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The Veepstakes: Forecasting Vice Presidential Selection in 2008

  • Jody C Baumgartner (a1)

One of the more entertaining pastimes during the presidential campaign is the “veepstakes,” or speculation about who the presidential nominee will select for a running mate. While much of this speculation occurs after the nomination has been decided (Alter 2004; Feldmann 2004; Kennedy 2004; Lehigh 2004; Starr 2004), speculation about the 2008 selections had begun as early as 2007 (Cain 2007; Klein 2007; Mackowiak 2007; Sanderson 2007). Most are grounded in a good understanding of what presidential candidates look for in a running mate, but one writer has not unfairly referred to the veepstakes as a “largely fact-free parlour game” (Harding 2004).

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James E. Campbell 1996. “Polls and Votes: The Trial-Heat Presidential Election Forecasting Model, Certainty, and Political Campaigns.” American Politics Quarterly 24 (4): 408–33.

Robert L. Dudley , and Ronald B. Rapoport . 1989. “Vice-Presidential Candidates and the Home State Advantage: Playing Second Banana at Home and on the Road.” American Journal of Political Science 33 (2): 537–40.

Thomas M. Holbrook 1994. “The Behavioral Consequences of Vice Presidential Debates: Does the Undercard Have Any Punch?American Politics Quarterly 22 (October): 469–82.

Thomas M. Holbrook 1996. “Reading the Political Tea Leaves: A Forecasting Model of Contemporary Presidential Elections.” American Politics Quarterly 24 (4): 506–19.

William G. Mayer 2008. “Handicapping the 2008 Nomination Races: An Early Winter Prospectus.” The Forum 5 (4).

David W. Romero 2001. “Requiem for a Lightweight: Vice Presidential Candidate Evaluations and the Presidential Vote.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 31 (3): 454–63.

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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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