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An Analysis of the Error Between Forecast and Actual Expenditure in the Budgetary System of Iraq, 1961–1980

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 January 2009

Nicholas Perdikis
Affiliation:
Department of Economics University College of Wales, Aberystwyth
Hassan Saluom
Affiliation:
Department of Economics University College of Wales, Aberystwyth

Extract

The aim of this study is to examine the way in which the Iraqi government prepares its expenditure estimates and how and why they tend to differ from the actual outturn figures. One hardly expects to see an exact matching of these two figures given the difficulties in estimation which especially exist in developing countries where data bases may be less than exact and techniques crude. In Iraq this error in estimation was first alluded to by Saadi, and it was tentatively suggested that the expectation of discrepancies should be taken into account in the planning process. Others have suggested that this and other poor estimates should be examined and followed up more closely. However, its continuation and growth have not been otherwise studied.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1987

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References

NOTES

1 Saadi, I., “Comprehensive Reform of the Financial System and Financial Administration in Iraq,” Al Malia, 2 (08, 1978), 2840.Google Scholar

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5 See the Memorandum of the National Development Plan 1970–1974. (Baghdad: Ministry of Planning, 1970).

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22 Article 5 of the Public Accounts Act, 1940.

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