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1 - Climate Change

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 December 2009

Brian C. O'Neill
Affiliation:
Brown University, Rhode Island
F. Landis MacKellar
Affiliation:
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria
Wolfgang Lutz
Affiliation:
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria
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Summary

The threat of human-induced climate change, popularly known as global warming, presents a difficult challenge to society over the coming decades. The production of so-called “greenhouse gases” (GHGs) as a result of human activity, mainly due to the burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and natural gas, is expected to lead to a generalized warming of the Earth's surface, rising sea levels, and changes in precipitation patterns. The potential impacts of these changes are many and varied – more frequent and intense heat waves, changes in the frequency of droughts and floods, increased coastal flooding, and more damaging storm surges – all with attendant consequences for human health, agriculture, economic activity, biodiversity, and ecosystem functioning.

Because the impacts of climate change are expected to be global and potentially severe, and because energy production from fossil fuels is a fundamental component of the world economy, the stakes in the issue are high. At the same time, a number of aspects of climate change complicate the problem. First, while much is known about the factors governing climate, considerable uncertainty remains in projections of how much climate will change, how severe the impacts will be, and how costly it would be to reduce GHG emissions. Second, because the impacts of today's GHG emissions will be felt for decades into the future, it is not possible to wait and see how severe impacts will turn out to be before taking preventive action. Therefore, if emissions are reduced now, the costs will be borne in the near term while the benefits, which will depend on uncertain projections of future impacts, will be realized largely in the long term.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2000

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  • Climate Change
  • Brian C. O'Neill, Brown University, Rhode Island, F. Landis MacKellar, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria, Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria
  • Book: Population and Climate Change
  • Online publication: 23 December 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511529450.003
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  • Climate Change
  • Brian C. O'Neill, Brown University, Rhode Island, F. Landis MacKellar, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria, Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria
  • Book: Population and Climate Change
  • Online publication: 23 December 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511529450.003
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Climate Change
  • Brian C. O'Neill, Brown University, Rhode Island, F. Landis MacKellar, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria, Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria
  • Book: Population and Climate Change
  • Online publication: 23 December 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511529450.003
Available formats
×