CORE-D: county resolution energy demand projections for multi-scale modelling and multi-level governance dialogues in Kenya.

County-level energy planning within Kenya is becoming increasingly important and relevant following the evolving governance system and energy planning responsibilities. This paper presents county-resolution energy demand projections alongside the underlying energy demand models in support of county energy planning. The COunty-REsolution energy system Demand models (CORE-D) introduce a new methodological approach to overcome historic energy planning barriers. It is based on a spatial disaggregation of whole energy system demand modelling through downscaling facilitating the future incorporation of county level data, priorities, and plans for demand assessment. CORE-D can support county energy planning processes by enabling the development of and facilitating stakeholder discussion on energy demand projections under various county-level scenarios. In providing a consistent framework for energy demand analysis across all counties the approach particularly supports a coherent integration of county plans to national-level analyses and policy processes. The models, and methodologies, have been developed through extensive collaboration with both county and national stakeholders within Kenya.