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Which Historical Forecast Model Performs Best? An Analysis of 1965–2017 French Presidential Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 March 2022

Éric Bélanger Open the ORCID record for Éric Bélanger [Opens in a new window] ,
Fernando Feitosa  and
Mathieu Turgeon
Éric Bélanger
Affiliation:
McGill University, Canada
Fernando Feitosa
Affiliation:
McGill University, Canada
Mathieu Turgeon
Affiliation:
University of Western Ontario, Canada
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Abstract

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Type
Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 55 , Issue 4 , October 2022 , pp. 692 - 696
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association

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References

REFERENCES

Bélanger, Éric, and Lewis-Beck, Michael S.. 2010. “French National Elections: Democratic Disequilibrium and the 2007 Forecasts.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 43 (1): 107–22.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
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Turgeon, Mathieu, and Bélanger, Éric. 2017. “Institutions and Attribution of Responsibility Outside the Electoral Context: A Look at French Semi-Presidentialism.” European Political Science Review 9 (2): 209–31.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: Link

Bélanger et al. Dataset

Dataset

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/ITAY0K
Link