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Causality, Probability, and Time

$156.00 (C)

  • Date Published: November 2012
  • availability: Available
  • format: Hardback
  • isbn: 9781107026483

$ 156.00 (C)

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About the Authors
  • Causality is a key part of many fields and facets of life, from finding the relationship between diet and disease to discovering the reason for a particular stock market crash. Despite centuries of work in philosophy and decades of computational research, automated inference and explanation remains an open problem. In particular, the timing and complexity of relationships has been largely ignored even though this information is critically important for prediction, explanation, and intervention. However, given the growing availability of large observational datasets including those from electronic health records and social networks, it is a practical necessity. This book presents a new approach to inference (finding relationships from a set of data) and explanation (assessing why a particular event occurred), addressing both the timing and complexity of relationships. The practical use of the method developed is illustrated through theoretical and experimental case studies, demonstrating its feasibility and success.

    • Provides practical methods for automated inference and explanation where the relationships can be more complex than one variable leading to another and can take place over windows of time
    • Offers the first method for causal inference where relationships are described using a temporal logic
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    Reviews & endorsements

    "This new book on causality is a wonderful combination surveying past work and moving on to develop useful new concepts such as probabilistic temporal logic to give new definitions and results about the nature of causes. Formal theorems and practical case studies about causality are given equally detailed attention."
    Patrick Suppes, Stanford University

    "This book presents an exciting new approach to causality based on temporal logic. Kleinberg does an excellent job in integrating a thorough understanding of present-day philosophical approaches to causality with formal and computational considerations, to deliver an approach that is both well motivated and practically oriented. It is recommended to those interested in theories of causality as well as those concerned with the practice of causal inference."
    Jon Williamson, University of Kent

    "… informative and engaging … Arguably an equally valuable contribution of the book is its integration of relevant work in philosophy, computer science, and statistics."
    David R. Bickel, Mathematical Reviews

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    Product details

    • Date Published: November 2012
    • format: Hardback
    • isbn: 9781107026483
    • length: 265 pages
    • dimensions: 242 x 160 x 16 mm
    • weight: 0.49kg
    • contains: 33 b/w illus. 6 tables
    • availability: Available
  • Table of Contents

    1. Introduction
    2. A brief history of causality
    3. Probability, logic and probabilistic temporal logic
    4. Defining causality
    5. Inferring causality
    6. Token causality
    7. Case studies
    8. Conclusion
    Appendix A. A little bit of statistics
    Appendix B. Proofs.

  • Author

    Samantha Kleinberg, Stevens Institute of Technology, New Jersey
    Samantha Kleinberg is Assistant Professor of Computer Science at Stevens Institute of Technology. She received a Ph.D. in Computer Science and a B.A. in Computer Science and Physics from New York University.

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