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The Columbia Suicide Severity Rating Scale (C-SSRS) is a predominant tool for screening and scoring suicidal ideation and behaviour to identify individuals at risk. No meta-analysis has examined its predictive significance.
Aims
To evaluate the C-SSRS assessment of suicidal ideation and suicidal behaviour as predictors of future fatal and non-fatal suicide attempts.
Method
A systematic search of Medline, PsycInfo, Embase, and Health and Psychosocial Instruments databases was conducted from January 2008 to February 2024. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were followed, and the study was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42022361944). Two independent reviewers screened and extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias. Pooled odds ratios were calculated using random-effects models, and heterogeneity was assessed with the I2 statistic. Publication bias was evaluated with Egger’s test and funnel plots.
Results
The search identified 1071 unique records, of which 28 studies met inclusion criteria. The meta-analysis included 27 studies with independent samples. Suicidal behaviour (pooled odds ratio 3.14, 95% CI 1.86–5.31) and suicide attempts (pooled odds ratio 2.78, 95% CI 1.82–4.24) were predictors of future non-fatal suicide attempts. Suicidal ideation severity (odds ratio 1.46/point, 95% CI 1.28–1.77) was a stronger predictor of future non-fatal suicide attempts than suicideal ideation intensity (odds ratio 1.11/point, 95% CI 1.04–1.18). Two studies linked higher suicidal ideation severity and a history of suicidal behaviour with an increased risk of fatal suicide attempts, though meta-analysis was not feasible for only two studies.
Conclusions
Suicidal behaviour, suicide attempts and to a lesser extent suicidal ideation, identified using the C-SSRS, predicted future non-fatal suicide attempts. These findings support the use of the C-SSRS to detect individuals at higher-risk requiring enhanced preventive interventions.
Suicide in the US has increased in the last decade, across virtually every age and demographic group. Parallel increases have occurred in non-fatal self-harm as well. Research on suicide across the world has consistently demonstrated that suicide shares many properties with a communicable disease, including person-to-person transmission and point-source outbreaks. This essay illustrates the communicable nature of suicide through analogy to basic infectious disease principles, including evidence for transmission and vulnerability through the agent–host–environment triad. We describe how mathematical modeling, a suite of epidemiological methods, which the COVID-19 pandemic has brought into renewed focus, can and should be applied to suicide in order to understand the dynamics of transmission and to forecast emerging risk areas. We describe how new and innovative sources of data, including social media and search engine data, can be used to augment traditional suicide surveillance, as well as the opportunities and challenges for modeling suicide as a communicable disease process in an effort to guide clinical and public health suicide prevention efforts.
By
Madelyn S. Gould, Professor, Psychiatry and Public Health (Epidemiology), Columbia University, New York State Psychiatric Institute, 1051 Riverside Drive Unit 72, New York, NY 10032 USA e-mail: gouldm@child.cpmc.columbia.edu tel: +1-212-543-5329, fax: +1-212-543-5966,
David Shaffer, Irving Philips Professor of Psychiatry, Columbia University; Director of Child Psychiatry, New York State Psychiatric Institute, 1051 Riverside Drive, New York, NY 10032 USA e-mail: shafferd@child.cpmc.columbia.edu tel: +1-212-543-5947, fax: +1-212-543-5966,
Ted Greenberg, Research Scientist, Columbia University, New York State Psychiatric Institute, 722 West 168th Street, New York, NY 10032 USA e-mail: greenbet@child.cpmc.columbia.edu tel: +1-212-543-5931
This chapter reviews three major sources of data that are used to derive the epidemiology of completed suicide in children and adolescents. They are official mortality statistics, the psychological autopsy literature, and general population epidemiologic surveys of nonlethal suicidal behavior. Suicide is often associated with aggressive behavior and alcohol abuse and both are more common in males. Until 1979, the ethnic breakdown in the annual age-specific mortality statistics in the U.S. published by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) was limited to whites and nonwhites. Firearms are the most common method and hanging the second most prevalent method of suicide in the U.S., regardless of age or ethnicity. The chapter focuses on the main risk factors for youth suicide evaluated by the psychological autopsy studies that employed direct interviews of family and/or peer informants.
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