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Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis

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  • Authors:
  • Jack Baker, Stanford University, California
  • Brendon Bradley, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand
  • Peter Stafford, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London
  • Date Published: January 2022
  • availability: Available
  • format: Hardback
  • isbn: 9781108425056

$ 79.99 (C)

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About the Authors
  • Seismic hazard and risk analyses underpin the loadings prescribed by engineering design codes, the decisions by asset owners to retrofit structures, the pricing of insurance policies, and many other activities. This is a comprehensive overview of the principles and procedures behind seismic hazard and risk analysis. It enables readers to understand best practises and future research directions. Early chapters cover the essential elements and concepts of seismic hazard and risk analysis, while later chapters shift focus to more advanced topics. Each chapter includes worked examples and problem sets for which full solutions are provided online. Appendices provide relevant background in probability and statistics. Computer codes are also available online to help replicate specific calculations and demonstrate the implementation of various methods. This is a valuable reference for upper level students and practitioners in civil engineering, and earth scientists interested in engineering seismology.

    • Focuses on concepts and procedures rather than the details of scientific models, allowing the topic to be broadly accessible
    • Collects and synthesizes work from currently disparate fields, showing how they fit together
    • Draws on the authors' decades of experience as researchers and practitioners in the field
    Read more


    • Finalist, 2022 PROSE Award for Earth Science

    Reviews & endorsements

    Advance Praise: ‘An enormously valuable contribution, which teachers and students of seismic hazard analysis have been crying out for. Baker, Bradley and Stafford have produced a clear and comprehensive textbook for students, practitioners and end-users that I predict will lead to a significant and lasting improvement in the state-of-practice over the coming years.’ Dr Julian J Bommer, Seismic Hazard and Risk Consultant

    Advance Praise: ‘Seismic hazard and risk analysis has become so complex as to be regarded by many as an opaque, mysterious topic only to be understood by a small group of specialists. With this book, the veil has been lifted. It should be on the shelves of all serious students, practitioners, and researchers in the areas of seismic hazard analysis, earthquake engineering, and risk analysis.’ Professor Steve Kramer, University of Washington

    Advance Praise: ‘The authors’ profound knowledge and understanding of the interdisciplinary fields used in seismic hazard and risk analysis, and their own remarkable contributions to it, have yielded a comprehensive foundation for its more uniform, rigorous and advanced practice worldwide.’ Dr Paul Somerville, AECOM, Los Angeles

    'The authors of this valuable new tome are all accomplished professors, and their experience in teaching these subjects is apparent in the structure and organization of the book—each chapter beginning with an opening statement and a list of learning objectives. Each chapter also concludes with some expertly designed exercises, which serve to illustrate the practical application of concepts presented in the chapter and to bring to life the lessons learnt through connection to the stated learning objectives … I sincerely hope that the tremendous contribution that Baker, Bradley, and Stafford have made through writing their outstanding book on Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis will be widely disseminated and studied, because it will be a powerful device to improve the state of practice in these fields.' Julian J. Bommer, Seismological Research Letters

    'A very timely and important contribution to the earth science and earthquake engineering professions. Given the general applicability of many of the concepts it presents, it should be of great use to readers involved with other natural hazards as well. The book contains a tremendous wealth of information all presented and supported in a rigorous and detailed manner. Writing the first book on a particular topic requires many difficult decisions about scope, content, and organization, and the authors have succeeded admirably in simultaneously providing breadth and depth with respect to both hazards and risk.' Steven L. Kramer, Earthquake Spectra

    ‘[an] inherently readable and informative textbook on the subject. Concepts are clearly explained, and advanced mathematics is kept in the background (the appendixes pertain) so readers will not get bogged down while trying to understand the important ideas. Numerous figures and tables support the text, all expertly presented … The authors provide an accompanying website to supplement the material in the book and extend readers' learning experience. There could not be a better purchase for learning about seismic hazards and how to assess them at any price … Highly recommended.’ M. S. Field, Choice Connect

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    Product details

    • Date Published: January 2022
    • format: Hardback
    • isbn: 9781108425056
    • length: 600 pages
    • dimensions: 260 x 207 x 30 mm
    • weight: 1.58kg
    • availability: Available
  • Table of Contents

    1. Introduction
    Part I: Hazard Inputs
    2. Seismic Source Characterization
    3. Characterization of Earthquake Rates and Rupture Scenarios
    4. Empirical Ground-Motion Characterization
    5. Physics-Based Ground-Motion Characterization
    Part II: Hazard Calculation
    6. PSHA Calculation
    7. PSHA Products
    8. Non-Ergodic Hazard Analysis
    Part III: Risk
    9. Seismic Risk
    10. Ground-Motion Selection
    11. Spatially Distributed Systems
    12. Validations
    Appendix A Basics of Probability
    Appendix B Basics of Statistics for Model Calibration
    List of Symbols
    Notation Conventions

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    Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis

    Jack Baker, Brendon Bradley, Peter Stafford

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  • Authors

    Jack Baker, Stanford University, California
    Jack Wesley Baker is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Stanford University. His research focuses on the use of probabilistic and statistical tools for modeling of extreme loads on structures. He is the recipient of several awards, including: the Shah Family Innovation Prize from the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, the CAREER Award from the National Science Foundation, the Early Achievement Research Award from the International Association for Structural Safety and Reliability, the Walter L. Huber Prize from ASCE, the Helmut Krawinkler Award from the Structural Engineers Association of Northern California, and the Eugene L. Grant Award for excellence in teaching.

    Brendon Bradley, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand
    Brendon Archie Bradley is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering at the University of Canterbury, New Zealand. His areas of interest include engineering seismology, strong ground motion prediction, seismic response analysis of structural and geotechnical systems, and seismic performance and loss estimation methods. He has received several notable awards for work with collaborators, including the 2012 Ivan Skinner EQC award, the 2013 Royal Society of New Zealand Rutherford Discovery Fellowship, the 2014 Shamsher Prakash Foundation Research Award, the 2014 New Zealand Engineering Excellence Award for Young Engineer of the Year, the 2015 University of Canterbury Teaching Award, the 2015 TC203 Young Researcher Award, the 2015 EERI Shah Innovation Prize, the 2016 ASCE Norman Medal, the 2016 New Zealand Prime Minister's Emerging Scientist Prize, and the 2019 New Zealand Geotechnical Society Geomechanics Award.

    Peter Stafford, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London
    Peter James Stafford is a Reader in Engineering Seismology and Earthquake Engineering at the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College, London. Although his research interests are primarily in the areas of Engineering Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, he also has professional consulting experience as both a structural and geotechnical engineer. A lot of Dr Stafford's research is influenced by problems encountered in real-world probabilistic seismic hazard and risk analyses for critical infrastructure related to nuclear and hydro-electric power generation and gas extraction. He also has significant experience with the reinsurance sector and providing inputs to the development of portfolio loss models.


    • Finalist, 2022 PROSE Award for Earth Science

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