Book contents
3 - Econometrics
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 21 September 2017
Edited by
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Modernism and the Social SciencesAnglo-American Exchanges, c.1918–1980, pp. 39 - 76Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2017
References
Alchon, Guy. The Invisible Hand of Planning: Capitalism, Social Science, and the State in the 1920s. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1985.Google Scholar
Aldrich, John. “Econometrics and Psychometrics: Rivers out of Biometry.” History of Political Economy 43 (December 2, 2011): 35–56.Google Scholar
Allen, R. G. D. “On the Marginal Utility of Money and Its Application.” Economica, 1933, 186–209.Google Scholar
Angrist, Joshua, and Pischke, Jörn-Steffen. The Credibility Revolution in Empirical Economics: How Better Research Design Is Taking the Con out of Econometrics. Working Paper. National Bureau of Economic Research, March 2010. www.nber.org/papers/w15794.Google Scholar
Backhouse, Roger. “An Abstruse and Mathematical Argument: The Use of Mathematical Reasoning in the General Theory.” In The Return to Keynes, edited by Bateman, Bradley W., Hirai, Toshiaki, and Marcuzzo, Maria Cristina, 133–47. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2010.Google Scholar
Banzhaf, H. Spencer. “The Other Economics Department: Demand and Value Theory in Early Agricultural Economics.” History of Political Economy 38 (2006): 9–31.Google Scholar
Bernstein, Michael. A Perilous Progress: Economists and Public Purpose in Twentieth-Century America. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2001.Google Scholar
Black, Fischer. “The Trouble with Econometric Models.” Financial Analysts Journal 38, no. 2 (March 1, 1982): 29–37.Google Scholar
Brinkley, Alan. The End of Reform: New Deal Liberalism in Recession and War. New York: Vintage Press, 1996.Google Scholar
Bulmer, Martin, Bales, Kevin, and Kish Sklar, Kathryn. The Social Survey in Historical Perspective, 1880–1940. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1991.Google Scholar
Chandler, Alfred D. Scale and Scope: The Dynamics of Industrial Capitalism. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1990.Google Scholar
Chandler, Alfred D. The Visible Hand: The Managerial Revolution in American Business. Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 1977.Google Scholar
Christ, Carl F. “History of the Cowles Commission, 1932–1952.” In Economic Theory and Measurement: A Twenty Year Research Report, 3–66. Chicago: Cowles Commission, 1952. http://cowles.yale.edu/sites/default/files/files/pub/rep/r1932-52.pdf.Google Scholar
Clarke, Peter. “The Treasury’s Analytical Model of the British Economy between the Wars.” In The State and Economic Knowledge: The American and British Experiences, edited by Furner, Mary O. and Supple, Barry, 171–207. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1990.Google Scholar
Collins, Robert M. More: The Politics of Economic Growth in Postwar America. New York: Oxford University Press, 2000.Google Scholar
Converse, Jean M. Survey Research in the United States: Roots and Emergence, 1890–1960. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1987.Google Scholar
Davidson, Roger. Whitehall and the Labour Problem in Late-Victorian and Edwardian Britain: A Study in Official Statistics and Social Control. London; Dover, NH: Croom Helm, 1985.Google Scholar
Didier, Emmanuel. “Counting on Relief: Industrializing the Statistical Interviewer during the New Deal.” Science in Context 24, no. 2 (2011): 281–310.Google Scholar
Econometric Society. “Constitution of the Econometric Society.” Econometrica 20, no. 1 (January 1, 1952): 115–19.Google Scholar
Econometric Society. “Growth and Distribution of Membership in the Econometric Society and of Subscribers to Econometrica.” Econometrica 6, no. 4 (October 1, 1938): 403.Google Scholar
Econometric Society. “Growth and Distribution of Membership in the Econometric Society and of Subscribers to Econometrica.” Econometrica 7, no. 4 (October 1, 1939): 383.Google Scholar
Econometric Society. “Growth and Distribution of Membership in the Econometric Society and of Subscribers to Econometrica.” Econometrica 8, no. 4 (October 1, 1940): 380.Google Scholar
Econometric Society. “Growth and Distribution of the Membership of the Econometric Society.” Econometrica 2, no. 4 (October 1, 1934): 448.Google Scholar
Econometric Society. “Growth and Distribution of the Membership of the Econometric Society.” Econometrica 4, no. 4 (October 1, 1936): 398.Google Scholar
Econometric Society. “List of Members of the Econometric Society.” Econometrica 2, no. 4 (October 1, 1934): 449–60.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. “Our Unstable Dollar and the So-Called Business Cycle.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 20, no. 150 (June 1, 1925): 179–202.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. The Purchasing Power of Money: Its Determination and Relation to Credit Interest and Crises. New York: MacMillan & Co., 1911.Google Scholar
Fourcade, Marion. Economists and Societies: Discipline and Profession in the United States, Britain, and France, 1890s to 1990s. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2009.Google Scholar
Fox, Justin. The Myth of the Rational Market: A History of Risk, Reward, and Delusion on Wall Street. New York: HarperCollins, 2011.Google Scholar
Fox, Karl A. “Agricultural Economists as World Leaders in Applied Econometrics, 1917–33.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 68, no. 2 (May 1, 1986): 381–86.Google Scholar
Friedman, Walter A. Fortune Tellers: The Story of America’s First Economic Forecasters. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2014.Google Scholar
Frisch, Ragnar. “Instructions to Contributors Regarding Papers for Econometrica.” Econometrica 1, no. 2 (April 1, 1933): 223.Google Scholar
General Motors Corporation. Dynamics of Automobile Demand. New York: General Motors Corporation, 1939.Google Scholar
Geweke, John, Horowitz, Joel, and Pesaran, Hashem. “Econometrics.” In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, edited by Durlauf, Steven N. and Blume, Lawrence E., 2nd ed. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008. www.dictionaryofeconomics.com/article?id=pde2008_E000007.Google Scholar
Haines, Michael R. “Population, Population Density, and Land Area: 1790–2000.” In Historical Statistics of the United States: Millennial Edition, edited by Carter, Susan B., Gartner, Scott S., Haines, Michael R., Olmstead, Alan L., Sutch, Richard, and Wright, Gavin. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2006.Google Scholar
Hawley, Ellis W. “Economic Inquiry and the State in New Era America: Antistatist Corporatism and Positive Statism in Uneasy Coexistence.” In The State and Economic Knowledge: The American and British Experiences, edited by Furner, Mary O. and Supple, Barry, 287–324. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990.Google Scholar
Hawley, Ellis W. “Herbert Hoover, the Commerce Secretariat, and the Vision of an ‘Associative State,’ 1921–1929.” Journal of American History 61 (1974): 116–40.Google Scholar
Hawtrey, R. G. Good and Bad Trade: An Inquiry into the Causes of Trade Fluctuations. London: Constable & Co., 1913.Google Scholar
Hendry, David F. “Econometrics-Alchemy or Science?” Economica 47, no. 188 (November 1, 1980): 387–406.Google Scholar
Howson, Susan, and Winch, Donald. The Economic Advisory Council, 1930–1939: A Study in Economic Advice during Depression and Recovery. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1977.Google Scholar
Jacobs, Meg. Pocketbook Politics: Economic Citizenship in Twentieth-Century America. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2005.Google Scholar
Jewett, Andrew. Science, Democracy, and the American University: From the Civil War to the Cold War. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2012.Google Scholar
Keuzenkamp, H. A. Keynes and the Logic of Econometric Method. Discussion Paper. Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, 1995. http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/dgrkubcen/1995113.htm.Google Scholar
Keynes, John M. “Correspondence.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 74, no. 1 (December 1, 1910): 114–21.Google Scholar
Keynes, John M. “Correspondence.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 74, no. 3 (February 1, 1911): 339–45.Google Scholar
Keynes, John M. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. London: MacMillan & Co., 1936.Google Scholar
Keynes, John M. “On a Method of Statistical Business-Cycle Research. A Comment.” The Economic Journal 50, no. 197 (March 1, 1940): 154–56.Google Scholar
Keynes, John M. “Professor Tinbergen’s Method.” The Economic Journal 49, no. 195 (September 1, 1939): 558–77.Google Scholar
Klein, Judy L. “The Rise of ‘Non-October’ Econometrics: Kondratiev and Slutsky at the Moscow Conjuncture Institute.” History of Political Economy 31, no. 1 (Spring 1999): 137–68.Google Scholar
Knight, Frank H. “The Limitations of Scientific Method in Economics.” In The Trend of Economics, edited by Tugwell, Rexford G., 229–67. New York: Knopf, 1924.Google Scholar
Kondratiev, Nikolai D. The Works of Nikolai D. Kondratiev. Edited by Makaševa, Natalija A., Samuels, Warren J., and Barnett, Vincent. Translated by Wilson, Stephen S.. Pickering & Chatto Publishers, Limited, 1998.Google Scholar
Larson, Erik. The Naked Consumer: How Our Private Lives Become Public Commodities. New York: H. Holt, 1992.Google Scholar
Leach, William. Land of Desire: Merchants, Power, and the Rise of a New American Culture. New York: Pantheon Books, 1993.Google Scholar
Leamer, Edward E. “Let’s Take the ‘Con’ Out of Econometrics.” The American Economic Review 73, no. 1 (March 1, 1983): 31–43.Google Scholar
Lee, Frederic S. “Administered Price Hypothesis and the Dominance of Neoclassical Price Theory: The Case of the Industrial Prices Dispute.” Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology 17, 1999, 23–42.Google Scholar
Lee, Frederic S. “From Multi-industry Planning to Keynesian Planning: Gardiner Means, the American Keynesians, and National Economic Planning at the National Resources Committee.” Journal of Policy History 2 (1990): 186–212.Google Scholar
Leeson, Robert. The Eclipse of Keynesianism: The Political Economy of the Chicago Counter-revolution. New York: Palgrave, 2000.Google Scholar
Leontief, Wassily. “Theoretical Assumptions and Nonobserved Facts.” The American Economic Review 61 (1971): 1–7.Google Scholar
Louçã, Francisco. “The Econometric Challenge to Keynes: Arguments and Contradictions in the Early Debates about a Late Issue*.” European Journal of the History of Economic Thought 6, no. 3 (September 1999): 404.Google Scholar
Louçã, Francisco. “Nikolai Kondratiev and the Early Consensus and Dissensions about History and Statistics.” History of Political Economy 31, no. 1 (Spring 1999): 169–205.Google Scholar
Louçã, Francisco. The Years of High Econometrics: A Short History of the Generation That Reinvented Economics. New York: Routledge, 2007.Google Scholar
Louçã, Francisco, and Terlica, Sofia. “The Fellowship of Econometrics: Selection and Diverging Views in the Province of Mathematical Economics, from the 1930s to the 1950s.” History of Political Economy 43, no. Annual supplement (2011): 57–85.Google Scholar
MacKenzie, Donald A. An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financial Models Shape Markets. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2006.Google Scholar
Means, Gardiner C. Industrial Prices and Their Relative Inflexibility. U.S. Senate Document 13, 74th Congress, 1935.Google Scholar
Mirowski, Philip. More Heat than Light: Economics as Social Physics; Physics as Nature’s Economics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989.Google Scholar
Mitchell, Brian R. British Historical Statistics. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1988.Google Scholar
Mitchell, Wesley C. “The Prospects of Economics.” In The Trend of Economics, edited by Tugwell, Rexford G., 3–36. New York: Knopf, 1924.Google Scholar
Mitchell, Wesley C. “Statistics and Government.” Publications of the American Statistical Association 16 (1919): 223–35.Google Scholar
Morgan, Mary S. The History of Econometric Ideas. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1991.Google Scholar
Patinkin, Don. “Keynes and Econometrics: On the Interaction between the Macroeconomic Revolutions of the Interwar Period.” Econometrica 44, no. 6 (November 1976): 1091–1123.Google Scholar
Pearson, Karl. “Correspondence.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 74, no. 2 (January 1, 1911): 221–29.Google Scholar
Peden, George C. “Old Dogs and New Tricks: The British Treasury and Keynesian Economics in the 1940s and 1950s.” In The State and Economic Knowledge: The American and British Experiences, edited by Furner, Mary O. and Supple, Barry, 208–38. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1990.Google Scholar
Perlman, Mark. “Political Purpose and National Accounts.” In The Politics of Numbers, edited by Alonso, William and Starr, Paul, 133–51. New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1987.Google Scholar
Porter, Theodore M. Trust in Numbers: The Pursuit of Objectivity in Science and Public Life. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995.Google Scholar
Purcell, Edward A. The Crisis of Democratic Theory; Scientific Naturalism & the Problem of Value. Lexington: University Press of Kentucky, 1973.Google Scholar
Qin, Duo. The Formation of Econometrics. A Historical Perspective. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1997.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Renfro, Charles G. “Econometrics and the Computer: Love or a Marriage of Convenience?” History of Political Economy 43, no. Annual Supplement (2011): 86–105.Google Scholar
Robertson, Dennis H. A Study of Industrial Fluctuation: An Enquiry into the Character and Causes of the So-Called Cyclical Movements of Trade. London: P. S. King, 1915.Google Scholar
Roos, Charles F. Dynamic Economics: Theoretical and Statistical Studies of Demand, Production and Prices. Monographs of the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics 1. Bloomington, IN: Principia Press, 1934.Google Scholar
Roos, Charles F. “The Organization of the Econometric Society in Cleveland, Ohio, December, 1930.” Econometrica 1, no. 1 (January 1, 1933): 71–72.Google Scholar
Ross, Dorothy. The Origins of American Social Science. Cambridge; New York: Cambridge University Press, 1991.Google Scholar
Rothbard, Murray N. “World War I as Fulfillment: Power and the Intellectuals.” Journal of Libertarian Studies 9 (1989): 81–125.Google Scholar
Rutherford, Malcolm. “The USDA Graduate School: Government Training in Statistics and Economics, 1921–1945.” Journal of the History of Economic Thought 33, no. 4 (2011): 419–47.Google Scholar
Samuels, Warren J., and Medema, Steven G.. Gardiner C. Means, Institutionalist and Post-Keynesian. Armonk, NY: M. E. Sharpe, 1990.Google Scholar
Scoville, John, and Sargent, Noel. Fact and Fancy in the T.N.E.C. Monographs: Reviews of the 43 Monographs Issued by the Temporary National Economic Committee. New York: National Association of Manufacturers, 1942.Google Scholar
Sims, Christopher A. “Macroeconomics and Reality.” Econometrica 48, no. 1 (January 1, 1980): 1–48.Google Scholar
Smith, Mark C. Social Science in the Crucible: The American Debate over Objectivity and Purpose, 1918–1941. Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 1994.Google Scholar
Stapleford, Thomas A. The Cost of Living in America: A Political History of Economic Statistics, 1880–2000. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2009.Google Scholar
Stapleford, Thomas A. “Defining a ‘Living Wage’ in America: Transformations in Union Wage Theories, 1870–1930.” Labor History 49 (2008): 1–22.Google Scholar
Stapleford, Thomas A. “Market Visions: Expenditure Surveys, Market Research, and Economic Planning in the New Deal.” Journal of American History 94 (2007): 418–44.Google Scholar
Stapleford, Thomas A. “Reconceiving Quality: Political Economy and the Rise of Hedonic Price Indexes.” History of Political Economy 43, no. Annual Supplement (2011): 309–28.Google Scholar
Stapleford, Thomas A. “Shaping Knowledge about American Labor: External Advising at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Twentieth Century.” Science in Context 23, no. 2 (2010): 187–220.Google Scholar
Stigler, George J. “The Early History of Empirical Studies of Consumer Behavior.” The Journal of Political Economy 62 (1954): 95–113.Google Scholar
Strotz, Robert H. “Econometrics.” In International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences, edited by Sills, David L and Merton, Robert King, 350–59. New York: Macmillan, 1968.Google Scholar
Tinbergen, Jan. Statistical Testing of Business-Cycle Theories. Geneva: League of Nations, Economic Intelligence Service, 1939.Google Scholar
Toms, Steven, and Wilson, John F.. “Scale, Scope and Accountability: Towards a New Paradigm of British Business History.” Business History 45, no. 4 (October 2003): 1–23.Google Scholar
Tooze, J. Adam. Statistics and the German State, 1900–1945: The Making of Modern Economic Knowledge. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001.Google Scholar
Vroey, Michel, and Hoover, Kevin D., eds. The IS-LM Model: Its Rise, Fall, and Strange Persistence. Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 2004.Google Scholar
Wagemann, Ernst Friedrich. Economic Rhythm. Translated by Blelloch, D. H.. 1st ed. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1930.Google Scholar
Warwick, Andrew. Masters of Theory: Cambridge and the Rise of Mathematical Physics. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2003.Google Scholar
Weir, Margaret. “Ideas and Politics: The Acceptance of Keynesianism in Britain and the United States.” In The Political Power of Economic Ideas: Keynesianism across Nations, edited by Hall, Peter A., 53–86. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1989.Google Scholar
Wells, Coleman Harwell. “Remapping America: Market Research and American Society, 1900–1940.” PhD dissertation, University of Virginia, 1999.Google Scholar
Winch, Donald. “Economic Knowledge and Government in Britain: Some Historical and Comparative Reflections.” In The State and Economic Knowledge: The American and British Experiences, edited by Furner, Mary O. and Supple, Barry, 40–70. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990.Google Scholar
Winch, Donald. “Keynes, Keynesianism, and State Intervention.” In The Political Power of Economic Ideas: Keynesianism across Nations, edited by Hall, Peter A., 107–27. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1989.Google Scholar
Yarrow, Andrew L. Measuring America: How Economic Growth Came to Define American Greatness in the Late Twentieth Century. Amherst: University of Massachusetts Press, 2010.Google Scholar
Yule, G. Udny. “Why Do We Sometimes Get Nonsense-Correlations between Time-Series?” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 89, no. 1 (January 1, 1926): 1–63.Google Scholar