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Buildings are key to a sustainable future because their design, construction, operation, and the activities in buildings are significant contributors to energy-related sustainability challenges – reducing energy demand in buildings can play one of the most important roles in solving these challenges. More specifically:
The buildings sector and people's activities in buildings are responsible for approximately 31% of global final energy demand, approximately one-third of energy-related CO2 emissions, approximately two-thirds of halocarbon, and approximately 25–33% of black carbon emissions.
Several energy-related problems affecting human health and productivity take place in buildings, including mortality and morbidity due to poor indoor air quality or inadequate indoor temperatures. Therefore, improving buildings and their equipment offers one of the entry points to addressing these challenges.
More efficient energy and material use, as well as sustainable energy supply in buildings, are critical to tackling the sustainability-related challenges outlined in the GEA. Recent major advances in building design, know-how, technology, and policy have made it possible for global building energy use to decline significantly. A number of lowenergy and passive buildings, both retrofitted and newly constructed, already exist, demonstrating that low level of building energy performance is achievable. With the application of on-site and community-scale renewable energy sources, several buildings and communities could become zero-net-energy users and zero-greenhouse gas (GHG) emitters, or net energy suppliers.
Recent advances in materials and know-how make new buildings that use 10–40% of the final heating and cooling energy of conventional new buildings cost-effective in all world regions and climate zones.
By
Arnulf Grubler, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria and Yale University,
Xuemei Bai, Australian National University,
Thomas Buettner, United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs,
Shobhakar Dhakal, Global Carbon Project and National Institute for Environmental Studies,
David J. Fisk, Imperial College London,
Toshiaki Ichinose, National Institute for Environmental Studies,
James E. Keirstead, Imperial College London,
Gerd Sammer, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences,
David Satterthwaite, International Institute for Environment and Development,
Niels B. Schulz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria and Imperial College,
Nilay Shah, Imperial College London,
Julia Steinberger, The Institute of Social Ecology, Austria and University of Leeds,
Helga Weisz, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research,
Gilbert Ahamer, University of Graz,
Timothy Baynes, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,
Daniel Curtis, Oxford University Centre for the Environment,
Michael Doherty, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,
Nick Eyre, Oxford University Centre for the Environment,
Junichi Fujino, National Institute for Environmental Studies,
Keisuke Hanaki, University of Tokyo,
Mikiko Kainuma, National Institute for Environmental Studies,
Shinji Kaneko, Hiroshima University,
Manfred Lenzen, University of Sydney,
Jacqui Meyers, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,
Hitomi Nakanishi, University of Canberra,
Victoria Novikova, Oxford University Centre for the Environment,
Krishnan S. Rajan, International Institute of Information Technology,
Seongwon Seo, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,
Ram M. Shrestha, Asian Institute of Technology,
Priyadarshi R. Shukla, Indian Institute of Management,
Alice Sverdlik, International Institute for Environment and Development,
Jayant Sathaye, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
More than 50% of the global population already lives in urban settlements and urban areas are projected to absorb almost all the global population growth to 2050, amounting to some additional three billion people. Over the next decades the increase in rural population in many developing countries will be overshadowed by population flows to cities. Rural populations globally are expected to peak at a level of 3.5 billion people by around 2020 and decline thereafter, albeit with heterogeneous regional trends. This adds urgency in addressing rural energy access, but our common future will be predominantly urban. Most of urban growth will continue to occur in small-to medium-sized urban centers. Growth in these smaller cities poses serious policy challenges, especially in the developing world. In small cities, data and information to guide policy are largely absent, local resources to tackle development challenges are limited, and governance and institutional capacities are weak, requiring serious efforts in capacity building, novel applications of remote sensing, information, and decision support techniques, and new institutional partnerships. While ‘megacities’ with more than 10 million inhabitants have distinctive challenges, their contribution to global urban growth will remain comparatively small.
Energy-wise, the world is already predominantly urban. This assessment estimates that between 60–80% of final energy use globally is urban, with a central estimate of 75%. Applying national energy (or GHG inventory) reporting formats to the urban scale and to urban administrative boundaries is often referred to as a ‘production’ accounting approach and underlies the above GEA estimate.
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