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Determinants of Democratization
Explaining Regime Change in the World, 1972–2006


  • Date Published: October 2010
  • availability: Available
  • format: Paperback
  • isbn: 9780521139687

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About the Authors
  • What are the determinants of democratization? Do the factors that move countries toward democracy also help them refrain from backsliding toward autocracy? This book attempts to answer these questions through a combination of a statistical analysis of social, economic, and international determinants of regime change in 165 countries around the world in 1972–2006, and case study work on nine episodes of democratization occurring in Argentina, Bolivia, Hungary, Nepal, Peru, the Philippines, South Africa, Turkey, and Uruguay. The findings suggest that democracy is promoted by long-term structural forces such as economic prosperity, but also by peaceful popular uprisings and the institutional setup of authoritarian regimes. In the short-run, however, elite actors may play a key role, particularly through the importance of intra-regime splits. Jan Teorell argues that these results have important repercussions both for current theories of democratization and for the international community's effort in developing policies for democracy promotion.

    • Reviews and assesses the various theoretical approaches and theories used to understand democratization, including social, economic and international forces
    • Combines large-scale statistical work with country case studies of processes of democratization, addressing questions of what matters for democratization and why
    • Complements long-standing, well-researched determinants with more novel findings, particularly on the role of peaceful popular mobilization and authoritarian regime types
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    Reviews & endorsements

    'The most systematic and comprehensive analysis of democracy's Third Wave, integrating case studies and large-N cross-national comparisons. A major contribution to the field of democratization.' John Gerring, Boston University

    'Determinants of Democratization is one of the most empirically ambitious, sweeping, and important books that has been written on democratization. It is a must read for all scholars who work on democratic and authoritarian regimes.' Scott Mainwaring, University of Notre Dame

    '… there is no doubt that Teorell's book makes a major contribution to the already crowded field of democratization studies. The theoretical and empirical ground covered is breath-taking and in their combination with high methodological sophistication and various conceptual innovations, such as the intriguing operationalization of pathway cases and the distinction between upturns and downturn, are outstanding. His book should be considered a must-read for democratization and multi-method scholars alike.' Acta Politica

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    Product details

    • Date Published: October 2010
    • format: Paperback
    • isbn: 9780521139687
    • length: 222 pages
    • dimensions: 226 x 152 x 15 mm
    • weight: 0.32kg
    • contains: 12 b/w illus. 19 tables
    • availability: Available
  • Table of Contents

    1. Explaining democratization
    2. The shadow of the past: social determinants
    3. The power of prosperity: economic determinants
    4. The impetus from abroad: international determinants
    5. The force from below: popular mobilization
    6. Exogenous shocks and authoritarian regime types: institutional contingency
    7. Conclusions
    Appendix A. Data and variable definitions
    Appendix B. Statistical model
    Appendix C. Robustness tests
    Appendix D. The pathway criterion.

  • Instructors have used or reviewed this title for the following courses

    • Comparative Politics
    • Comparative Politics of Democracies
    • Democratic Regime Transfers
    • Democratic Transition
    • Democratization
    • Democratization in South Asia
    • Developing Nations
    • Discourse, Dictators and Democrats
    • Global Political Economy
    • Topics in Third World Politics
    • Tyranny to Democracy
    • Understanding Asian Politics through Cinema
    • contemporary Africa
  • Author

    Jan Teorell, Lunds Universitet, Sweden
    Jan Teorell is Associate Professor of Political Science at Lund University. His most recent publications have appeared in Studies in Comparative International Development, the European Journal of Political Research, the Journal of Democracy, Governance, and Political Research Quarterly.

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