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Area-level social determinants of health and individual-level social risks: Assessing predictive ability and biases in social risk screening

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 November 2023

Wyatt P. Bensken*
Affiliation:
Department of Research, OCHIN, Portland, OR, USA Quantitative Sciences Core, OCHIN, Portland, OR, USA
Brenda M. McGrath
Affiliation:
Department of Research, OCHIN, Portland, OR, USA Quantitative Sciences Core, OCHIN, Portland, OR, USA
Rachel Gold
Affiliation:
Department of Research, OCHIN, Portland, OR, USA Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research, Portland, OR, USA
Erika K. Cottrell
Affiliation:
Department of Research, OCHIN, Portland, OR, USA Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR, USA
*
Corresponding author: W. P. Bensken, PhD; Email: benskenw@ochin.org
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Abstract

Introduction:

Area-level social determinants of health (SDoH) and individual-level social risks are different, yet area-level measures are frequently used as proxies for individual-level social risks. This study assessed whether demographic factors were associated with patients being screened for individual-level social risks, the percentage who screened positive for social risks, and the association between SDoH and patient-reported social risks in a nationwide network of community-based health centers.

Methods:

Electronic health record data from 1,330,201 patients with health center visits in 2021 were analyzed using multilevel logistic regression. Associations between patient characteristics, screening receipt, and screening positive for social risks (e.g., food insecurity, housing instability, transportation insecurity) were assessed. The predictive ability of three commonly used SDoH measures (Area Deprivation Index, Social Deprivation Index, Material Community Deprivation Index) in identifying individual-level social risks was also evaluated.

Results:

Of 244,155 (18%) patients screened for social risks, 61,414 (25.2%) screened positive. Sex, race/ethnicity, language preference, and payer were associated with both social risk screening and positivity. Significant health system-level variation in both screening and positivity was observed, with an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.55 for social risk screening and 0.38 for positivity. The three area-level SDoH measures had low accuracy, sensitivity, and area under the curve when used to predict individual social needs.

Conclusion:

Area-level SDoH measures may provide valuable information about the communities where patients live. However, policymakers, healthcare administrators, and researchers should exercise caution when using area-level adverse SDoH measures to identify individual-level social risks.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Association for Clinical and Translational Science
Figure 0

Table 1. Area-level SDoH domains and census variables in each measure

Figure 1

Table 2. Description of study population, social risk screening, and social risk positivity

Figure 2

Table 3. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals for the association between demographics and being screened for social risks and having social needs

Figure 3

Figure 1. Distribution of the Area Deprivation Index (ADI) among the 1,330,201 patients with a visit in 2021. The ADI has no upper limit range, and higher values represent more deprived areas.

Figure 4

Figure 2. Distribution of the Social Deprivation Index (SDI) among the 1,330,201 patients with a visit in 2021. The SDI ranges from 0 to 100, where 0 indicates the least deprived and 100 indicates the most deprived area.

Figure 5

Figure 3. Distribution of the Material Community Deprivation Index (MCDI) among the 1,330,201 patients with a visit in 2021. The MCDI ranges from 0 to 1, where 0 indicates the least deprived and 1 indicates the most deprived area.

Figure 6

Table 4. Model accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve of predicting social needs from SDoH measures

Supplementary material: File

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