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    Luttig, Matthew D. 2015. Obama, race, and the Republican landslide in 2010. Politics, Groups, and Identities, p. 1.

    Aldrich, John H. Bishop, Bradford H. Hatch, Rebecca S. Sunshine Hillygus, D. and Rohde, David W. 2014. Blame, Responsibility, and the Tea Party in the 2010 Midterm Elections. Political Behavior, Vol. 36, Issue. 3, p. 471.


The 2010 Elections: Why Did Political Science Forecasts Go Awry?

  • David W. Brady (a1), Morris P. Fiorina (a1) and Arjun S. Wilkins (a1)
  • DOI:
  • Published online: 01 April 2011

In President Obama's words, the Democratic Party experienced a “shellacking” in the 2010 elections. In particular, the net loss of 63 House seats was the biggest midterm loss suffered by a party since 1938—the largest in the lifetimes of approximately 93% of the American population.

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Gary C. Jacobson 1996. “The 1994 House Elections in Perspective.” Political Science Quarterly 111: 203–23.

Bruce I. Oppenheimer , James A. Stimson , and Richard W. Waterman . 1986. “Interpreting U.S. Congressional Elections: The Exposure Thesis.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 11: 227–47.

Lynn Vavreck . 2009. The Message Matters. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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