Abstract
We establish an end-to-end framework that generalizes across alloy families and, applied here to Co–Cu–Fe–Mo–Ni, it maps alloy composition to B5 step ensembles on fcc(211), *N-adsorption energies ΔE(*N), and rate for ammonia decomposition reaction (ADR). The workflow—DFT-trained cluster expansions (CE) → Metropolis Monte Carlo (MMC) → microkinetics—predicts site-resolved ΔE(*N) and enables composition-wide maps of site-specific turnover frequency (TOF) and surface-averaged activity (⟨TOF⟩). MMC captures temperature-driven Cu enrichment at the outermost layer, shifting ΔE(*N) toward weaker binding relative to statistically random surfaces and suppresses ⟨TOF⟩. Lowering Cu systematically increases activity; by contrast, Cu-free Co–Fe–Mo–Ni medium-entropy alloys (MEAs) cluster near the volcano maximum and deliver high, composition-robust rates. Site-level analysis shows that the most active B5 ensembles are Cu-lean and typically multimetallic, consistent with surface-averaged trends. DFT validation on 40 CE-screened high-activity B5 sites confirms predictive fidelity. The framework yields practical, testable design rules—minimize Cu participation at B5 and preserve configurational disorder (e.g., thermal-shock)—and is readily extensible to other alloy families and to both thermochemical and electrochemical reactions.



![Author ORCID: We display the ORCID iD icon alongside authors names on our website to acknowledge that the ORCiD has been authenticated when entered by the user. To view the users ORCiD record click the icon. [opens in a new tab]](https://www.cambridge.org/engage/assets/public/coe/logo/orcid.png)