Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-x5gtn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-03T23:04:14.662Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Improving The Estimates of the UK Capital Stock

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 March 2020

Extract

There is a widespread view that official estimates of the capital stock in the UK may be subject to substantial error. However, until recently making any major improvement would have incurred costs beyond any reasonable budget, so the Central Statistical Office has only been able to make relatively marginal changes despite its continuing concern about the problem. Now, as the result of the computerisation of asset records and modern accounting requirements, a radical change from existing indirect estimates towards direct estimation is possible. This note, drawn from the results of a recent research project, appraises the problem, suggests how the estimates of the capital stock in the UK might be improved using existing methods and then shows how direct estimation could be used to derive improved current and retrospective estimates.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 1994 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

This note presents some of the results of a project undertaken by the National Institute for the Central Statistical Office. The statements presented here are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the CSO. We should like to thank Andy Blake for his advice in writing the computer programs used and Ray Barrell, Andrew Britton, Anna French, Ken Mansell, Nick Oulton and Sig Prais for their comments on an earlier draft.

References

Atkinson, M. and Mairesse, J. (1978), ‘Length of life of equipment in French manufacturing industries’, Annales de L'INSEE, no. 3031/1978, Paris.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bacon, R.W. and Schianchi, A. (1978), ‘La strutture del parco macchinne utensili in Italia: un estensione del l'analisi’, Rivista Economica e Politica, no. 3.Google Scholar
Bacon, R.W. and Eltis, W.E. (1974), The Age of US and UK Machinery, NEDO Monograph 3, London.Google Scholar
Baden-Fuller, C. (1989),‘Exit from declining industries and the case of steel castings’, Economic Journal, vol. 99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barna, T. (1957), ‘The replacement cost of fixed assets in British manufacturing in 1955’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 120(1).Google Scholar
Barna, T. (1961), ‘On measuring capital’, The Theory of Capital, by F.A. Lutz and D.C. Hague, New York: MacMillan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blades, D.W. (1991), ‘Capital measurement in the OECD countries: an overview’ in Technology and Productivity: The Challenge for Economic Policy, OECD, Paris.Google Scholar
Bureau d'Information et de Provisions Economiques (1982), Recensement du parc français de machines-outils en 1980, Neuilly.Google Scholar
CSO (1985), United Kingdom National Accounts: Sources and Methods, (3rd edition), HMSO.Google Scholar
Daly, A., Hichens, D.M.W.N. and Wagner, K. (1985), ‘Productivity, machinery and skills in a sample of British and German manufacturing plants’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 111, February.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dean, G. (1964), ‘The stock of fixed capital in the United Kingdom in 1961’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (General), vol. 127, pt 3.Google Scholar
Economic Planning Agency (1970), National Wealth Survey of Japan, vol. 1, Summary Report, Tokyo.Google Scholar
Economic Planning Agency (1979), ‘Non-residential business capital stock in Japan 1965-78’, Tokyo.Google Scholar
Economic Planning Agency (1970), ‘Non-residential business capital stock in Japan: concepts and methodology’, Tokyo.Google Scholar
Feinstein, C.H. (1965), Domestic Capital Formation in the United Kingdom 1920-1938, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Frenken, J. (1992), ‘How to measure tangible capital stock? The choice between two methods’, Netherlands Central Bureau of Statistics.Google Scholar
Griffin, Tom (1975), ‘Revised estimates of the consumption and stock of fixed capital’, Economic Trends, October.Google Scholar
Hibbert, J., Griffin, T.J. and Walker, R.L. (1977), ‘Development of estimates of the stock of fixed capital in the United Kingdom’, The Review of Income and Wealth.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jaffey, M. (1990), ‘The measurement of capital through a fixed asset accounting simulation model’, The Review of Income and Wealth, June.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jarvis, V. and Prais, S.J. (1989), ‘Two nations of shopkeepers: training for retailing in France and Britain’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 128, May.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lette, G. and Szpiro, D. (1988), ‘La durée de vie des equipements industriels sur la période 1972-1984’, Cahiers Economiques et Monétaires, no. 28, Paris.Google Scholar
Mairesse, J. (1972), ‘L'evaluation du capital fixe productif: methodes et resultats’, Les Collections de L'INSEE, C1819, Paris.Google Scholar
Mason, G., van Ark, B. and Wagner, K. (1994), ‘Productivity, product quality and workforce skills: food processing in four European countries’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 147, February.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayes, D.G. and Young, G. (1994), ‘The UK's Capital Stock’, National Institute Research Report.Google Scholar
Minford, M., Wall, M. and Wren-Lewis, S. (1991), ‘Manufacturing capacity: a measure derived from survey data using the Kalman Filter’, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.Google Scholar
Ministry of International Trade and Industry (1983), The Sixth Statistical Survey of Metalworking Equipment, 1981, Japan.Google Scholar
Muellbauer, J. (1986), ‘Productivity and competitiveness in British manufacturing’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2(3), Autumn, (i)(xxvi).Google Scholar
OECD (1993), ‘Methods used by OECD countries to measure stocks of fixed capital’, National Accounts Sources and Methods, no. 2, Paris.Google Scholar
O'Mahony, M. (1993), ‘Capital stocks and productivity in industrial nations’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 145, August.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
O'Mahony, M. and Oulton, N. (1990), ‘Industry-level estimates of the capital stock in UK manufacturing, 1948-85’, National Institute Discussion Paper, no. 172.Google Scholar
Oulton, N. (1987), ‘Plant closures and the productivity ‘miracle’ in manufacturing’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 121, August.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oulton, N. and O'Mahony, M. (1994), Productivity and Growth Study of British Industry 1954-1986, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Prais, S.J. (1986), ‘Some international comparisons of the age of the machine stock’, Journal of Industrial Economics, vol. 34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Prais, S.J. and Wagner, K. (1988), ‘Productivity and management: the training or foremen in Britain and Germany’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 123, February.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Redfern, P. (1955), ‘Net investment in fixed assets in the United Kingdom, 193 8-53’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (General), vol. 118, Pt 2.Google Scholar
Scott, M. Fg., (1992), ‘Policy implications of “A new view of economic growth”’, Economic Journal, May, no. 102.Google Scholar
Smith, A.D. (1986), ‘The feasibility of fire insurance measures of capital stock’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 116.Google Scholar
Smith, A.D. (1987), ‘A current cost accounting measure of Britain’ stock of equipment’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 120, May.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smith, A.D. (1988), ‘Changes in output, employment and the stock of equipment during the 1980s: the experience of fifty companies’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 144.Google Scholar
Steedman, H. and Wagner, K. (1987), ‘A second look at productivity, machinery and skills in Britain and Germany’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 120, May.Google Scholar
Steedman, H. and Wagner, K. (1989), ‘Productivity, machinery and skills: clothing manufacture in Britain and Germany’, National Institute Economic Review, May, no. 128.Google Scholar
Tarasofsky, A., Roseman, T.G. and Waslander, H.E. (1987), ‘Ex post aggregate real rates of return in Canada’, Economic Council, Ottawa.Google Scholar
United Nations (1986), System of National Accounts, Geneva.Google Scholar
Vereins Deutscher Werkzeugmaschinenfabriken (1980), Altersstruktur des Industriellen Werkzeugmaschinenparks in der BDR, Frankfurt.Google Scholar
Wadhwani, S. and Wall, M. (1986), ‘The UK capital stock—new estimates of premature scrapping’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2(3), Autumn.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Winfrey, R. (1935), ‘Statistical analysis of industrial property retirements’, Bulletin125, Iowa Engineering Experiment Station, Iowa State College.Google Scholar