Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of figures
- List of tables
- Acknowledgements
- List of acronyms
- 1 Introduction
- 2 A veto player theory of conflict bargaining
- 3 Testing the effect of veto players on duration
- 4 Bargaining and fighting in Rwanda and Burundi
- 5 The effects of veto players on conflict severity, genocide, and the duration of peace
- 6 Designing peace processes in multi-party civil wars
- 7 Conclusion
- Appendix A Civil wars included in the dataset
- Appendix B Descriptive statistics for variables in quantitative analyses
- References
- Index
2 - A veto player theory of conflict bargaining
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 October 2012
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of figures
- List of tables
- Acknowledgements
- List of acronyms
- 1 Introduction
- 2 A veto player theory of conflict bargaining
- 3 Testing the effect of veto players on duration
- 4 Bargaining and fighting in Rwanda and Burundi
- 5 The effects of veto players on conflict severity, genocide, and the duration of peace
- 6 Designing peace processes in multi-party civil wars
- 7 Conclusion
- Appendix A Civil wars included in the dataset
- Appendix B Descriptive statistics for variables in quantitative analyses
- References
- Index
Summary
Civil wars involve different numbers of combatant parties. Some have only two. Others, such as the current conflicts in Iraq and Darfur, have a large number of insurgent groups battling against the state. When conflicts have more actors with the ability to prolong conflict, they last longer. These wars drag on because groups make conscious decisions to prolong them in order to get a better deal. Long wars, then, are the result of specific strategies used by the multiple different groups present in civil war.
Not all participants in conflict have the capacity to pursue these strategies and consciously extend wars. Rather, all civil wars contain a set of actors that have the ability to block any end to war until they are satisfied. We can think of these actors as “veto players,” in that they have the ability to “veto” any settlement that does not give them what they want. In the traditional conception of civil war, there are two of these actors – a state and a rebel group. In the last chapter, however, we saw that conflicts differ greatly in the number of combatant parties, and this difference has a profound impact on how long the conflicts last.
In this chapter, I develop a veto player theory of civil war duration. I discuss the bargaining environment in civil war and argue that a veto player framework is a useful way to think about conflict bargaining.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Barriers to Peace in Civil War , pp. 23 - 62Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2011