Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-wg55d Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-10T22:58:26.971Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Geography of Democratic Discontent

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 August 2022

Cameron Ballard-Rosa*
Affiliation:
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
Allison Carnegie
Affiliation:
Columbia University, New York, USA
Bryan Schonfeld
Affiliation:
Princeton University, Princeton, USA
*
*Corresponding author. Email: cambr@email.unc.edu

Abstract

Understanding the determinants of support for democracy remains at the heart of many puzzles in international and comparative political economy. A central but still unresolved topic in this literature is the conditions under which such support dissipates. To answer this question, this article focuses on distributional politics: since democratic leaders possess limited budgets but need to win elections, they often skew resources toward one politically influential sector, leading to more negative attitudes toward democracy among electorally ignored populations. In particular, we argue that governments often face a key political trade-off: whether to direct resources to the agricultural sector or to encourage urban development. After developing this argument in a formal model, we detail historical accounts that substantiate the mechanisms identified in the model. Finally, we provide cross-national quantitative evidence that discontent with democracy increases among geographic populations when governments disproportionately distribute resources toward other sectors.

Type
Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Acemoglu, D and Robinson, JA (2006) Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy. Cambridge University Press. New York, NY.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alesina, A and Spolaore, E (2005) The Size of Nations. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Atkin, D (2013) Trade, tastes, and nutrition in India. American Economic Review 103(5), 16291663.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baker, C and Phongpaichit, P (2014) A History of Thailand. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ballard-Rosa, C (2016) Hungry for change: urban bias and autocratic sovereign default. International Organization 70(2), 313346.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ballard-Rosa, C (2020) Democracy, Dictatorship, and Default: Urban–Rural Bias and Economic Crises across Regimes. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ballard-Rosa, C, Carnegie, A, and Schonfeld, B (2022) Replication Data The Geography of Democratic Discontent. Harvard Dataverse at https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/UVDDBD, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:xCuf6cvCmxAne5C088xhxQ== [fileUNF]"CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barari, S, Kim, IS, and Wong, W (2019) Trade Liberalization and Regime Type: Evidence from a New Tariff-line Dataset. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Working Paper.Google Scholar
Bates, RH (1981) Markets and States in Tropical Africa: The Political Basis of Agricultural Policies: With a New Preface. Oakland, CA: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Boix, C (2011) Democracy, development, and the international system. American Political Science Review 105(4), 809828.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carnegie, A, Clark, R, and Zucker, N (2021) Global Governance under Populism: The Challenge of Information Suppression. Unpublished paper, Columbia University and Princeton University. Available from https://bit.ly/2XhfyXWGoogle Scholar
Carnegie, A et al. (2022) The effects of foreign aid on rebel governance: evidence from a large-scale US aid program in Syria. Economics & Politics 34(1), 4166.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Collier, P and Hoeffler, A (2005) Coup Traps: Why does Africa have so many coups d'etat?. University of Oxford, Working Paper.Google Scholar
Dixit, A and Londregan, J (1996) The determinants of success of special interests in redistributive politics. The Journal of Politics 58(4), 11321155.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Foa, RS and Mounk, Y (2016) The democratic disconnect. Journal of Democracy 27(3), 517.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Foa, RS and Mounk, Y (2017) The signs of deconsolidation. Journal of Democracy 28(1), 515.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fukuyama, F (1989) The end of history? The National Interest, (16), 3–18.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Glaeser, EL and Steinberg, BM (2017) Transforming cities: does urbanization promote democratic change? Regional Studies 51(1), 5868.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Glassman, J (2010) The provinces elect governments, Bangkok overthrows them: urbanity, class and post-democracy in Thailand. Urban Studies 47(6), 13011323.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guillermo, A (1973). “Modernization and Bureaucratic-Authoritarianism: Studies in South American Politics.” Institute of International Studies, University of California, Berkeley, 199.Google Scholar
Hainmueller, J, Mummolo, J, and Xu, Y (2019) How much should we trust estimates from multiplicative interaction models? Simple tools to improve empirical practice. Political Analysis 27(2), 163192.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harding, R (2012) Democracy and Rural Bias in Sub-Saharan Africa. PhD dissertation, New York University, USA.Google Scholar
Hendrix, CS and Haggard, S (2015) Global food prices, regime type, and urban unrest in the developing world. Journal of Peace Research 52(2), 143157.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Houle, C (2009) Inequality and democracy: why inequality harms consolidation but does not affect democratization. World Politics 61, 589.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kendall-Taylor, A and Frantz, E (2016) When dictators die. Journal of Democracy 27(4), 159171.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lehoucq, F and Pérez-Liñán, A (2013) Breaking out of the coup trap: political competition and military coups in Latin America. Comparative Political Studies, DOI: 0010414013488561.Google Scholar
Levitsky, S and Way, LA (2010) Why democracy needs a level playing field. Journal of Democracy 21(1), 5768.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Linz, JJ and Stepan, A (1996) Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation: Southern Europe, South America, and Post-Communist Europe. JHU Press: Baltimore, MD.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lipset, SM (1959) Some social requisites of democracy: economic development and political legitimacy. American Political Science Review 53(1), 69105.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Londregan, JB and Poole, KT (1990) Poverty, the coup trap, and the seizure of executive power. World Politics 42(2), 151183.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lust, E and Waldner, D (2015) Unwelcome Change: Understanding, Evaluating, and Extending Theories of Democratic Backsliding. US Agency for International Development, 11.Google Scholar
Maeda, K (2010) Two modes of democratic breakdown: a competing risks analysis of democratic durability. The Journal of Politics 72(4), 11291143.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McQuarrie, M (2017) The revolt of the Rust Belt: place and politics in the age of anger. The British Journal of Sociology 68, S120S152.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Moore, JD and Donaldson, JA (2015) “Human-Scale Economics: Poverty Reduction in North-eastern Thailand.” In International Studies Association Global South Conference.Google Scholar
Muller, EN (1985) Dependent economic development, aid dependence on the United States, and democratic breakdown in the Third World. International Studies Quarterly 29(4), 445469.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ockey, J (2003) Change and continuity in the Thai political party system. Asian Survey 43(4), 663680.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
O'Donnell, G (1975) Modernization and Bureaucratic Authoritarianism.Google Scholar
O'Donnell, G (1978) State and alliances in Argentina, 1956–1976. The Journal of Development Studies 15(1), 333.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pérez, OJ (2009) Crime and support for coups in Latin America. Americas Barometer Insights.Google Scholar
Persson, T and Tabellini, GE (2002) Political Economics: Explaining Economic Policy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Petras, J and Petras, B (1973) The Chilean coup. Instant Research on Peace and Violence 3(4), 163176.Google Scholar
Phatharathananunth, S (2008) The Thai Rak Thai party and elections in north-eastern Thailand. Journal of Contemporary Asia 38(1), 106123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Phongpaichit, P and Baker, C (2004) Pluto populism in Thailand: business remaking politics. In Populism and Reformism in Southeast Asia. New Haven, CT.Google Scholar
Phongpaichit, P and Baker, C (2008) Thaksin's populism. Journal of Contemporary Asia 38(1), 6283.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pierskalla, JH (2011) Urban bias and democracy: the causal effect of elections on rural public goods provision. Duke University.Google Scholar
Poast, P and Urpelainen, J (2015) How international organizations support democratization: preventing authoritarian reversals or promoting consolidation? World Politics 67(1), 72113.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Prasirtsuk, K (2007) From political reform and economic crisis to coup d’état in Thailand: the twists and turns of the political economy, 1997–2006. Asian Survey 47(6), 872893.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Przeworski, A et al. (2000) Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950–1990, Vol. 3. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Samuels, DJ and Thomson, H (2020) Lord, peasant … and tractor? Agricultural mechanization, Moore's thesis, and the emergence of democracy. Perspectives on Politics, 115.Google Scholar
Schumpeter, J (1942) Creative destruction. Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy 825, 8285.Google Scholar
Singh, N (2014) Seizing Power: The Strategic Logic of Military Coups. Baltimore, MD: JHU Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Slater, D (2013) Democratic careening. World Politics 65(4), 729763.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Snyder, R and Samuels, D (2001) Devaluing the vote in Latin America. Journal of Democracy 12(1), 146159.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stasavage, D (2005) Democracy and education spending in Africa. American Journal of Political Science 49(2), 343358.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Svolik, M (2018) When polarization trumps civic virtue: partisan conflict and the subversion of democracy by incumbents. Available from SSRN 3243470.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
The Economist (2006) Thailand's dangerous coup. September 23.Google Scholar
Thomson, H (2019) Food and Power: Regime Type, Agricultural Policy, and Political Stability. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tilly, C (2007) Democracy. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Ulfelder, J (2010) Dilemmas of Democratic Consolidation: A Game-Theory Approach. Boulder, CO: First Forum Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Varshney, A (1993) Self-limited empowerment: democracy, economic development and rural India. The Journal of Development Studies 29(4), 177215.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Visconti, G (2019) Policy preferences after crime victimization: panel and survey evidence from Latin America. British Journal of Political Science, 115.Google Scholar
Wallace, J (2013) Cities, redistribution, and authoritarian regime survival. The Journal of Politics 75(3), 632645.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wright, J (2008) Political competition and democratic stability in new democracies. British Journal of Political Science 38(2), 221245.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: Link

Ballard-Rosa et al. Dataset

Link
Supplementary material: PDF

Ballard-Rosa et al. supplementary material

Appendix

Download Ballard-Rosa et al. supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 681.2 KB