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Beyond Growth Rates and Plan Volumes–Planning for Africa in the 1970s

  • G. K. Helleiner
Extract

During the first decade of independence for the tropical African states, economic planning has moved through several stages. Before and at the time of independence the development literature still featured debates as to whether or not to plan, and what the role of the government should be in economic development. In Africa these debates were won, hands down, by the planners and by ‘African socialists’ of various types. Within a few years there appeared a host of plan documents responding to the perceived requirements, leading one analyst even to characterise Africa as ‘the continent of economic plans’1 articles on ‘comprehensive economic planning’ and simple econometric models were at that time in fashion. These plans were typically prepared by foreigners with relatively little experience of the countries concerned, and were based upon the scrappiest of data and analysis. While not as elaborate in their technique, or as far removed from reality, as many of their counterparts of the period in Asia and Latin America, these plans tended to be just as lacking in real content, political support, or potential for implementation. Their authors usually departed for home shortly afterwards, leaving the hardpressed decision-makers on the scene (many of whom were themselves expatriates newly arrived in the country) little the wiser.

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Page 333 note 1 Kamarck, Andrew, The Economics of African Development (New York and London, 1971 edn.), p. 264.

Page 333 note 2 See Faber, Michael and Seers, Dudley (eds.), The Crisis in Planning, Vol. I, The Issues (London, 1972).

Page 334 note 1 I have written elsewhere on some of the strategies and policies which might be appropriate: Helleiner, G. K., ‘Development Policies for Africa in the 1970s’, in Canadian Journal of African Studies (Montreal), IV, 3, Fall 1970, pp. 285303, published as ‘Structural Change in Africa’, in Ward, Barbara, Runnalls, J. D., and d'Anjou, Lenore (eds.), The Widening Gap (New York, 1971), pp. 87109.

Page 334 note 2 Federal, Republic of Nigeria, , Second National Development Plan, 19701974 (Lagos, 1970), p. 32.

Page 335 note 1 For a particularly lucid and concise discussion of modes of production in the African context, see Van Arkadie, Brian, ‘Development and the Mode of Production’, in East African Journal (Nairobi), VII, 8, 08 1970.

Page 335 note 2 United Republic of Tanzania, , Tanzania Second Five-Year Plan for Economic and Social Development, 1 July 1969–30 June 1974, Vol. I, General Analysis (Dar es Salaam, 1969).

Page 335 note 3 Republic of Kenya, Development Plan, 1970–1974 (Nairobi, 1969).

Page 336 note 1 Some prefer the view that while revolutionary change is just as ‘necessary’ in Africa as elsewhere, it is not at present historically possible. See, for example, Saul, John and Arrighi, Giovanni, ‘Socialism and Economic Development in Tropical Africa,’ in The Journal of Modern African Studies (Cambridge), VI, 2, 08 1968, pp. 141–69.

Page 337 note 1 Harberger, Arnold C., ‘Three Basic Postulates for Applied Welfare Economics: an interpretative essay’, in Journal of Economic Literature (Menasha), IX, 3, 09 1971, pp. 785–6. For a recent assessment of such views, see the lively discussion in Reynolds, Lloyd G., The Three Worlds of Economics (New Haven, 1971), pp. 315–20.

Page 338 note 1 Most dramatically in his speech to the Columbia University Conference on International Economic Development, February 1970, but repeatedly since then.

Page 338 note 2 Levinson, Jerome and de Onis, Juan, The Alliance that Lost its Way (Chicago, 1970).

Page 339 note 1 This view was expressed in a seminar for invited academics at the World Bank in mid 1975. For similar views, see Harberger, bc. cit.

Page 339 note 2 International Labour Office, Towards Full Employment: a programme for Columbia (Geneva, 1970), and Matching Employment Opportunities and Expectations: a programme of action for Ceylon (Geneva, 1971).

Page 339 note 3 Helleiner, G. K., ‘Socialism and Economic Development in Tanzania’, in The Journal of Development Studies (London), VIII, 2, 01 1972.

Page 340 note 1 Ghai, Dhararn, ‘Unemployment: the national obsession’, in African Development (London), 01 1971, pp. k 1315.

Page 340 note 2 For an excellent summary of the current discussion, see Robinson, Ronald and Johnston, Peter (eds.), Prospects for Employment Opportunities is the Nineteen Seventies (London, 1971). See also the papers presented to the 12th World Conference of the Society for International Development, Ottawa, May 1971, a brief summary of which may be found in Pazos, Felipe, ‘Development Targets for Seventies: jobs and justice’, in International Development Review (Washington), XIII, 3, 1971, pp. 25.

Page 340 note 3 Helleiner, ‘Structural Change in Africa’, loc. cit. pp. 87–8.

Page 341 note 1 Griffin, Keith B. and Enos, John L., Planning Development (London, 1970), p. 38.

Page 341 note 2 Chenery, Hollis B., ‘Growth and Structural Change’, in Finance and Development (Washington), 1971, 3, p. 27.

Page 342 note 1 Work for Progress, Uganda's Second Five-Year Plan, 1966–1971 (Entebbe, 1966), pp. 148–9.

Page 342 note 2 Republic of Kenya, op. cit. p. 2.

Page 344 note 1 See, for example, Bauer, P. T., West African Trade (Cambridge, 1954).

Page 344 note 2 Helleiner, G. K., ‘The Fiscal Role of the Marketing Boards in Nigerian Economic Development, 1947–61’, in The Economic Journal (London), 74, 3, 09 1964, pp. 583610.

Page 345 note 1 Cf. Baster, Nancy, Distribution of Income and Economic Growth: concepts and issues (Geneva, 1970), pp. 4041: ‘It is clearly impossible to reach any single generalisation about the impact of a high concentration of incomes in the high-income ranges on economic growth. It will depend on the kind of development taking place and the characteristics of the high-income group.’

Page 346 note 1 Lancaster, K. J., ‘Change and Innovation in the Technology of Consumption’, in American Economic Review (Menasha), LVI, 2, 1966, pp. 1423.

Page 346 note 2 Illich, Ivan, ‘Outwitting the ‘Developed” Countries’, in The JVew rork Review of Books (New York), XII, 8, 11 1969.

Page 347 note 1 Cf Susan Rifkin and Raphael Kaplinsky, ‘Health Strategy and Development Planning: lessons from the People’s Republic of China’; Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex, Brighton.

Page 348 note 1 Colin Leys, ‘A New Conception of Planning?’, in Faber and Seers (eds.), op. cit. pp. 56–76.

Page 350 note 1 Cf. Kimble, Helen, ‘On the Teaching of Economics in Africa’, in The Journal of Modem African Studies, VII, 4, 12 1969, pp. 713–41.

Page 351 note 1 Seers, Dudley, ‘The Limitations of the Special Case’, in Bulletin of the Oxford Institute of Economics and Statistic, (Oxford), xxv, 2, 05 1963.

* Professor in the Department of Political Economy, University of Toronto.

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