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Institutionalized Uncertainty and Governance Crisis in Posthegemonic Taiwan

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 March 2016

Extract

March 20, 2000, constituted a milestone in Taiwan's modern political history. That day its electorate chose as president Chen Shui-bian, the candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) who had been defamed as an antistate rebel only a decade before. The election also marked the end of the forty-year-plus hegemony of the Kuomintang (KMT, or Nationalists). That the DPP ascended to the island's supreme political office in spite of its rival's powerful organizational and economic arsenal suggested that the rules of the democratic electoral game finally took root in society, respected by all major political players to produce a peaceful and orderly regime change. Taiwan joined the club of consolidated democracies, so declared many observers.

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Articles
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Copyright © East Asia Institute 

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References

Notes

1. For an assessment of Taiwan's democratic consolidation after the March 2000 presidential election, see Chu, Yun-han, “Democratic Consolidation in the Post-KMT Era: The Challenge of Governance,” in Alagappa, Muthiah, ed., Taiwan's Presidential Politics: Democratization and Cross-Strait Relations in the Twenty-first Century (Armonk, NY: M. E. Sharpe, 2001); and Chu, Yun-han, Diamond, Larry, and Shin, Doh Chull, “Halting Progress in Korea and Taiwan,” Journal of Democracy 12 (January 2001): 122–136.Google Scholar

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5. For Taiwan's national statistics, see the website of the Third Bureau of the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting, and Statistics of the Executive Yuan, http://www.dgbas.gov.tw.Google Scholar

6. These two views originated from Chen Shui-bian's entrapment in what the press called a “triple minority syndrome.” He was elected with only 39 percent of the total vote, headed a minority party in the Legislative Yuan, and belonged to the minority faction within the DPP Google Scholar

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9. See Hsieh, John Fuh-Sheng and Niou, Emerson M. S., “Salient Issues in Taiwan's Electoral Politics,” Electoral Studies 15 (1996): 219235. However, this does not explain why the KMT, being the “median” on the Taiwanese ideological spectrum, would choose to align with the PFP rather than the DPP after the regime turnover in 2000. Historically, the KMT under Lee Teng-hui found the DPP a more reliable political partner than the proreunification New Party.Google Scholar

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22. Since institution-building is usually path-dependent, the political system in existence constrains the range of institutional options available for would-be reformers in the period of democratic transition. Semipresidentialism appeared a reasonable choice to the reformers in Taiwan partly because its constitution already contained parliamentarist clauses.Google Scholar

23. Duverger, Maurice, “A New Political System Model: Semi-Presidential Government,” European Journal of Political Research 8 (June 1980): 165187.Google Scholar

24. In a one-dimensional game under simple majority rule, the median voter is the winner. In a multiple dimensional game, however, the chance for the winner under simple majority rule is almost none. See Lin, Jih-wen, “Transition Through Transaction.Google Scholar

25. See Wu, Yu-Shan, “The ROC's Semi-Presidentialism at Work,” and Lin, Jih-wen, “Democratic Stability Under Taiwan's Semi-presidentialist Constitution.” Google Scholar

26. Election campaigns under the SNTV system are expensive, especially when a candidate's party is large. This electoral system usually disfavors incumbents because they cannot focus on constituency service, which is of critical importance to win a seat under the SNTV system. In the Legislative Yuan formed in 2001, 50.6 percent of the legislators were new.Google Scholar

27. The premier in a pure parliamentary system, by contrast, has one's own popular legitimacy to draw power. Moreover, she is usually the head of the majority party or coalition within the parliament.Google Scholar

28. This is best exemplified by a series of scandals involving the National Security Bureau's management of illegal political funds without the knowledge of Chen Shui-bian. The funds originated from the Lee Teng-hui era.Google Scholar

29. For an analysis on the KMT's party structure, see Cheng, Tun-jen, “Democratizing the Quasi-Leninist Regime in Taiwan,” World Politics 41 (July 1989): 471499.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

30. See Taipei Times, China Times, and United Daily News between April 29, 2000, and February 14, 2001.Google Scholar

31. The gist of the proposal was to build the fourth nuclear power plant while closing down the old nuclear power plants.Google Scholar

32. See Taipei Times, November 22, 2001.Google Scholar

33. Another goal of the Government Reform Committee was to reorganize the Executive Yuan. According to its proposal, the Executive Yuan would be reduced from thirty-six to twenty-two or twenty-three administrative units. The committee also deliberated on the possibility of adjusting the terms of members of the Legislative Yuan, as well as the joint holding of presidential and legislative elections. For details, see the committee's website, http://www.president.gov.tw/2_special/innovation.Google Scholar

34. Even with President Chen's reiteration of his determination to carry out the reforms, the Government Reform Committee admitted that its plan to ask the Legislative Yuan to introduce constitutional amendments by the end of 2002 might be very difficult to reach. Obviously, the obstacle was the antagonistic relationship between the ruling and opposition parties. See United Daily News, October 28, 2002.Google Scholar