Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-qsmjn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-18T09:42:22.675Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Reciprocal Trade Agreements in Asia: Credible Commitment to Trade Liberalization or Paper Tigers?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 January 2016

Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Extract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Reciprocal trade agreements (RTAs) have proliferated rapidly in Asia in recent years, an unprecedented phenomenon in a region in which state-led institution-building efforts were largely unsuccessful during the Cold War years. In this article, we investigate the qualitative provisions of RTAs in Asia, focusing on agreements that are professedly geared toward trade liberalization through reciprocal exchanges of trade concessions. We build on the concept of credible commitment—that states “tie their hands” through international agreements and thus signal strong commitment to trade liberalization. We argue that a broad range of agreement provisions will affect an RTA's ability to achieve its primary objective: trade liberalization. We present a coding scheme that measures the strength of a wide variety of provisions in the legal texts of RTAs. Using quantitative analysis, we analyze the impact of various components of Asia's RTAs on participants' trade flows.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © East Asia Institute 

References

Abbott, Kenneth W., Keohane, Robert O., Moravcsik, Andrew, Slaughter, Anne-Marie, and Snidal, Duncan. 2000. “The Concept of Legalization.” International Organization 54, 3: 1735.Google Scholar
Bagwell, Kyle, and Staiger, Robert W.. 1999. “An Economic Theory of GATT.” American Economic Review 89: 215248.Google Scholar
Bagwell, Kyle, and Staiger, Robert W.. 2002. The Economics of the World Trading System. Cambridge: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Bagwell, Kyle, and Staiger, Robert W.. 2010. “The WTO: Theory and Practice.” Annual Review of Economics 2: 223256.Google Scholar
Baier, Scott L., and Bergstrand, Jeffrey H.. 2007. “Do Free Trade Agreements Actually Increase Members' International Trade?” Journal of International Economics 71, 1: 7295.Google Scholar
Bora, Bijit, and Pangestu, Mari, eds. 1996. Priority Issues in Trade and Investment Liberalisation: Implications for the Asia Pacific Region. Singapore: Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC).Google Scholar
Brainard, S. L. 1994. “Last One Out Wins: Trade Policy in an International Exit Game.” International Economic Review 35, 1: 151172.Google Scholar
Carmichael, Callum M. 1987. “The Control of Export Credit Subsidies and Its Welfare Consequences.” Journal of International Economics 23, 1–2: 119.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cohen, Benjamin J. 2006. The Future of Money. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Cukierman, Alex, Webb, Steven B., and Neyapti, Bilin. 1994. Measuring Central Bank Independence and Its Effect on Policy Outcomes. San Francisco: ICS Press.Google Scholar
Feinberg, Richard. 2006. “U.S. Trade Arrangements in the Asia-Pacific.” In Bilateral Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific: Origins, Evolution, and Implications , ed. Aggarwal, Vinod K. and Urata, Shujiro. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede. 2002. “Expanded Trade and GDP Data.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 46, 5: 712724.Google Scholar
Goldstein, Judith L., Rivers, Douglas, and Tomz, Michael. 2007. “Institutions in International Relations: Understanding the Effects of the GATT and the WTO on World Trade.” International Organization 61, 1: 3767.Google Scholar
Grilli, Vittorio, Masciandaro, Donato, and Tabellini, Guido. 1991. “Political and Monetary Institutions and Public Finance Policies in the Industrial Countries.” Economic Policy 13: 341392.Google Scholar
Grossman, Gene, and Helpman, Elhanan. 1994. “Protection for Sale.” American Economic Review 84, 4: 833850.Google Scholar
Grossman, Gene, and Helpman, Elhanan. 1995. “The Politics of Free Trade Agreements.” American Economic Review 85, 4: 667690.Google Scholar
Kwei, Elaine S. 2006. “Chinese Trade Bilateralism: Politics Still in Command.” In Bilateral Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific: Origins, Evolution, and Implications , ed. Aggarwal, Vinod K. and Urata, Shujiro. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Maggi, Giovanni, and Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés. 1998. “The Value of Trade Agreements in the Presence of Political Pressures.” Journal of Political Economy 106, 3: 574601.Google Scholar
Maggi, Giovanni, and Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés. 2007. “A Political-Economy Theory of Trade Agreements.” American Economic Review 97, 4: 13741406.Google Scholar
Matsuyama, Kiminori. 1990. “Perfect Equilibria in a Trade Liberalization Game.” American Economic Review 80, 3: 480492.Google Scholar
Mitra, Devashish. 2002. “Endogenous Political Organization and the Value of Trade Agreements.” Journal of International Economics 57, 2: 473485.Google Scholar
North, Douglass, and Weingast, Barry. 1989. “Constitutions and Commitment: The Evolution of Institutions Governing Public Choice in Seventeenth-Century England.” Journal of Economic History 44, 4: 803832.Google Scholar
Pangestu, Mari, and Gooptu, Sudarshan. 2004. “New Regionalism: Options for East Asia.” In East Asia Integrates: A Trade Policy Agenda for Shared Growth , ed. Krumm, Kathie and Kharas, Homi. Washington, DC: World Bank and Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Pempel, T. J., and Urata, Shujiro. 2006. “Japan: A New Move Toward Bilateral Trade Agreements.” In Bilateral Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific: Origins, Evolution, and Implications , ed. Aggarwal, Vinod K. and Urata, Shujiro. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Ravenhill, John. 2003. “The New Bilateralism in the Asia Pacific.” Third World Quarterly 24, 2: 299317.Google Scholar
Ravenhill, John. 2008a. “The Move To Preferential Trade on the Western Pacific Rim: Some Initial Conclusions.” Australian Journal of International Affairs 62, 2: 129150.Google Scholar
Ravenhill, John. 2008b. “Trading Out of Crisis.” In Crisis as Catalyst: Asia's Dynamic Political Economy , ed. MacIntyre, Andrew, Pempel, T. J., and Ravenhill, John, 140163. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Rose, Andrew. 2004. “Do We Really Know That the WTO Increases Trade?” American Economic Review 94, 1: 98114.Google Scholar
Rosendorff, B. Peter. 2005. “Stability and Rigidity: Politics and Design of the WTO's Dispute Settlement Procedure.” American Political Science Review 99, 3: 389400.Google Scholar
Rosendorff, , Peter, B., and Milner, Helen V.. 2001. “The Optimal Design of International Trade Institutions: Uncertainty and Escape.” International Organization 55, 4: 829857.Google Scholar
Smith, James McCall. 2000. “The Politics of Dispute Settlement Design: Explaining Legalism in Regional Trade Pacts.” International Organization 54, 1: 137180.Google Scholar
Staiger, Robert W., and Tabellini, Guido. 1987. “Discretionary Trade Policy and Excessive Protection.” American Economic Review 77, 5: 823837.Google Scholar
Tsebelis, George. 1995. “Decision Making in Political Systems: Veto Players in Presidentialism, Parliamentarism, Multicameralism, and Multipartyism.” British Journal of Political Science 25: 289325.Google Scholar