Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-hfldf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-01T08:38:10.124Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Chapter I. The Home Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 March 2020

Extract

The decision to join the exchange-rate mechanism had been expected, with increasing confidence, for several years. Nevertheless the actual announcement on 5th October came as something of a surprise. Up to that point the authorities, both the Bank of England and the Treasury, had been encouraging the view that interest rates should be kept high for the foreseeable future so as to cut back the growth of domestic demand and to curb inflation. Joining the ERM implies that interest rates must be set mainly with a view to the foreign exchange market and are no longer fully available as an instrument to control the domestic economy. The decision to join the ERM in October, and the associated 1 percentage point cut in interest rates were probably the result of a reassessment of the state of the economy—as well as being a move in the complex game of European and domestic politics.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 1990 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

The forecasts were prepared by Bob Anderton, Andrew Britton and Soterios Soteri, but they draw on the work of the whole team engaged in macroeconomic analysis and modelbuilding at the Institute. Part One of the chapter was written by Andrew Britton, Part Two by Bob Anderton.