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2 - What is chance?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

David J. Bartholomew
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
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Summary

This chapter aims to clarify the terminology. In a field where there are many terms with overlapping meanings, it is important to establish a common language. The approach is through the familiar notion of uncertainty, and the chapter continues by dealing with chance in relation to ignorance, accident, contingency, causation and necessity. Particular attention is paid to the idea of ‘pure’ chance, and the paradoxical relationship of choice and chance is touched upon.

WHY THE QUESTION MATTERS

This is a fundamental question for theology, especially if we are to understand why some think that the very idea excludes God. Sometimes chance is spelt with a capital C as though to accord it a quasi-metaphysical status. I have already noted, in chapter 1, the hazards of thus personifying chance because to do so almost inevitably sets it up in opposition to God. It is then but a short step to speaking of chance as causing things, and once that happens we are on a very slippery slope indeed. The fact that we have so many words for chance with an overlapping meaning in our vocabulary shows the subtlety of the concept. Random, likelihood, probability, contingency and uncertainty are all terms which arise and sometimes they are used in conjunction as when people speak of ‘random chance’ as though to emphasise the sheer uncertainty of it all! In the following section I seek to elucidate the meaning of chance by looking at it in the context of some other terms with which it is commonly linked.

Type
Chapter
Information
God, Chance and Purpose
Can God Have It Both Ways?
, pp. 16 - 27
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2008

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  • What is chance?
  • David J. Bartholomew, London School of Economics and Political Science
  • Book: God, Chance and Purpose
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511807701.003
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  • What is chance?
  • David J. Bartholomew, London School of Economics and Political Science
  • Book: God, Chance and Purpose
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511807701.003
Available formats
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To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • What is chance?
  • David J. Bartholomew, London School of Economics and Political Science
  • Book: God, Chance and Purpose
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511807701.003
Available formats
×