Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-2pzkn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-16T23:27:56.303Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Spain: Evaluating the Effects of Macro Policy an Econometric Model

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 March 2020

Extract

In recent years Spain has experienced rapid economic development during a period of increasing European integration. Spanish policymakers have enhanced their credibility by becoming a member of both the EC and the ERM. A strong commitment to Spanish participation in a future European Economic and Monetary Union confirms Spain's determination to ‘catch-up’ and converge towards the model of the more advanced economies of Europe. The National Institute's Global Econometric Model (NIGEM) now contains a detailed econometric model of Spain. This note begins with an overview of economic events and policy in Spain over the last twenty years. This is followed by sections which describe in more detail the reforms and economic outcomes regarding the labour market, price and wage determination, the balance of payments and the finances of the public sector. The econometric model is then described and the effects of the structural reforms upon the individual equations evaluated. The penultimate section uses the model to simulate the effects of macroeconomic policies which the Spanish authorities have either implemented or may be considering. This is followed by a conclusion.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 1993 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

I am grateful to Ray Barrell and the NIESR Editorial Board for helpful comments. Thanks are also due to the World Team at NIESR for estimating some of the equations used in this paper. However, all errors are my own.

References

Anderton, R., Barrell, R., in't Veld, J.W. and Pittas, N. (1992), ‘Forward-looking wages and nominal inertia in the ERM’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 141, August.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderton, R. (1993),‘Spain: evaluating the effects of policy using an Econometric Model’, National Institute Discussion Paper (forthcoming).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderton, R. and Barrell, R. (1993),‘The ERM and structural change in European labour markets: a study of 10 countries’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 40.Google Scholar
Barrell, R., Sefton, J. and in't Veld, J.W. (1993),‘Interest rates, exchange rates and fiscal policy in Europe: the implications of Maastricht’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 44.Google Scholar
Bentolila, S. and Blanchard, O. (1990), ‘Spanish unemployment’, Economic Policy, 10, pp. 233281.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bentolila, S. and Saint-Paul, G. (1992), ‘The macroeconomic impact of flexible labour contracts: an application to Spain’, Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper no. 596.Google Scholar
Caporale, G. (1993), ‘Some stochastic implications of the government budget constraint: an empirical analysis’, paper presented at the Applied Economics Association Conference on Budgetary Policy Modelling, April 1993.Google Scholar
Chan-Lee, J., Coe, D. and Prywes, M. (1987), ‘Microeconomic changes and macroeconomic wage disinflation in the 1980s’, OECD Economic Studies, no. 8, Spring, pp.121–57.Google Scholar
Commission of the European Communities (1990), ‘One market, one money: an evaluation of the potential benefits and costs of forming an economic and monetary union’, European Economy, no. 44, October.Google Scholar
Dolado, J. and Bentolila, S. (1993), ‘Who are the insiders? Wage setting in Spanish manufacturing firms’, CEPR Discussion Paper no. 754.Google Scholar
Emerson, M. (1988), ‘Regulation or deregulation of the labour market: policy regimes for the recruitment and dismissal of employees in the industrialised’, European Economic Review, no. 32, pp. 775817.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Galy, M., Pastor, G. and Pujol, T. (1993), ‘Spain: Converging with the European Community’, IMF Occasional Paper no.101.Google Scholar
Larre, B. and Torres, R. (1991), ‘Is convergence a spontaneous process? The experience of Spain, Portugal and Greece’, OECD Economic Studies, no. 16, Spring.Google Scholar
Larre, B. and Torres, R. (1992), ‘Real and nominal convergence in the EMS: the case of Spain, Portugal and Greece’, in Economic Convergence and Monetary Union in Europe, edited by Barrell, R., Sage publications.Google Scholar
Layard, R., Nickell, S. and Jackman, R. (1991), Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market, Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Martin, C. and Moreno, L. (1991), ‘Spain's industrial exports to the EEC: a panel data approach’, CEPR Discussion Paper no. 521. NIESR (1993), NIGEM Model Manual, November.Google Scholar
OECD (1989),‘Economies in transition; structural adjustment in OECD countries’.Google Scholar
OECD (1992), Economic Survey of Spain 1992.Google Scholar
OECD (1993), Economic Survey of Spain 1993.Google Scholar
Vinals, J. et al (1990), ‘Spain and the ‘EEC cum 1992’ shock’, CEPR Discussion Paper no. 388.Google Scholar