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The Electoral Cycle

  • Helmut Norpoth (a1)
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Bloom, Howard D., and Price, H. Douglas. 1975. “Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions: The Asymmetric Effect of Prosperity and Recession.” The American Political Science Review 69 (4): 1240–54.
D’Elia, Justine, and Norpoth, Helmut. 2014. “Winning with a Bad Economy: The 2012 Election.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 44 (2):on press.
Jones, Randall J. Jr. 2002. Who Will Be in the White House? Predicting Presidential Elections. New York: Longman.
Lebo, Matthew, and Norpoth, Helmut. 2007. “The PM and the Pendulum: Dynamic Forecasting of British Elections.” British Journal of Political Science 37: 7187.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Stegmaier, Mary. 2013. “The VP-function Revisited: A Survey of the Literature on Vote and Popularity Functions after over 40 years.” Public Choice 157 (3–4)_367–85.
Merrill, Samuel III, Grofman, Bernard, and Brunell, Thomas L.. 2008. “Cycles in American National Electoral Politics, 1854–2006: Statistical Evidence and an Explanatory Model.” American Political Science Review 102 (1): 117.
Norpoth, Helmut. 1995. “Is Clinton Doomed: An Early Forecast for 1996.” PS: Political Science and Politics 28 (2): 201–07.
Norpoth, Helmut. 2002. “On a Short Leash: Term Limits and Economic Voting.” In The Context of Economic Voting, eds. Dorussen, Han and Taylor, Michaell. London: Routledge.
Norpoth, Helmut, and Bednarczuk, Michael. 2012. “History and Primary: The Obama Re-Election,” PS: Political Science and Politics, 45 (4): 614–17.
Paldam, Martin. 1991. “How Robust is the Vote Function? A Study of Seventeen Nations over Four Decades.” In Economics and Politics. The Calculus of Support.eds.: Norpoth, Helmut, Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Lafay, Jean Dominique. 931. Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press.
Stegmaier, Mary, and Norpoth, Helmut. 2013. “Election Forecasting.” In Oxford Bibliographies in Political Science. ed. Valelly, Rick. New York: Oxford University Press.
Yule, G.U. 1971. “On a Method of Investigating Periodicities in Disturbed Series with Special Reference to Wolfer’s Sunspot Numbers.” In Statistical papers of George Udny Yule, ed.: Stuart, A. and Kendall, M.. New York: Hafner Press. (Originally published in 1927).
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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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