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Forecasting the 2012 American National Elections: Editor's Introduction

  • James E. Campbell (a1)

This symposium presents 13 articles forecasting the 2012 US national elections. Included in this collection are the eight national and one state presidential vote forecasting models published in PS: Political Science & Politics during the 2008 elections along with three additional forecasts and one article offering a composite of the forecasts. Although the focus remains on the presidential contest, as in past years, several articles extend their scope to cover the congressional elections as well.

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Brody Richard, and Sigelman Lee. 1983. “Presidential Popularity and Presidential Elections: An Update and Extension.” Public Opinion Quarterly 47: 325–28.
Campbell James E. 2008. The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote. 2nd ed.College Station, TX: Texas A&M University Press.
Campbell James E. 2009. “The 2008 Campaign and the Forecasts Derailed.” PS: Political Science & Politics 42 (1): 1920.
Campbell James E. 2010. “The Exceptional Election of 2008: Performance, Values, and Crisis.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 40 (2): 225–46.
Campbell James E. 2011. “When the Fundamentals Are Trumped: The 2008 Wall Street Meltdown Election and Election Forecasting.” American Political Science Association, Seattle, WA.
Fair Ray. 1978. “The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President.” Review of Economics and Statistics 60: 159–72.
Lewis-Beck Michael S., and Rice Tom W.. 1984. “Forecasting Presidential Elections: A Comparison of Naïve Models.” Political Behavior 6: 921.
Rosenstone Steven J. 1983. Forecasting Presidential Elections. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
Sigelman Lee. 1979. “Presidential Popularity and Presidential Elections.” Public Opinion Quarterly 43: 532–34.
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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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