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  • The China Quarterly, Volume 211
  • September 2012, pp. 595-623

The End of the CCP's Resilient Authoritarianism? A Tripartite Assessment of Shifting Power in China*

  • Cheng Li (a1)
  • DOI:
  • Published online: 01 October 2012

This essay challenges the widely held view of the CCP's purported “resilient authoritarianism,” which asserts that China's one-party political system is able to enhance the state capacity to govern effectively through institutional adaptations and policy adjustments. An analysis of the recent and still unfolding Bo Xilai crisis reveals the flaws in China's political system, including nepotism and patron–client ties in the selection of leaders, rampant corruption, the growing oligarchic power of state-owned enterprises, elites' contempt for the law and the potential failure to broker deals between competing factions in the Party leadership. The essay argues that the CCP's “authoritarian resilience” is a stagnant system, both conceptually and empirically, because it resists much-needed democratic changes in the country. The problems of the resilient authoritarianism thesis is traceable to the monolithic conceptualizing of China – the failure to appreciate seemingly paradoxical transformative trends in the country, which this essay characterizes as three paralleled developments, namely, 1) weak leaders, strong factions; 2) weak government, strong interest groups; and 3) weak Party, strong country. One should not confuse China's national resilience (in terms of the emerging middle class, new interest group politics, and dynamic society) with the CCP's capacity and legitimacy to rule the country. The essay concludes that if the CCP intends to regain the public's confidence and avoid a bottom-up revolution, it must abandon the notion of “authoritarian resilience” and embrace a systematic democratic transition with bold steps towards intra-Party elections, judicial independence and a gradual opening of the mainstream media.

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The author thanks Chris Bramall, Eve Cary, Jordan Lee and John Langdon for suggesting ways in which to clarify the article.

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This list contains references from the content that can be linked to their source. For a full set of references and notes please see the PDF or HTML where available.

Bruce Dickson . 2008. Wealth into Power: The Communist Party's Embrace of China's Private Sector. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Yasheng Huang . 2008. Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics: Entrepreneurship and the State. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Cheng Li . 2001. China's Leaders: The New Generation. Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield.

Cheng Li . 2005. “The new bipartisanship within the Chinese Communist Party,” Orbis 49 (3), 387400.

Cheng Li . 2012a. “The battle for China's top nine leadership posts.” The Washington Quarterly 35 (1), 131145.

Andrew J Nathan . 2003. “Authoritarian resilience,” Journal of Democracy 14 (1), 617.

Randall Peerenboom . 2002. China's Long March toward the Rule of Law. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Ezra F Vogel . 2011. Deng Xiaoping and the Transformation of China. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

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The China Quarterly
  • ISSN: 0305-7410
  • EISSN: 1468-2648
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