Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Home

THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview

  • Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Ian Hurst, Amit Kara, Cyrille Lenoel, Iana Liadze, Xuxin Mao, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte...
    • Send article to Kindle

      To send this article to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about sending to your Kindle. Find out more about sending to your Kindle.

      Note you can select to send to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be sent to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

      Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

      THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview
      Available formats
      ×

      Send article to Dropbox

      To send this article to your Dropbox account, please select one or more formats and confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your <service> account. Find out more about sending content to Dropbox.

      THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview
      Available formats
      ×

      Send article to Google Drive

      To send this article to your Google Drive account, please select one or more formats and confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your <service> account. Find out more about sending content to Google Drive.

      THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview
      Available formats
      ×

Abstract

  • An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided below. To view the full text please use the links above to select your preferred format.

Copyright

Footnotes

Hide All
*

All questions and comments related to the forecast and its underlying assumptions should be addressed to Iana Liadze (i.liadze@niesr.ac.uk).

We would like to thank Jagjit Chadha and Garry Young for helpful comments and Patricia Sanchez Juanino for preparing the charts and compiling the database underlying the forecast. The forecast was completed on 24 January 2020. Exchange rate, interest rate and equity price assumptions are based on information available to 16 January 2020. Unless otherwise specified, the source of all data reported in tables and figures is the NiGEM database and NIESR forecast baseline.

Footnotes

References

Hide All
Ball, L.M., and Mazumder, S. (2019), ‘A Phillips Curve for the Euro Area’, NBER Working Paper No. w26450, November.
Caldara, D., Prestipino, A., Iacoviello, M., Molligo, P. and Raffo, A. (2019), ‘The economic effects of trade policy uncertainty’, International Finance Discussion Papers Number 1256, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Carreras, O. and Kirby, S. (2016), ‘Is the global trade slowdown a risk to our forecast outlook?’, National Institute Economic Review, February, 235, pp. F1415.
Cœuré, B. (2019), ‘Monetary policy: lifting the veil of effectiveness’, speech at Frankfurt am Main, 18 December. Transcript available at: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2019/html/ecb.%20sp191218~12a0385d3b.en.html.
Constantinescu, C., Mattoo, A. and Ruta, M. (2014), ‘Slow trade’, Finance and Development, 51(4).
Draghi, M. (2019), ‘Introductory statement to the press conference (with Q&A)’, ECB, 12 September.
Hantzsche, A. (2018), ‘The wage Phillips curve – another piece of the puzzle’, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, blog, 24 May.
Hantzsche, A. and Liadze, I. (2018), ‘The war on trade: beggar thy neighbour – beggar thyself?’, National Institute Economic Review, 244, May, F4647.
Hurst, I. and Liadze, I. (2019), ‘Fiscal stimulus in China to boost global growth’, National Institute Economic Review, 248, May, F53.
Kara, A. and Liadze, I. (2019), ‘The textbook response: using Chinese fiscal policy to offset US tariffs’, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, blog, 2 May.
Kara, A., Liadze, I. and Paczos, M. (2019), ‘The impact of a tariff on automobiles’, National Institute Economic Review, 249, August, pp. F52–4.
Lagarde, C. (2019), ‘Introductory statement to the press conference (with Q&A)’, ECB, 12 December.
Lennard, J. and Theodoridis, K. (2018), ‘Oil and the macroeconomy’, National Institute Economic Review, 243, February, F48–9.
Lenoel, C. (2018), ‘Predicting recessions in the United States with the yield curve’, National Institute Economic Review, 244, May, F42–3.
Lenoel, C. (2019a), ‘Is the US yield curve signalling that a recession is on the way?’, National Institute Economic Review, 248, May, F42–3.
Lenoel, C. (2019b), ‘Could a fiscal boost raise inflation in the Euro Area?’, National Institute Economic Review, 250, November, pp. F46–7.
Liadze, I. (2018a), ‘Trade wars – any winners?’, National Institute Economic Review, 245, August, F47.
Lenoel, C. (2018b), ‘Trade wars – the saga continues’, National Institute Economic Review, 246, November, F38–9.
Liadze, I. and Hacche, G. (2017a), ‘The macroeconomic implications of increasing tariffs on US imports’, NiGEM Observations, No 12.
Liadze, I. and Hacche, G. (2017b), ‘US monetary policy and its impact on emerging market economies’, National Institute Economic Review, 240, May, F62-3.
Liadze, I. and Naisbitt, B (2018), ‘Global spillover effects of US monetary tightening’, National Institute Economic Review, 246, November, F42–3.
Liadze, I. and Piggott, R. (2019), ‘Japan consumption tax increase’, National Institute Economic Review, 247, February, F65.
Mao, X., Naisbitt, B. and Whyte, K. (2019), ‘Recent inflation trends in emerging economies’, National Institute Economic Review, November, 250, F5051.
Naisbitt, B. (2018a), ‘The re-emergence of concerns about debt’, National Institute Economic Review, 244, May, F44.
Naisbitt, B. (2018b), ‘The risks of rising global indebtedness’, National Institute Economic Review, 245, August.
Naisbitt, B. (2019a) ‘The risks from rising real house prices’, National Institute Economic Review, February, 247, F55–7.
Naisbitt, B. (2019b), ‘Will the 2010s be viewed as a period of global growth and stability?’, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, blog, 30 April.
Sanchez, P.J. and Young, G. (2019), ‘The (in)effectiveness of the latest round of ECB asset purchases’, National Institute Economic Review, 250, November, pp F42–3.
Shin, H.S. (2019), ‘What is behind the recent slowdown?’, Presentation at the ‘Public Finance Dialogue’ workshop, German Federal Ministry of Finance and Centre for European Policy Research, May 2019.
MathJax
MathJax is a JavaScript display engine for mathematics. For more information see http://www.mathjax.org.

THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview

  • Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Ian Hurst, Amit Kara, Cyrille Lenoel, Iana Liadze, Xuxin Mao, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte...

Metrics

Altmetric attention score

Full text views

Total number of HTML views: 0
Total number of PDF views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

Abstract views

Total abstract views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

* Views captured on Cambridge Core between <date>. This data will be updated every 24 hours.

Usage data cannot currently be displayed