation and the Public Sector in Aid-Recipient Economies: Some Evidence from Cote d'Ivoire. Review of Development Economics 10 (3):434–51.Google Scholar
McLean, Elena V., and Schneider, Christina J.. 2014. Limits of Informal Governance? The Scope of Conditionality in the World Bank. Paper presented at the 7th Annual Meeting on the Political Economy of International Organizations, 16–17 January, Princeton, NJ.Google Scholar
Milner, Helen V., Nielson, Daniel L., and Findley, Michael G.. 2016. Citizen Preferences and Public Goods: Comparing Preferences for Foreign Aid and Government Programs in Uganda. Review of International Organizations 11 (2):219–45.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Morgenthau, Hans Joachim. 1962. A Political Theory of Foreign Aid. American Political Science Review 56 (2):301309.Google Scholar
Morrison, Kevin M. 2009. Oil, Nontax Revenue, and the Redistributional Foundations of Regime Stability. International Organization 63 (1):107–38.Google Scholar
Morrison, Kevin M. 2012. What Can We Learn About the “Resource Curse” from Foreign Aid? The World Bank Research Observer 27 (1):5273.Google Scholar
Mosley, Paul. 2015. Fiscal Composition and Aid Effectiveness: A Political Economy Model. World Development 69:106–15.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moyo, Dambisa. 2009. Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There Is a Better Way for Africa. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.Google Scholar
Muhumuza, William. 2009. From Fundamental Change to No Change: The National Resistance Movement (NRM) and Democratization in Uganda. Les Cahiers d'Afrique de l'Est 41:2142.Google Scholar
Qian, Nancy. 2015. Making Progress on Foreign Aid. Annual Review of Economics 7:277308.Google Scholar
Resnick, Danielle, and van de Walle, Nicolas, eds. 2013. Democratic Trajectories in Africa: Unravelling the Impact of Foreign Aid. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Riddell, Roger C. 2007. Does Foreign Aid Really Work? Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Ross, Michael L. 1999. The Political Economy of the Resource Curse. World Politics 51 (2):297322.Google Scholar
Ross, Michael L. 2004. Does Taxation Lead to Representation? British Journal of Political Science 34(2):229–49.Google Scholar
Rothchild, Donald S. 1986. Hegemonial Exchange: An Alternative Model for Managing Conflict in Middle Africa. In Ethnicity, Politics, and Development, edited by Thompson, Dennis L. and Ronen, Dov, 65104. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.Google Scholar
Scott, James M., and Steele, Carie A.. 2011. Sponsoring Democracy: The United States and Democracy Aid to the Developing World, 1988–2001. International Studies Quarterly 55 (1): 4769.Google Scholar
Smith, Alastair. 2008. The Perils of Unearned Income. Journal of Politics 70 (3):780–93.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Svensson, Jakob. 2000. Foreign Aid and Rent-Seeking. Journal of International Economics 51 (2):437–61.Google Scholar
Szeftel, Morris. 2000. Clientelism, Corruption and Catastrophe. Review of African Political Economy 27 (85):427–41.Google Scholar
Tierney, Michael J., Nielson, Daniel L., Hawkins, Darren G., Roberts, J. Timmons, Findley, Michael G., Powers, Ryan M., Parks, Bradley, Wilson, Sven E., and Hicks, Robert L.. 2011. More Dollars Than Sense: Refining Our Knowledge of Development Finance Using Aiddata. World Development 39 (11):1891–906.Google Scholar
Tollefson, Jeff. 2015. Can Randomized Trials Eliminate Global Poverty? Nature 524: 150–53.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Transparency International. 2012. Corruption Perceptions Index 2012. Washington, DC: Transparency International.Google Scholar
Tripp, Aili Mari. 2010. Museveni's Uganda: Paradoxes of Power in a Hybrid. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.Google Scholar
Tripp, Aili Mari. 2013. Donor Assistance and Political Reform in Tanzania. In Democratic Trajectories in Africa: Unravelling the Impact of Foreign Aid, edited by Resnick, Danielle and van de Walle, Nicolas, 170–99. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Van de Walle, Nicolas. 2003. Presidentialism and Clientelism in Africa's Emerging Party Systems. Journal of Modern African Studies 41 (2):297321.Google Scholar
van de Walle, Nicolas. 2007. Meet the New Boss, Same as the Old Boss? The Evolution of Political Clientelism in Africa. In Patrons, Clients and Policies: Patterns of Democratic Accountability and Political Competition, edited by Kitschelt, Herbert and Wilkinson, Steven, 5067. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weeks, Jessica L. 2008. Autocratic Audience Costs: Regime Type and Signaling Resolve. International Organization 62 (1):3564.Google Scholar
Weeks, Jessica L. 2014. Dictators at War and Peace. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Winters, Matthew S., and Martinez, Gina. 2015. The Role of Governance in Determining Foreign Aid Flow Composition. World Development 66:516–31.Google Scholar
Wright, Joseph, and Winters, Matthew. 2010. The Politics of Effective Foreign Aid. Annual Review of Political Science 13 (1):6180.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Findley supplementary material

Findley supplementary material 1

Download Findley supplementary material(File)
File 1.1 MB
Supplementary material: File

Findley supplementary material

Findley supplementary material 2

Download Findley supplementary material(File)
File 432.3 KB
Supplementary material: File

Findley supplementary material

Findley supplementary material 3

Download Findley supplementary material(File)
File 48.9 KB
Supplementary material: File

Findley supplementary material

Findley supplementary material 4

Download Findley supplementary material(File)
File 2 MB
Supplementary material: File

Findley supplementary material

Findley supplementary material 5

Download Findley supplementary material(File)
File 7.1 KB