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An Analysis of the Concordance Among 13 U.S. Wine Competitions*

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 June 2012

Robert T. Hodgson
Affiliation:
Professor Emeritus, Department of Oceanography, Humboldt State University, Arcata, CA 95521, email: bob@fieldbrookwinery.com
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Abstract

An analysis of over 4000 wines entered in 13 U.S. wine competitions shows little concordance among the venues in awarding Gold medals. Of the 2,440 wines entered in more than three competitions, 47 percent received Gold medals, but 84 percent of these same wines also received no award in another competition. Thus, many wines that are viewed as extraordinarily good at some competitions are viewed as below average at others. An analysis of the number of Gold medals received in multiple competitions indicates that the probability of winning a Gold medal at one competition is stochastically independent of the probability of receiving a Gold at another competition, indicating that winning a Gold medal is greatly influenced by chance alone. (JEL Classification: D02, Q19)

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Articles
Copyright
Copyright © American Association of Wine Economists 2009

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References

Gawel, R. and Godden, P.W. (2008). Evaluation of the consistency of wine quality assessments from expert wine tasters. Australian Journal of Grape and Wine Research, 14, 18.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hodgson, R.T. (2008). Evaluation of wine judges at a major U.S. wine competition, Journal of Wine Economics, 3(2), 105113.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Thach, L. (2008). How American consumers select wine. Wine Business Monthly, (June 2008), 6671.Google Scholar
Wine Institute (2009). Wine Competition Guide, http://www.wineinstitute.org/resources/external-links/winecompetitionguide. Accessed on July 18, 2009.Google Scholar

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