Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-vfjqv Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-29T17:56:21.208Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

2 - Risk Bearing

The Optimum of the Individual

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 August 2013

Sushil Bikhchandani
Affiliation:
University of California, Los Angeles
John G. Riley
Affiliation:
University of California, Los Angeles
Get access

Summary

In this chapter, we address a basic problem in decision making under uncertainty: how should an individual select consumption across different states of nature so as to maximize his expected utility? The trick is to view consumption in one state of nature as a separate good from consumption in another state of nature. We then apply an indispensable technique in microeconomics – indifference curve analysis – to the problem to obtain the Fundamental Theorem of Risk Bearing. This theorem is directly applicable only when all state claims are available, i.e., for each state there is a good that pays if and only if that state obtains. However, trading in state claims is usually not a feasible option. Therefore, we generalize to a model with assets, where each asset is viewed as a vector of payoffs, one for each state of nature. This leads to the Risk-Bearing Theorem for Assets Markets. Next, we investigate risky choices made by an individual who cares only about the mean and standard deviation of his consumption. We end the chapter with a model of state-dependent utility.

The individual's best action under uncertainty – the “risk-bearing optimum” – involves choosing among prospects x ≡ (c; π) ≡ (c1, …, cS; π1, …, πS) where the cs are the state-distributed consequences and πs are the state probabilities. In the realm of the economics of uncertainty proper, before turning to the economics of information, the individual's probability beliefs π remain constant and so c1,…, cS are the only decision variables. In general, each cS represents the multi-good basket that the individual is entitled to consume if state s occurs. For simplicity, however, we will often think in terms of a single generalized consumption good (“corn”). Then cs would simply be the individual's state-s entitlement to corn if state s occurs, and the risk-bearing problem is how to choose among alternative vectors (c1,…, cs) of “corn incomes” distributed over states of the world. Unless otherwise indicated, when the symbol cs is described as representing “income” the implication is that we are using the simplified model of a single consumption good.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2013

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Arrow, Kenneth J., “The Role of Securities in the Optimal Allocation of Risk Bearing,” Econometrie (1953), as translated and reprinted in 1964, Review of Economic Studies, 31 (1964), 91–96.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cook, Philip J. and Graham, Daniel A., “The Demand for Insurance and Protection: The Case of Irreplaceable Commodities,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 91 (1977), 143–156.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Copeland, Thomas E., Weston, J. Fred, and Shastri, Kuldeep, Financial Theory and Corporate Policy, 4th edition, Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 2004.Google Scholar
Debreu, Gerard, Theory of Value: An Axiomatic Analysis of Economic Equilibrium, New Haven: Yale University Press, 1959.Google Scholar
Ingersoll, Jonathan E., The Theory of Financial Decision Making, New York: Rowman and Littlefield, 1987.Google Scholar
Karni, Edi, “Subjective Expected Utility Theory with State-Dependent Preferences,” Journal of Economic Theory, 60 (1993), 428–438.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leland, Hayne E., “Beyond Mean-Variance: Performance Measurement in a Nonsymmetrical World,” Financial Analysts Journal, 55 (1999), 27–36.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Marshall, John M., “Gambles and the Shadow Price of Death,” American Economic Review, 74 (1984), 73–86.Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×