Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-75dct Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-30T10:07:35.647Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

11 - The global and regional effects of liberalizing agriculture and other trade in the new round

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 February 2010

Thomas W. Hertel
Affiliation:
Purdue University
Kym Anderson
Affiliation:
University of Adelaide
Joseph F. Francois
Affiliation:
Erasmus University
Will Martin
Affiliation:
The World Bank
Merlinda D. Ingco
Affiliation:
The World Bank
L. Alan Winters
Affiliation:
University of Sussex
Get access

Summary

Introduction

Agriculture is much more important in the economies of developing countries than in high-income countries, as the former remain small net exporters. Consumers in developing countries also spend over 30 percent of their incomes on food – almost three times the share in industrial countries – making them much more vulnerable to price shocks. Agriculture's contribution to GDP in developing countries, at 16 percent, is also around three times as high as its share in industrial countries.

Yet the average rate of protection on bulk agricultural commodities in OECD countries actually rose from 32 to 37 percent between 1997 and 1998. Partly because of these barriers to market access, agricultural exports from developing countries fell from close to a half in 1965 to just over 10 percent in 1995, and are projected to fall further by 2005. Developing countries remain much more reliant on exports of bulk agricultural commodities than industrial countries: the former accounted for 44 percent of global exports of bulk agricultural commodities but only 23 percent of non-bulk agricultural exports in 1995. This locks developing countries into a declining share of world markets for agriculture, as bulk commodities have fallen from 70 percent to around 45 percent of world agricultural exports since 1965.

In developing countries especially, farming is discouraged not only by farm protection policies in high-income countries but also by developing countries' own manufacturing policies and distortions in services markets.

Type
Chapter
Information
Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda
Creating a Global Trading Environment for Development
, pp. 221 - 244
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2004

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Ahuja, V. and D. Filmer, 1995. “Educational Attainment in Developing Countries: New Estimates and Projections Disaggregated by Gender,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 1489, Washington, DC, July
Anderson, K., Dimaranan, B., Hertel, T. W., and Martin, W., 1997. “Asia-Pacific Food Markets and Trade in 2005: A Global, Economy-Wide Perspective,” Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 41(1), 19–44CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernard, A. and Jones, C., 1996. “Productivity Growth Across Industries and Countries: Time Series Theory and Evidence,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 78(1), 135–46CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Coyle, W., Gehler, M., Hertel, T. W., Wang, Z., and Yu, W., 1998. “Understanding the Determinants of Structural Change in World Food Markets,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 80(5), 1051–61CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elbehri, A., M. D. Ingco, T. W. Hertel, and K. Pearson, 1999. “Agricultural Liberalization in the New Millennium,” paper presented at the World Bank Conference on Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda from a Development Perspective, 1–2 October, Geneva
Francois, J. F., 1998. “Scale Economies and Imperfect Competition in the Global Trade Analysis Project Model,” Global Trade Analysis Project Technical Paper, 14, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University, www.agecon.purdue.edu/gtap/techpapr
Francois, J. F. 1999. “A Gravity Approach to Measuring Services Protection,” Erasmus University, manuscript
Francois, J. F. and A. Strutt, 1999. “Post Uruguay Round Tariff Vectors for Global Trade Analysis Project Version 4,” Global Trade Analysis Project, Purdue University, Mimeo
Frandsen, S. and C. Bach, 1998. “European Integration and the Common Agricultural Policy,” SJFI (Danish Institute of Agricultural and Fisheries), Economics Working Paper, 1/98
Freeman, F., Melanie, J., Roberts, I., Vanzetti, D., Tielu, A., and Beutre, B., 2000. The Impact of Agricultural Trade Liberalisation on Developing Countries, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics Research Report 2000.6, Canberra: Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics
Gehlhar, M. J., 1997. “Historical Analysis of Growth and Trade Patterns in the Pacific Rim: An Evaluation of the Global Trade Analysis Project Framework,” in T. W. Hertel (ed.), Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications, Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, chapter 14
Gehlhar, M. J., Hertel, T. W., and Martin, W., 1994. “Economic Growth and the Changing Structure of Trade and Production in the Pacific Rim,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 76, 1101–10CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grilli, E. and Yang, M., 1988. “Primary Commodity Prices, Manufactured Goods Prices, and the Terms of Trade of Developing Countries: What the Long Run Shows,” World Bank Economic Review, 2(1)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hathaway, D. E. and M. D. Ingco, 1995. “Agricultural Liberalization and the Uruguay Round,” in W. Martin and L. A. Winters (eds.), The Uruguay Round and the Developing Economies, World Bank Discussion Paper, 307, Washington, DC
Hertel, T. W., 1994. “The Procompetitive Effects of Trade Policy Reform in a Small, Open Economy,” Journal of International Economics, 36, 391–411CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hertel, T. W. and W. Martin, 1999. “Developing Country Interests in Liberalizing Manufactures Trade,” paper presented to the World Bank's Conference on Developing Countries and the Millennium Round, 19–20 September, Geneva
Hertel, T. W., W. Martin, K. Yanagishima, and B. Dimaranan, 1996. “Liberalizing Manufactures Trade in a Changing World Economy,” in W. Martin and A. Winters (eds.), The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries, Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press
Hoekman, B., 1995. “Assessing the General Agreement on Trade in Services,” in W. Martin and L. A. Winters (eds.), The Uruguay Round and the Developing Economies, World Bank Discussion Paper 307, Washington, DC
Ingco, M. D., 1996. “Tariffication in the Uruguay Round: How Much Liberalization?” The World Economy, 19(4), 425–47CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jomini, P., J. E. Zeitsch, R. McDougall, A. Welsh, S. Brown, J. Hambley, and J. Kelly, 1991. SALTER: A General Equilibrium Model for the World Economy, 1, “Model Structure, Database and Parameters,” Canberra: Australian Industry Commission
Laird, S., 1999. “Patterns of Protection and Approaches to Liberalization,” paper presented to the CEPR Workshop on New Issues in the World Trading System, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London
Liu, J., T. C. Arndt, and T. W. Hertel, 2000. “Estimating Trade Elasticities for Use in Global, General Equilibrium Analysis,” paper submitted to the 2000 Conference on Empirical Investigations in International Economics, University of Colorado, Boulder
McDougall, R. A., A. Elbehri, and T. P. Truong (eds.), 1998. “Global Trade, Assistance, and Protection: The Global Trade Analysis Project 4 Data Base,” Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×