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    Langgut, Dafna Neumann, Frank Harald Stein, Mordechai Wagner, Allon Kagan, Elisa Joy Boaretto, Elisabetta and Finkelstein, Israel 2014. Dead Sea pollen record and history of human activity in the Judean Highlands (Israel) from the Intermediate Bronze into the Iron Ages (∼2500–500 BCE). Palynology, Vol. 38, Issue. 2, p. 280.
    Kagan, Elisa Stein, Mordechai Agnon, Amotz and Neumann, Frank 2011. Intrabasin paleoearthquake and quiescence correlation of the late Holocene Dead Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 116, Issue. B4,
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Paleoearthquakes as Anchor Points in Bayesian Radiocarbon Deposition Models: A Case Study from the Dead Sea

  • Elisa J Kagan (a1) (a2), Mordechai Stein (a2), Amotz Agnon (a1) and Christopher Bronk Ramsey (a3)
Abstract

The Bayesian statistical method of the OxCal v 4.1 program is used to construct an age-depth model for a set of accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) radiocarbon ages of organic debris collected from a late Holocene Dead Sea stratigraphic section (the Ein Feshkha Nature Reserve). The model is tested for a case where no prior earthquake information is applied and for a case where there is incorporation of known ages of 4 prominent historical earthquakes as chronological anchor points along the section. While the anchor-based model provided a tightly constrained age-depth regression, the “non-anchored” model still produces a correlation where most of the 68% or 95% age ranges of the 52 seismites can be correlated to historical earthquakes. This presents us with the opportunity for high-resolution paleoseismic analysis and comparison between various sites.

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Copyright
COPYRIGHT: © 2010 by the Arizona Board of Regents on behalf of the University of Arizona 
Corresponding author
Corresponding author. Email: elisa.kagan@mail.huji.ac.il.
References
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