Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-42gr6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-24T07:32:08.228Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Estimating crop water deficit during maize potential growth period and climatic sensitivity analysis in Northeast China, 1961–2010

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 August 2016

B. C. LIU ,
Y. LIU ,
F. YANG ,
X. J. YANG  and
W. BAI
B. C. LIU*
Affiliation:
Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China Key Laboratory of Agricultural Environment, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100081, China National Engineering Laboratory of efficient water use and crop disaster detract, Beijing 100081, China
Y. LIU
Affiliation:
Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China Key Laboratory of Agricultural Environment, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100081, China National Engineering Laboratory of efficient water use and crop disaster detract, Beijing 100081, China
F. YANG
Affiliation:
Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China Key Laboratory of Agricultural Environment, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100081, China National Engineering Laboratory of efficient water use and crop disaster detract, Beijing 100081, China
X. J. YANG
Affiliation:
Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China Key Laboratory of Agricultural Environment, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100081, China National Engineering Laboratory of efficient water use and crop disaster detract, Beijing 100081, China
W. BAI
Affiliation:
Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China Key Laboratory of Agricultural Environment, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100081, China National Engineering Laboratory of efficient water use and crop disaster detract, Beijing 100081, China
*
*To whom all correspondence should be addressed. Email: liubuchun@caas.cn
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Summary

One of the probable adverse effects of climate change on agriculture is yield loss due to water scarcity. Assessment of meteorological drought risk with the index of crop water deficit (CWD) can help in determining appropriate adaptation strategies to counter such losses. Using daily weather data from 68 stations in Northeast China (NEC) for 1961–2010, the spatial and temporal behaviour of CWD was assessed and the sensitivity of climatic variables related to CWD during the potential growth period of maize was explored. The results indicated that the potential maize growth period decreased by 26 days due to climate warming. The deficit (i.e. a negative value for water demand) decreased from east to west and decreased gradually during 1978–1984 and sharply during 2000–2010. It is noteworthy that NEC experienced severe droughts especially in the 1970s and the 2000s, and relative humidity was the most sensitive parameter affecting evapotranspiration. Regions in the middle of Heilongjiang and Jilin should take precautions concerning climate change effects on CWD, while the northern part of NEC should take precautions concerning changes in temperature and sunshine hours. Growing late-maturing and drought-tolerant maize varieties is therefore a good option for higher production in NEC, coupled with enhancing the availability of water in this limited-rainfall region, and should form a part of the strategy to cope with climate change.

Type
Climate Change and Agriculture Research Papers
Information
The Journal of Agricultural Science , Volume 155 , Issue 3 , April 2017 , pp. 394 - 406
Check for updates
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Allen, R. G. (2000). Using the FAO-56 dual crop coefficient method over an irrigated region as part of an evapotranspiration intercomparison study. Journal of Hydrology 229, 27–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Allen, R. G. & Pereira, L. S. (2009). Estimating crop coefficients from fraction of ground cover and height. Irrigation Science 28, 17–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D. & Smith, M. (1998). Crop Evapotranspiration: Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56. Rome: FAO.Google Scholar
Bai, Q. F., Huo, Z. G., Li, S. K., Du, H. J., He, N. & Jiang, Y. (2008). Comparison of accumulated temperature above 10 degrees C before and after the year 1978 in China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology 19, 1810–1816.Google ScholarPubMed
Beguería, S., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Reig, F. & Latorre, B. (2014). Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) revisited: parameter fitting, evapotranspiration models, tools, datasets and drought monitoring. International Journal of Climatology 34, 3001–3023.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blum, A. (2009). Effective use of water (EUW) and not water-use efficiency (WUE) is the target of crop yield improvement under drought stress. Field Crops Research 112, 119–123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bonhomme, R., Derieux, M. & Edmeades, G. O. (1994). Flowering of diverse maize cultivars in relation to temperature and photoperiod in multilocation field trials. Crop Science 34, 156–164.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chen, C. Q., Lei, C. X., Deng, A. X., Qian, C. R., Hoogmoed, W. & Zhang, W. J. (2011). Will higher minimum temperatures increase corn production in Northeast China? An analysis of historical data over 1965–2008. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 151, 1580–1588.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dai, A. (2013). Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nature Climate Change 3, 52–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
De La Casa, A. C. & Ovando, G. G. (2014). Climate change and its impact on agricultural potential in the central region of Argentina between 1941 and 2010. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 195–196, 1–11.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Easterling, D. R., Wallis, T. W. R., Lawrimore, J. H. & Heim, R. R. (2007). Effects of temperature and precipitation trends on U.S. drought. Geophysical Research Letters 34, L20709. doi:10.1029/2007GL031541.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Espadafor, M., Lorite, L. J., Gavilián, P. & Berengena, J. (2011). An analysis of the tendency of reference evapotranspiration estimates and other climate variable during the last 45 years in Southern Spain. Agricultural Water Management 98, 1045–1061.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fischer, G., van Velthuizen, H. T., Shah, M. M. & Nachtergaele, F. O. (2002). Global Agro-ecological Assessment for Agriculture in the 21st Century: Methodology and Results . IIASA Research Report RR-02–002. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.Google Scholar
Gong, L., Xu, C. Y., Chen, D., Halldin, S. & Chen, Y. D. (2006). Sensitivity of the Penman–Monteith reference evapotranspiration to key climatic variables in the Yangtze River basin. Journal of Hydrology 329, 620–629.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goyal, R. K. (2004). Sensitivity of evapotranspiration to global warming: a case study of arid zone of Rajasthan (India). Agricultural Water Management 69, 1–11.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hayes, M., Svoboda, M., Wall, N. & Widhalm, M. (2011). The Lincoln declaration on drought indices: universal meteorological drought index recommended. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 92, 485–488.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hulme, M., Marsh, R. & Jones, P. D. (1992). Global changes in a humidity index between 1931–60 and 1961–90. Climate Research 2, 1–22.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Irmak, S., Payero, J. O., Martin, D. L., Irmak, A. & Howell, T. A. (2006). Sensitivity analyses and sensitivity coefficients of standardized daily ASCE-Penman-Monteith equation. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering 132, 564–578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jensen, M. E. (1968). Water consumption by agricultural plants. In Water Deficits and Plant Growth 2: Plant Water Consumption and Response (Ed. Kozlowski, T. T.), pp. 1–22. New York: Academic Press.Google Scholar
Ji, R. P., Ban, X. X. & Zhang, S. J. (2004). Ascertainment of crop coefficients of maize in Liaoning Area. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin 20, 246.Google Scholar
Kang, S., Gu, B., Du, T. & Zhang, J. (2003). Crop coefficient and ratio of transpiration to evapotranspiration of winter wheat and maize in a semi-humid region. Agricultural Water Management 59, 239–254.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kite, G. W. & Droogers, P. (2000). Comparing evapotranspiration estimates from satellites, hydrological models and field data. Journal of Hydrology 229, 3–18.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, Q. S., Willardson, L. S., Deng, W., Li, X. J. & Liu, C. J. (2005). Crop water deficit estimation and irrigation scheduling in western Jilin province, Northeast China. Agricultural Water Management 71, 47–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Liang, L. Q., Li, L. J. & Liu, Q. (2010). Temporal variation of reference evapotranspiration during 1961–2005 in the Taoer River basin of Northeast China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 150, 298–306.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Liu, Z. J., Yang, X. G., Wang, W. F., Li, K. N. & Zhang, X. Y. (2009). Characteristics of agricultural climate resources in three provinces of Northeast China under global climate change. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology 20, 2199–2206.Google ScholarPubMed
Liu, Z., Yang, X., Hubbard, K. G. & Lin, X. (2012). Maize potential yields and yield gaps in the changing climate of Northeast China. Global Change Biology 18, 3441–3454.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Liu, Z. J., Yang, X. G., Chen, F. & Wang, E. L. (2013). The effects of past climate change on the northern limits of maize planting in Northeast China. Climatic Change 117, 891–902.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ma, S. Q. (1996). Research on Agricultural Climate in Jilin Province. Beijing: China Meteorological Press.Google Scholar
Ma, S. Q., Wang, Q., Wang, C. Y. & Hou, Z. G. (2008). The risk division on climate and economic loss of maize chilling damage in Northeast China. Geographical Research 27, 1169–1177.Google Scholar
McMaster, G. S. & Wilhelm, W. W. (1997). Growing degree-days: one equation, two interpretations. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 87, 291–300.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McKenney, M. S. & Rosenberg, N. J. (1993). Sensitivity of some potential evapotranspiration estimation methods to climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 64, 81–110.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McVicar, T. R., Roderick, M. L., Donohue, R. J., Li, L. T., Van Niel, T. G., Thomas, A., Grieser, J., Jhajharia, D., Himri, Y., Mahowald, N. M., Mescherskaya, A. V., Kruger, A. C., Rehman, S. & Dinpashoh, Y. (2012). Global review and synthesis of trends in observed terrestrial near-surface wind speeds: implications for evaporation. Journal of Hydrology 416–417, 182–205.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
National Bureau Of Statistics Of China (NBSC). (2001–2008). China Statistics Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.Google Scholar
Qu, M. L. (1991). Agro-Climatic Internship Guide. Beijing: Beijing Agricultural University Press.Google Scholar
Rana, G. & Katerji, N. (2000). Measurement and estimation of actual evapotranspiration in the field under Mediterranean climate: a review. European Journal of Agronomy 13, 125–153.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roderick, M. L. & Farquhar, G. D. (2002). The cause of decreased pan evaporation over the past 50 years. Science 298, 1401–1411.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Ruiz-Alvarez, O., Arteaga-Ramirez, R., Vazquez-Pena, M. A., Ontiveros-Capurata, R. E. & López-López, R. (2012). Onset of the growing season and dry periods in Tabasco, Mexico. Tecnología y Ciencias del Agua 3, 85–102.Google Scholar
Shan, K. (2010). Analysis on Drought Risk of Maize – A Case Study of Liaoning Province [D] . Beijing: Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences.Google Scholar
Sheffield, J., Wood, E. F. & Roderick, M. L. (2012). Little change in global drought over the past 60 years. Nature 491, 435–438.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Svoboda, M., Hayes, M. & Wood, D. (2012). Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide. WMO-No. 1090. Geneva: World Meteorological Organization.Google Scholar
Tabari, H. & Talaee, P. H. (2014). Sensitivity of evapotranspiration to climate change in different climates. Global and Planetary Change 115, 16–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tabari, H., Talaee, P. H., Some'e, B. S. & Willems, P. (2014). Possible influences of North Atlantic Oscillation on winter reference evapotranspiration in Iran. Global and Planetary Change 117, 28–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., Van Der Schrier, G., Jones, P. D., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R. & Sheffield, J. (2014). Global warming and changes in drought. Nature Climate Change 4, 17–22.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van Der Schrier, G., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R. & Jones, P. D. (2013). A scPDSI-based global data set of dry and wet spells for 1901–2009. Journal of Geophysical Research 118, 4025–4048.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Begueria, S., Lorenzo-Lacruz, J., Camarero, J. J., López-Moreno, J. I., Azorin-Molina, C., Revuelto, J., Morán-Tejeda, E. & Sanchez-Lorenzo, A. (2012). Performance of drought indices for ecological, agricultural and hydrological applications. Earth Interactions 16, 1–27.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Xing, W. Q., Wang, W. G., Shao, Q. X., Peng, S. Z., Yu, Z. B., Yong, B. & Taylor, J. (2014). Changes of reference evapotranspiration in the Haihe River Basin: present observations and future projection from climatic variables through multi-model ensemble. Global and Planetary Change 115, 1–15.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yan, M., Liu, X., Zhang, W., Li, X. & Liu, S. (2011). Spatiotemporal changes of ⩾10 °C accumulated temperature in northeastern China since 1961. Chinese Geographical Science 21, 17–26.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yang, X., Lin, E. D., Ma, S. M., Ju, H., Guo, L., Xiong, W., Li, Y. & Xu, Y. (2007 a). Adaptation of agriculture to warming in Northeast China. Climatic Change 84, 45–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yang, Z., Cai, Z., Jing, X. Q. & Zhang, S. H. (2007 b). Maize in Northeast Region of China. Beijing: China Agriculture Press.Google Scholar
Zhang, R. Q. & Wang, Y. Q. (1993). The Research on Water Requirement Contour Map of Main Crops in China. Beijing: Chinese Agricultural Science and Technology Press.Google Scholar
Zhang, Y. H., Lv, H. Q. & Li, S. (2008). Applicability of crop water deficit in agricultural drought monitoring. Meteorological Science and Technology 36, 596–600. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
Zhang, X., Kang, S., Zhang, L. & Liu, J. (2010). Spatial variation of climatology monthly crop reference evapotranspiration and sensitivity coefficients in Shiyang river basin of northwest China. Agricultural Water Management 97, 1506–1516.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zhang, S. J., Zhang, Y. S., Sun, L. Y., Ji, R. P., Cai, F., Wu, J. W. & Li, G. X. (2013). Analysis of distributional characteristics and primary causes of maize drought in Northeast China. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology 34, 350–357.Google Scholar