To identify early postoperative haemodynamic and laboratory parameters predicting outcomes following total cavopulmonary connection.

Patients who underwent total cavopulmonary connection between 2012 and 2021 were evaluated. Serial values of mean pulmonary artery pressure, mean arterial pressure, peripheral oxygen saturation, and lactate levels were collected. The influence of these variables on morbidities was analyzed. Cut-off values were calculated using the receiver operating characteristic analysis.

A total of 249 patients were included. All patients had previous bidirectional cavopulmonary shunt. Median age and weight at total cavopulmonary connection were 2.2 (1.8–2.7) years and 11.7 (10.7–13.4) kg, respectively. All patients were extubated in the ICU at a median of 3 (2–5) hours after ICU admission. Postoperative pulmonary artery pressure, around 12 hours after extubation, was significantly associated with chest tube drainage (p = 0.048), chylothorax (p = 0.021), ascites (p = 0.016), and adverse events (p = 0.028). Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed a cut-off value of 13–15 mmHg for chest tube drainage and chylothorax and 17 mmHg for ascites and adverse events. Mean arterial pressure 1 hour after extubation was associated with prolonged chest tube drainage (p = 0.015) and adverse events (p = 0.008). Peripheral oxygen saturation 6 hours after extubation (p = 0.003) was associated with chest tube duration and peripheral oxygen saturation 1 hour after extubation (p < 0.001) was associated with ascites. Lactate levels on 2nd postoperative day (p = 0.022) were associated with ascites and lactate levels on 1st postoperative day (p = 0.009) were associated with adverse events.

Higher pulmonary artery pressure, lower mean arterial pressure, lower peripheral oxygen saturation, and higher lactate in early postoperative period, around 12 hours after extubation, predicted in-hospital and post-discharge adverse events following total cavopulmonary connection.