Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
×
Home

Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: The 2010 Midterm Election

  • Joseph Bafumi (a1), Robert S. Erikson (a2) and Christopher Wlezien (a3)

Extract

In this article, we present a forecast of the 2010 midterm House election based on information available in early July 2010. We combine this forecast with a note of caution, explaining why electoral circumstances might lead our forecast to err. Finally, we present guidance regarding how to update the electoral forecast for 2010 based on new information that will become available leading up to Election Day.

Copyright

References

Hide All
Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2008. “Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls.” In Elections and Exit Polling, ed. Alvey, Wendy and Scheuren, Fritz, 118–23. New York: Wiley and Sons.
Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2010. “Balancing, Generic Polls, and Midterm Congressional Elections.” Journal of Politics 72: 705–19.
Wlezien, Christopher, and Erikson, Robert S.. 2002. “The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns.” Journal of Politics 64: 969–93.
Recommend this journal

Email your librarian or administrator to recommend adding this journal to your organisation's collection.

PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
Please enter your name
Please enter a valid email address
Who would you like to send this to? *
×

Metrics

Full text views

Total number of HTML views: 0
Total number of PDF views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

Abstract views

Total abstract views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

* Views captured on Cambridge Core between <date>. This data will be updated every 24 hours.

Usage data cannot currently be displayed