Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-xtgtn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-16T11:28:08.841Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Capital Investments and Stock Returns

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Sheridan Titman
Affiliation:
titman@mail.utexas.edu, Department of Finance, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712
K. C. John Wei
Affiliation:
johnwei@ust.hk, Department of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong
Feixue Xie
Affiliation:
fxie@utep.edu, Department of Economics and Finance, College of Business Administration, University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX 79968

Abstract

Firms that substantially increase capital investments subsequently achieve negative benchmark-adjusted returns. The negative abnormal capital investment/return relation is shown to be stronger for firms that have greater investment discretion, i.e., firms with higher cash flows and lower debt ratios, and is shown to be significant only in time periods when hostile takeovers were less prevalent. These observations are consistent with the hypothesis that investors tend to underreact to the empire building implications of increased investment expenditures. Although firms that increase capital investments tend to have high past returns and often issue equity, the negative abnormal capital investment/return relation is independent of the previously documented long-term return reversal and secondary equity issue anomalies.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 2004

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Baker, M.; Stein, J. C.; and Wurgler, J.. “When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms.” Working Paper, Harvard Business School (2002).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banz, R. W., and Breen, W.. “Sample Dependent Results using Accounting and Market Data: Some Evidence.” Journal of Finance, 41 (1986), 779793.Google Scholar
Blose, L. E., and Shieh, J. C. P.. “Tobin's Q-Ratio and Market Reaction to Capital Investment Announcements.” Financial Review, 32 (1997), 449476.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cai, J., and Wei, K. C. J.. “The Investment and Operating Performance of Japanese IPO Firms.” Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 5 (1997), 389417.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carhart, M. M.On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance.” Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 5783.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chopra, N.; Lakonishok, J.; and Ritter, J.. “Measuring Abnormal Returns: Do Stocks Overreact?Journal of Financial Economics, 31 (1992), 235268.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Daniel, K.; Grinblatt, M.; Titman, S.; and Wermers, R.. “Measuring Mutual Fund Performance with Characteristic-Based Benchmarks.” Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 10351058.Google Scholar
Daniel, K., and Titman, S.. “Evidence on the Characteristics of Cross Sectional Variation in Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Daniel, K. D.; Titman, S.; and Wei, K. C. J.. “Explaining the Cross-Section of Stock Returns in Japan: Factors or Characteristics?Journal of Finance, 56 (2001), 743766.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
De Bondt, W. F. M., and Thaler, R. H.. “Does the Stock Market Overreact?Journal of Finance, 40 (1985), 793805.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R.. “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 47 (1992), 427465.Google Scholar
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R.. “Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds.” Journal of Financial Economics, 33 (1993), 356.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fama, E. F., and MacBeth, J.. “Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests.” Journal of Political Economy, 81 (1973), 607636.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fazzari, S. M.; Hubbard, R. G.; and Peterson, B. C.. “Financing Constraints and Corporate Investment.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1 (1988), 141205.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holmstrom, B., and Kaplan, S. N.. “Corporate Governance and Merger Activity in the U.S.: Making Sense of the 1980s and 1990s.” Working Paper, MIT and Univ. of Chicago (2001).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hubbard, R. G.Capital-market Imperfections and Investment.” Journal of Economic Literature, 36 (1998), 193225.Google Scholar
Ikenberry, D.; Lakonishok, J.; and Vermaelen, T.. “Market Underreaction to Open Market Share Repurchases.” Journal of Financial Economics, 39 (1995), 181208.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jensen, M.Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeover.” American Economic Review, 76 (1986), 323329.Google Scholar
Jegadeesh, N., and Titman, S.. “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency.” Journal of Finance, 48 (1993), 6591.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jegadeesh, N., and Titman, s.. “Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations.” Journal of Finance, 56 (2001), 699720.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lamont, O.Investment Plans and Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 55 (2000), 27192745.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
La Porta, R.; Lakonishok, J.; Shleifer, A.; and Vishny, R.. “Good News for Value Stocks: Further Evidence on Market Efficiency.” Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 859874CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, Q.; Vassalou, M.; and Xing, Y.. “An Investment-growth Asset Pricing Model.” Working Paper, Columbia Univ. (2002).Google Scholar
Loughran, T., and Ritter, J.. “The New Issues Puzzle.” Journal of Finance, 50 (1995), 2352.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Loughran, T., and Ritter, J.. “The Operating Performance of Firms Conducting Seasoned Equity Offerings.” Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 18231850.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McConnell, J. J., and Muscarella, C. J.. “Corporate Capital Investment Decisions and the Market Value of the Firms.” Journal of Financial Economics, 14 (1985), 399422.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Morck, R.; Shleifer, A.; and Vishny, R.. “The Stock Market and Investment: Is the Market a Sideshow?Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2 (1990), 157215.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Myers, S. C., and Majluf, N. S.. “Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions when Firms Have Information that Investors Do Not Have.” Journal of Financial Economics, 13 (1984), 187221.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Teoh, S. H., and Wong, T. J.. “Why New Issues and High-Accrual Firms Underperform: The Role of Analysts' Credulity.” Review of Financial Studies, 15 (2002), 869900.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vogt, S. C.Cash Flow and Capital Spending: Evidence from Capital Expenditure Announcement.” Financial Management, 26 (1997), 4457.CrossRefGoogle Scholar