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Forecasting the 2012 American National Elections: Editor's Introduction

  • James E. Campbell (a1)
Abstract

This symposium presents 13 articles forecasting the 2012 US national elections. Included in this collection are the eight national and one state presidential vote forecasting models published in PS: Political Science & Politics during the 2008 elections along with three additional forecasts and one article offering a composite of the forecasts. Although the focus remains on the presidential contest, as in past years, several articles extend their scope to cover the congressional elections as well.

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This list contains references from the content that can be linked to their source. For a full set of references and notes please see the PDF or HTML where available.

Richard Brody , and Lee Sigelman. 1983. “Presidential Popularity and Presidential Elections: An Update and Extension.” Public Opinion Quarterly 47: 325–28.

James E. Campbell 2010. “The Exceptional Election of 2008: Performance, Values, and Crisis.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 40 (2): 225–46.

Ray Fair . 1978. “The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President.” Review of Economics and Statistics 60: 159–72.

Michael S. Lewis-Beck , and Tom W. Rice. 1984. “Forecasting Presidential Elections: A Comparison of Naïve Models.” Political Behavior 6: 921.

Lee Sigelman . 1979. “Presidential Popularity and Presidential Elections.” Public Opinion Quarterly 43: 532–34.

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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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