Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-vfjqv Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T01:13:13.924Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

PLANT LIFE CYCLE AND AGGREGATE EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 July 2013

Min Ouyang*
Affiliation:
School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University
*
Address correspondence to: Min Ouyang, Department of Economics, School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, PR China; email: ouyangm@sem.tsinghua.edu.cn.

Abstract

Past empirical studies have repeatedly found that plant age matters for aggregate employment dynamics. This paper develops a model of plant life cycle to capture this empirical regularity. In the model, plants differ by vintage and by idiosyncratic productivity. The idiosyncratic productivity is not directly observable, but can be learned over time. This setup gives rise to a learning effect and a creative-destruction effect, under which labor flows from plants with low idiosyncratic productivity to those with high idiosyncratic productivity and from old vintages to new vintages. When calibrated to the U.S. manufacturing job flow series, our model of plant life cycle delivers the observed link between plant age and aggregate employment dynamics.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Aghion, P. and Howitt, P. (1992) A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica 60 (2), 323351.Google Scholar
Aw, B.Y., Chen, X., and Roberts, M.J. (2001) Firm-level evidence on productivity differentials, turnover, and exports in Taiwanese manufacturing. Journal of Development Economics 66 (1), 5186.Google Scholar
Barlevy, G (2002) The sullying effect of recessions. Review of Economic Studies 69 (1), 6596.Google Scholar
Bartelsman, E. and Doms, M. (2000) Understanding productivity: Lessons from longitudinal microdata. Journal of Economic Literature 38 (3), 569594.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Basu, S., Fernald, J., and Shapiro, M. (2001) Productivity Growth in the 1990s: Technology, Utilization, or Adjustment? NBER working paper 8359.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caballero, R. and Hammour, M. (1994) The cleansing effect of recessions. American Economic Review 84 (5), 13501368.Google Scholar
Campbell, J. and Fisher, J. (2004) Idiosyncratic risk and aggregate employment dynamics. Review of Economic Dynamics 7 (2), 331353.Google Scholar
Davis, S. and Haltiwanger, J. (1998) Gross job flows. In Ashenfelter, O. and Card, D. (eds.), Handbook of Labor Economics, pp. 27112805. Amsterdam: North-Holland.Google Scholar
Davis, S., Haltiwanger, J. and Schuh, S. (1996) Job Creation and Job Destruction. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Den Haan, W. and Marcet, A. (1994) Accuracy in simulations. Review of Economic Studies 61, 318.Google Scholar
Dunne, T., Roberts, M. and Samuelson, L. (1989) The growth and failure of U.S. manufacturing plants. Quarterly Journal of Economics 104 (4), 671698.Google Scholar
Evans, D (1987) The relationship between firm growth, size, and age: Estimates for 100 manufacturing industries. Journal of Industry Economics 35 (4), 567581.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Faberman, J. (2007) The relationship between the establishment age distribution and urban growth. Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.Google Scholar
Foote, C. (1998) Trend employment growth and the bunching of job creation and destruction. Quarterly Journal of Economics 113 (3), 809834.Google Scholar
Gomes, J., Greenwood, J. and Rebelo, S. (2001) Equilibrium unemployment. Journal of Monetary Economics 48 (1), 109152.Google Scholar
Goolsbee, A. (1998) Investment tax incentives, prices, and the supply of capital goods. Quarterly Journal of Economics 113 (1), 121148.Google Scholar
Jovanovic, B. (1982) Selection and the evolution of industry. Econometrica 50 (3), 649670.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krusell, P. and Smith, A. (1998) Income and wealth heterogeneity in the macroeconomy. Journal of Political Economy 106 (5), 867895.Google Scholar
Lucas, R.On the size distribution of business firms. Bell Journal of Economics 9 (2), 508523.Google Scholar
Mortensen, D. and Pissarides, C. (1994) Job creation and job destruction in the theory of unemployment. Review of Economic Studies 61 (3), 397415.Google Scholar
Ouyang, M. (2009) The scarring effect of recessions. Journal of Monetary Economics 56, 184199.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pries, M. (2004) Persistence of employment fluctuations: A model of recurring job loss. Review of Economic Studies 71 (1), 193215.CrossRefGoogle Scholar