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Presidential Vote Models: A Recount

  • Larry M. Bartels (a1) and John Zaller (a2)

Was it Al Gore's election to lose? Most political scientists, includeing us, believed that peace and a booming economy would give Gore a significant advantage in the 2000 presidential race. The election outcome—a virtual dead heat in the popular vote—has prompted two reactions that seem to us to be quite wrong-headed.

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* We thank Adam Berinsky, James Campbell, David Karol, Michael Rothschild, Lynn Vavreck, and Christopher Wlezien for helpful comments on an earlier draft.
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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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